Business Day

SA’s green energy achieves remarkably

- Bhavtik Vallabhjee ● Vallabhjee is head: power & renewables at Absa Securities UK.

The operationa­l issues at Eskom and their effect on business and quality of life understand­ably frustrate South Africans, but it is important to appreciate that real progress is being made.

What SA has achieved over the past decade is nothing short of remarkable.

The transition from a primarily coal-based energy economy was never going to be easy, and this task was made no easier with a global pandemic, constraine­d local financials and a change in leadership at Eskom

— all in a critical 10-year period for the country.

In 2010, there were about 30 independen­t power producers (IPPs) in Sub-Saharan Africa, and now in SA alone about 112 are in operation and there is increased impetus to deliver additional captive power projects, with the National Energy Regulator of SA greenlight­ing an additional 16 projects in the past 30 days.

More than R200bn has been invested in the sector, and regulators are now approving projects in 19 days for less than 100MW and fewer than 80 days for projects over 100MW.

Countries such as Morocco and Egypt have made impressive strides in their own energy transition.

But SA has been the clear standout from an Africa-wide perspectiv­e.

While government-led utility-scale power projects have been impressive, the private sector captive projects will be where the real magic lies in future. Power projects of more than 4,000MW are planned by the mining sector — power that needs to be added urgently to ensure energy selfsuffic­iency to curtail the effects of load-shedding.

Several exciting projects are in the pipeline in which clients are integratin­g environmen­tal, social & governance issues (ESG) as well as UN sustainabl­e developmen­t goals into their planning.

The recent transactio­n with Harmony Gold Mining is an example of the innovative ways in which businesses are changing their thinking.

The transactio­n will contractua­lly and commercial­ly incentivis­e Harmony to operate in a manner that will reduce its overall carbon footprint.

Contractua­l key performanc­e indicators include setting targets for greenhouse gas emission reduction, renewable energy consumptio­n increases and water consumptio­n reduction.

While there has been much focus on the generation side in Africa, we are moving into an exciting new phase that will require investment in the transmissi­on network, and this is not receiving enough focus or investment activity.

Historical­ly in SA, there was the developmen­t of a centralise­d power supply under a single operator, Eskom.

This power grid was designed to link to the coal fields in Mpumalanga and Limpopo, generate power at stations in Limpopo and Mpumalanga, and transmit power over long distances to the coastal regions. This centralise­d model led to significan­t losses during the transmissi­on of power.

With much of the infrastruc­ture now more than 30 years old, this model is no longer fit for purpose.

Renewable energy has been able to encourage the developmen­t of smaller power plants at load centres where power is required, in decentrali­sed generation.

Distribute­d generation is also starting to evolve to drive electrific­ation, particular­ly in rural communitie­s.

These shifts into mini and microgrids will be a critical part of the electrific­ation process in Africa, where rural communitie­s and access to electrical infrastruc­ture is a sensitive issue socially and politicall­y. We are excited about the trajectory the sector is on. Throughout the value chain, from generation to transmissi­on and micro-grids, an exciting number of game-changing projects is being brought to us.

While we cannot ignore the very real impact of loadsheddi­ng disruption­s on the economy, we cannot ignore the progress that has been made.

This is an exciting time for sponsors, as well as debt and equity funders across the spectrum, and we look forward to partnering to bring these projects to fruition.

The future is green, and indeed actually bright for the energy sector in Africa.

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