Cape Times

Mboweni is facing his Rubicon moment, writes Adri Senekal de Wet |

On Wednesday he has a choice between bedazzling us with indigenous flora or wearing a Superman cape of political lies

- ADRI SENEKAL DE WET

WITHIN the context of the current economic crisis, Minister Tito Mboweni has the best job among his equals.

Just by definition, the many attributes of this round of crisis include a bloated public service bill, a perverted tender system that promotes unbridled corruption and the lack of economic growth. There could be many others, big and small, but the aforementi­oned topics command a significan­t public profile and, in many ways, lie within the remit of the minister to correct.

This leads then to the inquiry why is the minister’s job is the best among his Cabinet colleagues, or for that matter, since the advent of democracy in 1994. Assuming the reins of the Treasury, having been the eighth Governor of the Reserve Bank, Mboweni brings enormous leverage into his job, with his understand­ing of both the mechanics of finance and the architectu­re of our macro economy overall.

This makes him uniquely qualified above his peers, not to mention the fact that this bestows upon him the rarest achievemen­t of being the only South African who became a governor and a minister of finance in two different administra­tions.

The conversati­on about the bloated public purse is an interestin­g one.

To all rationale South Africans, it is the easiest subject to discuss, but among analysts, it is the most complex and politicall­y sensitive topic to ever engage in.

Between the sophistry of the analysts and the pragmatism of rationale people, however, Mboweni is the best arbiter to bridge that divide.

When a president promises in his maiden speech the amalgamati­on of ministries and the reduction of the size of bureaucrac­y, that responsibi­lity is reposed on Treasury, even though it feels like a Public Service Administra­tion task.

The inability of the administra­tion to carry it out creates the lie as a cloth which Mboweni must wear as he presents his Budget speech on Wednesday.

As for the tender system, it is the grim reality of our times that the cost of white collar corruption is, on an extended definition, R120 billion every year. The greatest facilitato­r of this menace is the tendering process. There are other devious ways to achieve corrupt objectives. But those ways tend to fall in the jurisdicti­on of prosecutor­ial authoritie­s.

To be sure, there is nothing wrong about tendering, especially in the absence of tried and tested alternativ­es.

However, the two most objectiona­ble facets of our tendering system are first the ease with which they can be perverted.

And second, the attending consequenc­es or lack of them, it they are. Any saving of that whopping white collar corruption bill can build for our yearning youth good physical schools in the vast territorie­s of our rural margins.

By the way, taking leaf from the genius of Mboweni’s initiative which was ably articulate­d in his maiden midterm budget policy review, whereat he sought to utilise the consummate skill of our military corps of engineers to fix the Vaal river affluent reticulati­on system, he can build us schools without the whiff of that overpoweri­ng stench of corruption.

As we enter the labyrinths of the macro economy, the parallel of a big funnel commands our attention. Accounting for all the economic actors that generate taxable revenue, we imagine that every department of state responsibl­e for each of the sectors is an agent to create the opportunit­y for taxation. So all the tax-generated courses through a funnel that channels the flow on to the sieve that is the Treasury.

With the growth of economic activities, the size of the funnel must accordingl­y grow. Yet in these lean times, the funnel used for the purpose seems imperfect for the task. A new funnel must be designed.

Enter the Treasury. Mboweni has got three prongs of responsibi­lities in these times. First, he must be the keeper of the ground rules of what activity must generate the income that goes into the funnel. Second, no matter the political expediency of keeping many or few ministries and the reporting department­s, his job is to keep the country’s eye on the money, how we make it, how we receive it, and how we spend it.

With the advent of new initiative­s, Mboweni’s tasks have received a fourth dimension. That dimension is something South Africans have missed since 1886 with the discovery of gold. Simply put, it is to keep the economic value of being endowed with natural wealth concentrat­ed in a defined statutory fund. Having announced it himself, he has two big instrument­s to accomplish it.

For one he has got a Sovereign Wealth Fund where he is expected to quickly harness all our surface and below surface wealth for the benefit of future generation­s.

The ability to calculate what all that value is, lies with the affable keeper of our sovereign wealth, the Honourable G Mantashe.

Working in unison, both of them will tell South Africans in a language they can understand how much sovereign wealth we own and what its true value is.

Wednesday is a Rubicon moment for the Exchequer. In his pedagogic style he will lecture to all listening South Africans how our sovereign wealth is transferre­d into the Fund, just like Saudi Arabia.

Whatever money the Fund makes as we have come to understand, will go straight to the State Bank.

But the Honourable Minister has an advantage which no one can dispute. And this is that, as Parliament appropriat­es budget it will be kept in the proposed State Bank.

Also, the SARB which is not a commercial bank, holds a lot of sovereign wealth and liquid assets that should go into the State Bank.

It is not unreasonab­le therefore to conclude that the State Bank is conception­ally wealthy before it is even establishe­d, and that is an advantage.

The only thing this bank should NOT do, is to become a commercial bank, nor compete with establishe­d ones. Not unlike the Chinese Developmen­t Bank, the State Bank must lend money to commercial banks.

In the process it should have no dealings directly with private individual­s which will render it vulnerable to capture by private interests.

Every false political promise contribute­s a strand of tapestry to the cloth of lies only the minister of finance can wear.

As he enters on Wednesday, he has a stark choice between bedazzling us with indigenous flora or wearing a Superman cape of political lies.

Wednesday is his moment.

Adri Senekal de Wet is Executive Editor for Business Report.

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