Business Day

What wheat farmers and unionists have in common

- ISAAH MHLANGA ● Mhlanga is chief economist of Alexander Forbes.

The government’s economic policies and the accompanyi­ng legislatio­n must benefit the majority of the SA public. If policy benefits a minority population (intended or unintended), that policy must not make the remaining majority worse off, as it is far easier to deal with a negative externalit­y on a minority population than on a majority.

The policymake­r always considers the broader population but vested selfintere­sted parties do not, as long as it benefits them. However, this logic does not seem to always apply in our country. This I struggle to comprehend, especially if I put myself in the shoes of those tasked to do the groundwork to enact a particular policy. Whenever I come across such an instance, I ask myself: who is this policy for and what is the rationale?

To illustrate my point, on October 25, the Internatio­nal Trade Administra­tion Commission lifted SA’s wheat import tariff from R664.70 to R1008.60 per ton after a decline in global prices due to bigger global supply.

The common use of a tariff is to protect local producers, in this case local wheat producers, from cheaper global imports. In the 2018/2019 marketing season, local wheat farmers produced an average of 1.87million tons and delivered 1.18million tons to the market. SA consumed 3.27-million tons in the same year, which means the shortfall from what is produced locally had to be filled by imports. This amounted to 1.37-million tons, or 42% of total consumptio­n, of which a portion was exported, largely to neighbouri­ng countries.

From local producers’ point of view, applying wheat import tariff makes sense as a way of sustaining the industry. But this means that the majority of the population are denied the benefit of lower global wheat prices in the interest of sustaining farmers. Essentiall­y, the benefit of globalisat­ion is taken away from the majority for the benefit of a few farmers.

The problem with tariffs is that they are inflationa­ry and may keep general price levels elevated, resulting in the central bank keeping policy rates on hold when they could lower them and provide another benefit to the consumer.

I can extend this argument to other policy areas such as the rationalis­ation of state-owned enterprise­s (SOEs). The Treasury told us that SOEs will be provided with R36.8bn for the 2019/2020 fiscal year, R26bn of which is for Eskom.

Eskom is too big to fail so it will have to be helped whenever its bank balances run dry, there is no other way around it.

Even with the government having put in place conditions before funds are made available, there is no way it can refuse funding to Eskom in the event that it does not meet those preconditi­ons. Perhaps if the conditions are also tied to management compensati­on, that would make the difference. If not, they will be just as good as the paper they are written on.

Back to my point, there has been pushback against cutting the fat in some of these SOEs, particular­ly from labour. The argument is that cutting fat will result in job losses. Effectivel­y the policy choice taken by labour is: let’s protect the few people that are employed at these SOEs at the expense of millions of South Africans who continue to pay taxes that are used to bail out these SOEs. More so, labour is taking a position that the 10-million South Africans without jobs, in part because Eskom’s financial and operationa­l inefficien­cy takes resources that could be used for investment, must remain jobless.

While the policymake­r has identified what needs to be done for the broader population, a small section of society has taken a decision that will benefit itself at the expense of the majority — much like the wheat instance, where the policymake­r has decided to rob the broader population of the benefits of globalisat­ion.

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