Business Day

Uber gains fail to lift stock

Ride-hailing company’s shares down 5% despite better loss forecast and pledge to turn a profit by 2021

- Lizette Chapman San Francisco /AFP/Getty Images/Mario Tama

Uber Technologi­es has disappoint­ed investors with quarterly results showing lacklustre gains in bookings and monthly active users, two of the metrics most closely watched by Wall Street.

The ride-hailing company beat estimates for quarterly revenue and loss, improved its annual loss forecast and pledged to turn a profit by 2021. Those were not enough to lift the stock, though. Shares were down about 5% in extended trading after the results.

The San Francisco-based company is seeking to assure investors it can evolve from a ride-hailing service to a global all-in-one transport platform. There could be more pressure on Uber shares on Wednesday when a stock lock-up for a large swath of shareholde­rs expires.

An additional 1.5-billion shares could be eligible to trade according to Renaissanc­e Capital, nearly doubling the total number outstandin­g. Of venture-backed companies, only Alibaba Group had a larger lockup of 1.6-billion shares.

While Uber’s overall results were good, uncertaint­y about the possibilit­y of new shares flooding the market cast a shadow that may have depressed the share price, said Ali Mogharabi, an analyst at Morningsta­r. “It may be people getting out now, thinking that after Wednesday it’ll drop.”

On a conference call with reporters following the report, Uber executives said the company would spend less aggressive­ly and turn an adjusted profit in 2021. “We will be driving discipline across the company and only doing investment­s that we can afford,” said CEO Dara Khosrowsha­hi.

The forecast echoed a commitment from Uber’s smaller rival, Lyft, which said it would be profitable by the fourth quarter of 2021, a year earlier than previously expected. Lyft, which focuses exclusivel­y on transport, blew past analysts’ third-quarter estimates when it reported results last week.

Khosrowsha­hi has sought to rein in spending, slicing 1,200 positions from sales and marketing, engineerin­g and product. Like Lyft, Uber has cut back on rider discounts and driver incentives in a bid to improve margins and narrow losses.

The CEO said on the call that Uber would exit markets and dispose of assets where it was clear it could not command the No 1 or No 2 positions in the next 18 months.

Uber’s business strategy hinges on convincing existing ride-hailing customers to use more services, including bikes, scooters, helicopter­s and public transport, as well as food and grocery delivery.

Uber’s newer initiative­s, including a job-matching service for gig workers in Chicago and financial services for drivers, further demonstrat­e the company’s grand ambitions.

Since going public in May, Uber investors have punished the company for its growth-atall-costs strategy. The stock closed Monday at $31.08 (R459), well below the $45 initial public offering price.

Though profitabil­ity may still be a couple of years away, it is earlier than analysts expected.

Uber ended the third quarter with about $12.7bn in cash, suggesting it can continue investing in growth where it does not expect continued losses.

The adjusted loss for the quarter widened to $585m, compared with $485m during the same period in 2018, but was still better than an average of analysts’ estimates of $808m.

Quarterly adjusted revenue increased 33% to $3.5bn, above estimates of $3.39bn. Uber revised its annual loss forecast to $2.8bn-$2.9bn, an improvemen­t of $250m.

It will need to do more to attract customers. Monthly active platform users, meaning those who ordered food or a ride one or more times during the quarter, were 103-million, up 26%. Analysts expected 107million. Gross bookings, a measure of the total value of rides, food orders and other businesses, were $16.5bn versus

Jump escooters on a pavement on November 4 in Los Angeles. Uber has a permit to rent out the escooters. $16.7bn. Food delivery was especially disappoint­ing.

More pricing pressure could come in 2020. California legislatio­n designed to push Uber, Lyft, DoorDash and other gig-economy operations to reclassify independen­t contractor­s as employees goes into effect in January and could increase costs in the state by as much as 30%, according to analyst estimates.

The three tech companies are gathering signatures to challenge the law with a competing ballot initiative in a year.

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