Business Day

One-time pariah Greece now being paid to borrow

- Michael Hunter London

Greece, the one-time pariah of the bond market at the heart of Europe’s sovereign debt crisis, just completed a transforma­tive journey by joining the region’s negative-yield club.

Investors are now paying for the privilege of lending it cash. A sale of €487.5m of 13-week bills on Wednesday drew a yield of minus 0.02%.

Greece joins the likes of Ireland, Italy and Spain in benefiting from the European Central Bank’s (ECB) supportive monetary policy and deepening fears of a global recession.

It is a stark turnaround for the euro area’s most indebted member, which was forced to accept the biggest bond restructur­ing in history in March 2012 as Greece’s membership of the currency bloc came into doubt.

Now the region is grappling with an altogether different problem: the spread of negative yields, which reduces borrowing costs for government­s but threatens to harm savers, pension funds and insurers.

Jon Day, a fixed-income portfolio manager at Newton Investment Management, said the move is “another symptom” of the “global grab for yield, especially in euro-denominate­d bonds”, pointing out that shortdated Greek bonds were previously one of the few government markets where a positive return was on offer.

“There remain substantia­l risks around Greece’s financial position and it remains vulnerable to a significan­t economic slowdown,” he said.

The trend for negative yields comes after the ECB cut interest rates deeper into negative territory and said it would restart its bond-buying economic stimulus known as quantitati­ve easing.

Greece’s government is forecastin­g 2.8% economic growth in 2020, which it says puts it on track to meet a budget target agreed with creditors while still enacting tax relief measures. The nation also took advantage of record low borrowing costs by selling 10-year bonds this week at a yield of 1.5%.

“Greece issuing negativeyi­elding bills is more evidence of the positive effect that negative interest rates and quantitati­ve easing has on debt sustainabi­lity for government­s,” said Peter Chatwell, head of European rates strategy at Mizuho Internatio­nal in London.

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