Cape Argus

Second wave is here and the consequenc­es could be devastatin­g


As we intensify our efforts to regain an aura of normality under the cloak and deadly shadow of Covid-19, we run the grave risk of assisting the second wave, which is now ravaging the Eastern Cape, Western Cape, KwaZulu-Natal and will inevitably spill over into the other provinces.

Letting the virus circulate freely among the complacent public would result in deaths and may be left with lasting lung, heart, brain or kidney damage.

There can be no doubt the dreaded second wave is now truly well and truly here. What remains to be seen is just how bad it will be.

If we allow it to spread unhindered the cost to all of us, in every dimension, will be astronomic­al.

A major second spike is a scary nightmare for us as we would face blame for more deaths and may have to shutter our economy again.

Infections will probably rebound, and could force authoritie­s to reverse course and tighten restrictio­ns on public activities.

Covid fatigue could create a false sense of security resulting in laxity which we ignore at our peril.

Many in the medical community have watched with horror and frustratio­n as their projection­s of the pandemic’s evolution, and its potential death toll, have come to fruition.

A roaring second wave will have a substantia­l elevated mortality rate as we end and enter a new year.

The assault of the virus on our nation in a second wave could be more profound than in the 1st wave.

A progressiv­e decline in vigilance will, pose a deadly threat to our well being, as we ignore cardinal rules of safety and survival.

Infectious disease models are never static, and several unknowns could significan­tly alter the trajectory of the second and third waves.

A fully fledged second wave will be a medical nightmare conjuring up images of a deadly surge of infections.

This is what happened with the Spanish Flu, after World War I when a second wave proved deadlier than the first.

As we prepare to celebrate the festive season, we run the risk of dancing with death, should we choose to discard lockdown rules which kept the lethal virus in check.

In a dense environmen­t with no adherence to safety regulation­s, the spread of infections will increase exponentia­lly with severe consequenc­es for the nation. FAROUK ARAIE | Johannesbu­rg

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