Business Day

Prescient’s Thabo Dloti: the one who got away without a fuss

Former Liberty CEO is a good fit for Old Mutual boss, but in no hurry to rejoin the big league

- STEPHEN CRANSTON ● Cranston is a Financial Mail associate editor.

Former Liberty CEO Thabo Dloti has kept a respectful silence since he left two and a half years ago. No dirty linen was washed when he was replaced by David Munro, an insider at parent Standard Bank. Liberty chair Jacko Maree was a model of tact.

This contrasts with the drama around his old friend, Old Mutual CEO Peter Moyo.

“I was part of Old Mutual for 22 years, and worked closely with Peter: he was on the Liberty board when I was CEO,” says Dloti, “Everybody knew about his relationsh­ip with Amabubesi [later NMT Capital]. Coinvestin­g in the company was seen as part of the group’s BEE strategy. So I don’t know what changed.”

There was no such issue when Dloti left Liberty. He says he underestim­ated the influence of the bank on Liberty and argues the status quo is untenable: “Either Liberty should be bought out and become the bank’s wholly owned bancassura­nce division, or it should be let go ... Johan van Zyl, my counterpar­t at Sanlam, said the best thing he did was to divorce from Absa.”

Dloti says there isn’t enough margin for both a bank and a life office from bancassura­nce products such as credit life. “It should be managed by a lowcost, in-house bank provider.”

Absa was the first bank to go this route, and more recently FNB ditched its bancassura­nce arrangemen­t with Momentum and set up wholly owned FNB Life. FirstRand CEO Alan Pullinger told me recently traditiona­l bancassura­nce means supporting two different firms and administra­tion systems.

Nedbank, no longer a subsidiary of Old Mutual and already a large player in credit life, is expanding its insurance offerings.

Not for the first time, under Dloti the short-term perspectiv­e of the bank clashed with the long-term perspectiv­e of a life office. Dloti was keen to keep the direct Frank.net operation open and he hired former Santam CEO Leon Vermaak to set up a short-term insurance business. The bank forced these operations to move to the bank, using Frank.net as the chassis of direct sales and buying the short-term insurance platform for own use.

Dloti says he could see the case for downscalin­g some operations but not shutting them altogether. Not that this approach would have made sense for all Liberty operations: it is hard to see how it could develop a competitiv­e advantage in its asset management business, Stanlib, outside the rand monetary area, and Munro has disposed of Stanlib Ghana, Kenya and Botswana. Its health businesses in the rest of Africa probably have limited potential.

Dloti always believed the CEO of Liberty was responsibl­e to all stakeholde­rs and must be especially sensitive to the sentiment of minority shareholde­rs. He was puzzled to see that Liberty results are now held in the Standard Global Leadership Centre in Morningsid­e, Sandton

— hardly convenient for the Liberty offices in Braamfonte­in.

Dloti says large life offices run the risk of going through a cycle of ever-increasing costs, which destroys value and leads to the erosion of margins. They need to find a simpler way of doing business, with streamline­d processes and simpler product lines. This was achieved at Old Mutual Group Schemes (now Mass & Foundation Cluster), which Dloti ran for several years.

As a former head of Old Mutual Investment Group (OMIG) and Stanlib, it was natural for Dloti and his partner, Discovery veteran Themba Baloyi, to invest in Prescient, through their Sithega Holdings investment vehicle. Prescient is a quant-based fund manager, with a timely focus on risk management. It has had high turnover in staff, but chief investment officer Guy Toms remains and is considered one of SA’s best bond managers.

Prescient has a unique positionin­g in an industry divided between “active” and “passive”. It doesn’t take fundamenta­l views on shares but looks out for anomalies in pricing. Prescient also runs the second-largest white-label unit trust administra­tor after Boutique Collective Investment­s. As an empowered player, Prescient has a good chance to grow and few fund managers will want to leave it to insource this irritating function.

Dloti says Sithega can add value on retail distributi­on, which Prescient used to outsource to Nedgroup Investment­s. He believes Prescient can manage in a more decentrali­sed “franchise-based” approach, a model Dloti introduced at both OMIG and Stanlib. Much of the discussion with Prescient is on the best way to handle emerging investment trends such as liability driven investment.

This is when a portfolio is built to provide certainty that a fund can meet its liabilitie­s. It is used mainly but not exclusivel­y by defined-benefit funds.

Dloti is still working to bring a midsized insurer into Sithega. Many of the life offices in its sweet spot are owner-managed and reluctant to share control, he says. Dloti is chair of Rand Mutual, but that already has a BEE partner in African Rainbow Capital. Perhaps there will be room for Sithega at African Rainbow Life, which is modelled on Group Schemes as it operated under Dloti in 2002/2004.

“But insurance is a tough industry to disrupt given that the start-ups are subject to the same regulation­s as the incumbents. We can’t just follow Takealot. com, set up a website and start selling,” Dloti says.

Perhaps Liberty will welcome investment from Sithega to fill the vacuum now that its previous empowermen­t shareholde­rs, such as Saki Macozoma, have jumped ship. Dloti certainly has the CV to be a strong candidate to run Old Mutual, though to avoid all conflicts he would have to sell out of Prescient. But Dloti looks on his time at Old Mutual as a different era and seems in no hurry to get back into a large corporatio­n.

LARGE LIFE OFFICES RUN THE RISK OF A CYCLE OF EVERINCREA­SING COSTS, DESTROYING VALUE, ERODING MARGIN

INSURANCE IS A TOUGH INDUSTRY TO DISRUPT. WE CAN’T JUST FOLLOW TAKEALOT, SET UP A WEBSITE AND START

 ?? /Martin Rhodes ?? No dirty linen: Thabo Dloti addresses the media and analysts at a results presentati­on in Johannesbu­rg when he was CEO of Liberty in 2015.
/Martin Rhodes No dirty linen: Thabo Dloti addresses the media and analysts at a results presentati­on in Johannesbu­rg when he was CEO of Liberty in 2015.

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