Cape Times

SA is among main recipients of foreign investment

Global flows of FDI have fallen 13% in 2016 to an estimated $1.52 trillion, according to the latest Unctad report

- Wiseman Khuzwayo

SOUTH Africa continued to be one of the biggest recipients of foreign direct investment (FDI) in 2016, despite global economic growth remaining weak, according to two reports.

The UN Conference on Trade and Developmen­t (Unctad) said yesterday global flows of FDI fell 13 percent in 2016 to an estimated $1.52 trillion (R20.46trln) as global economic growth remained weak and world trade volumes posted remained anaemic.

On the contrary, Unctad said that South Africa had seen a 38 percent increase in FDI inflows, though this had remained at a relatively low level of $2.4 billion.

“FDI recovery continues along a bumpy road.

“Particular­ly of concern is the sharp drop-off in manufactur­ing investment projects, which play such an important role in generating badly needed productivi­ty improvemen­ts in developing economies,” Unctad secretary-general Mukhisa Kituyi said.

The UN organ said FDI flows to Africa also registered a decline (-5 percent to $51bn), with the region sharing similar external vulnerabil­ities with Latin America.

The low level of commodity prices continues to have an impact on resource-seeking FDI.

It said flows to Angola more than halved after surging in 2015. Mozambique saw its FDI fall 11 percent, but the level was still significan­t at an estimated $3bn.

Uptick

However, there was some uptick in flows to parts of Africa, centred on traditiona­l FDI recipients such as Egypt (from $6.9bn to $7.5bn) and Nigeria (from $3.1bn to $4bn).

In another developmen­t, the Institute of Internatio­nal Finance (IIF) said the January EM (emerging market) portfolio inflows reached a 5-month high.

The agency said net non-resident portfolio inflows were estimated to have been $12.3bn in January, with equity markets ($7.7bn) attracting more capital than debt markets ($4.6bn).

“FDI recovery continues along a bumpy road.

“Particular­ly of concern is the sharp drop-off in manufactur­ing investment projects, which play such an important role in generating badly needed productivi­ty improvemen­ts in developing economies,” Kituyi said.

“Looking ahead, economic fundamenta­ls point to a potential increase in FDI flows by around 10 percent in 2017,” he said.

“However, significan­t uncertaint­ies about the shape of future economic policy developmen­ts could hamper FDI in the short-term.”

Inflows The IIF said net non-resident portfolio inflows were estimated at $12.3bn in January, with equity markets ($7.7bn) attracting more capital than debt markets ($4.6bn).

The IIF said this compared with outflows of $14.2bn in January 2016. Non-resident portfolio inflows are estimated to have been $12.3bn in January, with equity markets ($7.7bn) attracting more capital than debt markets ($4.6bn).

Impact Unctad said the low level of commodity prices continued to have an impact on resource-seeking FDI.

Flows to Angola more than halved after surging in 2015. Mozambique saw its FDI fall 11 percent, but the level was still significan­t at an estimated $3bn.

However, there was some uptick in flows to parts of Africa centred in countries like Nigeria and Egypt.

 ?? PHOTO: BLOOMBERG ?? Mukhisa Kituyi, Unctad’s secretary-general, said that FDI recovery continues along a bumpy road.
PHOTO: BLOOMBERG Mukhisa Kituyi, Unctad’s secretary-general, said that FDI recovery continues along a bumpy road.

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