THERE IS NO END IN SIGHT FOR GOLD’S RALLY

GOLD IS extending its rally to head for the biggest monthly climb since the UK voted to leave the EU in June 2016. Prices have surged to the highest since 2013 on expectations for looser monetary policy, rising geopolitical tensions and slower global growth amid a prolonged US-China trade war. Gold’s strong June comes ahead of the highly anticipated meeting last Saturday between Presidents Donald Trump and Xi Jinping in Japan. Bullion’s gains gathered pace last week after the Federal Reserve opened the door to a US interest rate cut and other central banks also pivoted to a more dovish stance. The clear signalling of lower interest rates for longer and weakness in the dollar are important supportive factors for gold, said Michael McCarthy, chief market strategist at CMC Markets Asia Pacific. “Bonds and shares at higher – and concerning – levels is another factor, as are fears around trade disputes,” McCarthy said. “The ‘lines in the sand’ for gold are at $1 380 (R19 382) and $1 430. A breach of either of these levels would give an indication of near-term direction. If the meeting between Presidents Xi and Trump is unfruitful, we may see a test of $1 430 next (this) week.” Holdings in gold-backed exchange-traded funds are at the highest since 2013 and have mirrored gold’s price move by also gaining this month by the most in three years, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. A gauge of the US dollar was down 1.7 percent in June, the first monthly decline for the greenback since January. The period from the end of 2019 and into 2020 is seen as more favourable for higher average gold prices as rising US inflation drives real rates even lower, Harry Tchilinguirian, head of commodity markets strategy at BNP Paribas, said. As the Fed is likely to have made at least two rate cuts by then, “we see a window of opportunity for gold to rally, he said. I Bloomberg