Emerging equities slip, SA stocks take a hit
LONDON: Emerging equities slipped for a second day yesterday as more Chinese growth concerns led some to sell out of the recent seven-day rally.
The rand extended its losses against the dollar after falling more than 1 percent on Tuesday, when ratings agency Moody’s placed South Africa’s sovereign credit rating on review for a downgrade.
South Africa’s five-year credit default swops rose two basis points to 335 bps after a nine bps move on Tuesday, according to global financial information and services company Markit.
Moody’s cited the economy’s weak growth prospects and worsening fiscal position. It is the only agency that does not have South Africa a notch away from junk status.
“South Africa’s investment grade rating is under threat – they won’t be able to keep it,” said Per Hammarlund, chief emerging markets strategist at SEB. “It was largely expected as the deterioration in South Africa has gone on so long now.”
The country’s current account deficit has also widened more than expected.
MSCI’s benchmark emerging equity index slipped 0.3 percent, giving up more of the 12.5 percent gains it chalked up from a February 12 trough. It fell 1 percent on Tuesday.
Investors have become cautious on the growth outlook again after a sharp fall in Chinese exports last month, and Hammarlund said they were probably banking profits following the rally.
Chinese mainland shares lost more than 1 percent, ending a six-session winning streak.
Russian dollar-denominated stocks fell more than 2 percent and rouble-listed shares dropped 1.3 percent, playing catch up after markets were closed for a public holiday on Tuesday. Oil prices continued to hold above $40 a barrel, helping the rouble firm 1.2 percent against the dollar. But most Gulf bourses remained in the red.
Budapest shares continued to rally, touching fresh six-year highs as shares in Central Europe’s biggest independent lender, OTP, extended gains.
Other Hungarian stocks also gained as the Budapest bourse announced a new strategy to boost new listings and reverse a fall in turnover seen in recent years. Hammarlund said there had been a change in tone from the Hungarian government, which looks likely to cut bank taxes to help credit growth. “The government is becoming more market-friendly and that is helping to boost sentiment towards Hungary,” he said.
The Malaysian ringgit weakened 0.27 percent against the dollar after the central bank kept its key interest rate on hold at 3.25 percent.
Argentina’s sovereign dollar bond spreads narrowed as much as 7 bps yesterday to 457 bps after a bill aimed at stopping Argentina’s economic decline by ending its 14-year banishment from the global bond market passed its first legislative hurdle.