One-time pariah Greece now being paid to borrow
Greece, the one-time pariah of the bond market at the heart of Europe’s sovereign debt crisis, just completed a transformative journey by joining the region’s negative-yield club.
Investors are now paying for the privilege of lending it cash. A sale of €487.5m of 13-week bills on Wednesday drew a yield of minus 0.02%.
Greece joins the likes of Ireland, Italy and Spain in benefiting from the European Central Bank’s (ECB) supportive monetary policy and deepening fears of a global recession.
It is a stark turnaround for the euro area’s most indebted member, which was forced to accept the biggest bond restructuring in history in March 2012 as Greece’s membership of the currency bloc came into doubt.
Now the region is grappling with an altogether different problem: the spread of negative yields, which reduces borrowing costs for governments but threatens to harm savers, pension funds and insurers.
Jon Day, a fixed-income portfolio manager at Newton Investment Management, said the move is “another symptom” of the “global grab for yield, especially in euro-denominated bonds”, pointing out that shortdated Greek bonds were previously one of the few government markets where a positive return was on offer.
“There remain substantial risks around Greece’s financial position and it remains vulnerable to a significant economic slowdown,” he said.
The trend for negative yields comes after the ECB cut interest rates deeper into negative territory and said it would restart its bond-buying economic stimulus known as quantitative easing.
Greece’s government is forecasting 2.8% economic growth in 2020, which it says puts it on track to meet a budget target agreed with creditors while still enacting tax relief measures. The nation also took advantage of record low borrowing costs by selling 10-year bonds this week at a yield of 1.5%.
“Greece issuing negativeyielding bills is more evidence of the positive effect that negative interest rates and quantitative easing has on debt sustainability for governments,” said Peter Chatwell, head of European rates strategy at Mizuho International in London.