Business Day

Compacting for crisis rather than ideals

- Cawe (@aycawe), a developmen­t economist, is MD of Xesibe Holdings and hosts MetroFMTal­k on Metro FM.

On the many Zoom, Microsoft Teams and other calls one has been on, there has been a recognitio­n that fundamenta­l change is the only way to deal with some of the thorny issues facing SA. Policy discussion­s on the labour market were the least.

As South Africans it seems we have at times been too happy to tinker on the margins in a context that was a manifestat­ion of deep social and economic crisis even before the onset of Covid-19.

Having inherited a situation that was on a knife’s edge in the 1990s, it seems that many of the institutio­ns we have created to bargain over, mediate disputes on and determine wages, have been designed as “compromise institutio­ns ” to mediate crises rather than to aspiration­ally pursue an ideal industrial relations environmen­t.

Put simply, we are compacting for crisis rather than for a commonly shared vision. The economic and other policies that require compromise, contestati­on and collaborat­ion need to be stripped bare and real questions asked of what we compact around and who does so.

We have seen the failure to resolve these questions showing up at multiple levels. They are at a macroecono­mic level on debates over the macro-fiscal framework, on Eskom and on industrial policy

to which many parties now brought around to the Public Private Growth Initiative (PPGI) can attest.

It is important, difficult and painstakin­g work. Very necessary. However, the first question is often about who is at the table.

The credibilit­y and durability of any “pact” arrived at during this moment is determined by the content of the pact and the organisati­ons that are party to it. Many have levelled criticism about issues of representa­tion at the National Economic Developmen­t and Labour Council (Nedlac), suggesting that it creates an insider-outsider dynamic that wins gains for big business and big labour with very little else for any outsider.

While harsh, this criticism is worth engaging. For it raises not just the issues of shifts in the labour market and how those are accounted for in that tripartite (plus one) body. It also asks: to what end does the structure exist?

In the past decade, for instance, there has been a rise (alongside declining private sector union presence) in the proportion of workers with unilateral­ly determined wages and conditions of work.

According to Stats SA, 48.1% of workers had their employers solely determinin­g their wages in the third quarter of 2011. By the third quarter of 2019, 52.8% of employed South Africans had no say in how their wages were determined.

These workers are the bulk of our labour market, yet from the current configurat­ion of large business representa­tive bodies and worker representa­tion, their voices cannot be assumed to loom as large as their proportion of the workforce.

This, alongside a decline in bargaining council wagesettin­g, raises questions about the shadows ” and dark alleyways in our labour market that are emerging for all to see but seeming to be invisible to the platforms for dialogue that we have created.

Further, as the Motor Industry Bargaining Council debacle on representa­tion at the bargaining council shows us, a failure to resolve these issues can lead not only to foregone wages but also to incessant infighting in sectors where industrial harmony complement­s significan­t state investment in production subsidies and other forms of support.

While this support has facilitate­d export growth for the sector and nearly R40bn in investment for the next five years by the major carmakers, it occurs in a context of tense relations between employers and employees, judging from the conversati­on I had with Mdu Nkosi from the National Union of Metalworke­rs of SA and Gerhard Papenfus from the National Employer Associatio­n on Metro FM Talk earlier in September.

Smattering­s of a common vision around which we can build durable and lasting social compacts are there in pockets. However, all of the painstakin­g work in building incentives, and negotiatin­g pacts and deals may come to naught if we fail to consider what ground is shifting beneath the negotiatin­g tables, and how to include rather than exclude those systemical­ly located on the margins of the labour market, vulnerable and precarious.

 ??  ?? AYABONGA CAWE
AYABONGA CAWE

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