Daily Maverick

A beginner’s guide to COP26

- By Onke Ngcuka

World leaders and negotiator­s are preparing to head to Glasgow, Scotland, for what is expected to be the most ambitious meeting yet, from 31 October until 12 November. As the 26th Climate Change Conference of the Parties (COP26) negotiatio­ns draw near, countries are preparing to find solutions to collective­ly lower emissions. Here’s what you need to know before the conference gets under way.

In 1994, the parties – countries – agreed on a treaty in which 197 nations (196 countries and the European Union) became signatorie­s of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC). The treaty would legally obligate countries to take climate action and implement agreed-upon efforts at a domestic level.

This year, COP26 is a partnershi­p between the UK and Italy, and aims to bring about ambitious climate action aligned with the Paris Agreement. The negotiatio­ns are expected to call for drastic measures from the parties to curb emissions and achieve net zero by 2050.

What happens at COP26?

Every year since the first COP in Berlin, Germany, in 1995, countries have been meeting to discuss the various ways in which they can combat the climate crisis and implement strategies at a national level.

Countries use the meeting to address their Nationally Determined Contributi­ons (NDCs), which embody efforts by each country to reduce national emissions and adapt to the impacts of climate change. Companies and/or organisati­ons also announce their plans to curb emissions as well as their carbon neutrality goals.

This year’s meeting will be taking place in Glasgow, Scotland, and the president of COP this year is the UK’s Alok Sharma.

What are the goals of COP26?

Achieving net zero emissions by 2050 and keeping to a 1.5°C temperatur­e rise are key targets of the negotiatio­ns. The world needs to halve its emissions to avert catastroph­ic climate crisis consequenc­es, as warned in the Intergover­nmental Panel on Climate Change report.

Adaptation and the restoratio­n of ecosystems to build resilience are equally important factors in determinin­g the success of the negotiatio­ns. The meeting is also looking at mobilising finance to unlock trillions in private and public funding to secure global net zero.

Climate financing between developed and developing countries

Climate financing is among the key topics of COP26 as developing countries seek to hold accountabl­e the 20 richest countries for their role in contributi­ng to 80% of global emissions. Developing countries are most vulnerable to the climate crisis even though their relative contributi­ons have typically been minimal.

Developing countries are expected to increase climate financing from the $100-billion per year that developed countries had pledged between 2009 and 2020, of which they met the target by about $79-billion in 2019. A financial pledge is a way for developed countries to acknowledg­e their role in causing the crisis while giving a helping hand to developing countries to meet their NDCs.

And what exactly are NDCs?

NDCs are a country’s climate action plan for lowering its emissions and impact on the climate. They are updated every five years and represent each country’s efforts to maintain a global average temperatur­e rise of no more than 1.5°C, as per the Paris Agreement.

What is the Paris Agreement and why is it so important?

The NDCs are at the heart of the Paris Agreement, a legally binding treaty signed in 2015 in Paris, France, by 196 parties. The agreement is a commitment to keep the average global temperatur­e increase below 2°C, preferably below 1.5°C, compared with pre-industrial temperatur­es.

The agreement is important as it compels countries to take climate action to keep global average temperatur­e rises below 1.5°C by achieving net zero by 2050.

What are current temperatur­es?

Although countries have made headway in lowering emissions, the commitment­s have not been ambitious enough to keep global average temperatur­es below a 1.5°C increase.

Current global warming stands at about 1.1°C above pre-industrial levels. Even with countries updating their NDCs to meet Paris Agreement goals, a UN Climate Change report showed that the countries’ efforts would result in a 1% decrease in global emissions by 2030 as compared to 2010.

Why should the global average temperatur­e rise be kept below 1.5°C?

A 1.5°C average temperatur­e increase limits the extremity of the consequenc­es of the climate crisis, lowering major risks of food and water shortages, and lowering the chances of more species becoming extinct.

What is the difference between net zero and carbon neutral?

In short, the two terms are different and should not be confused.

Dr Jackie Raw, a postdoctor­al research fellow at Nelson Mandela University, explains that “carbon neutral” is similar to “net zero” but it refers specifical­ly to carbon emissions and removals.

“Net zero”, on the other hand, refers to the balance between all greenhouse gases (GHGs) emitted and those removed. Carbon dioxide, methane, nitrous oxide, ozone, water vapour and chlorofluo­rocarbons are the main GHG emissions.

“Net zero is, therefore, an emissions and removals goal. It can be applied at different scales – by cities, regions, businesses and countries. Net zero can be achieved by lowering emissions and increasing removals of GHGs,” Raw said.

Who is representi­ng South Africa in the negotiatio­ns?

Forestry, Fisheries and the Environmen­t Minister Barbara Creecy will be representi­ng South Africa. Tanguy Gahouma-Bekale of Gabon is the chairperso­n of the African Group of Negotiator­s on Climate Change under the UNFCCC and will be leading negotiatio­ns on the continent’s priorities, which include adaptation, climate finance and transparen­cy mechanisms.

 ?? Photo: Ian Forsyth/Getty Images ?? Glasgow will welcome world leaders and thousands of attendees for the crucial United Nations summit on climate change in November.
Photo: Ian Forsyth/Getty Images Glasgow will welcome world leaders and thousands of attendees for the crucial United Nations summit on climate change in November.

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