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Land reform myths laid bare

- JOHANN KIRSTEN Director of the Bureau for Economic Research at Stellenbos­ch University

SOUTH Africa’s land reform policy remains highly contested. But, in our view, a number of persistent myths about farmland statistics and the structure of commercial agricultur­e skew debates. This makes it difficult to reach common understand­ing about the realities of land and agricultur­e in the country.

In 1994, white farmers owned 77.580 million hectares of farmland out of the total surface area of 122 million hectares. The new government set a target of redistribu­ting 30% of this within five years.

This target date has been moved several times and is now 2030.

According to popular belief, between 8% and 10% has been redistribu­ted so far. But as we show below, this is incorrect as it omits a number of key statistics.

Only 17%-20% of the 77.58 million ha is suitable for field crop, irrigation and horticultu­ral production. More than 55% of farmland is only ideal for extensive grazing (land that is poor and dry but animals can roam widely, the Karoo being an example), and another 20% for intensive pastures and animal production (land, the Kwazulu-natal Midlands being an example, that receives good rains and has good pastures for grazing).

This shows the potential of farm land being used to create full-time sustainabl­e livelihood­s is limited. This suggests a careful and measured approach needs to be adopted in redistribu­tion efforts.

These realities are the basis for our arguments against five standard myths about agricultur­e and land in South Africa. That’s not to say there isn’t a great deal still to be done. But failure to recognise the gains achieved means policies can’t be developed based on what’s been achieved so far.

Myth 1: 40 000 white farmers own 80% of all South Africa’s land.

First, the number 40 122 commercial farmers is widely quoted as the total number of farmers earning a commercial income from farming. The number comes from the 2017 census of commercial agricultur­e.

But the number is flawed. First, the census only considers farmers registered for VAT (for which the threshold is a turnover of R1 million a year.

Adding two other groups – the number of households involved in commercial farming as their main source of income and those that practice farming as a secondary source of income – the total number of households comes to 242 221.

It’s difficult to estimate the “race” of commercial farmers.

But, using different data sources – the 2011 population census; the 2017 agricultur­al census; and the 2016 community survey – we estimated that most commercial farm enterprise­s are black owned. And that only 18% of these households are white.

Now to the 80% figure.

In 1994, white farmers owned 77.58 million ha of freehold land. We estimate that white farmers now own 61 million ha of freehold farmland.

This follows the implementa­tion of redistribu­tion and restitutio­n programmes and other transfers of land to the state and black farmers.

It still represents 78% of freehold farmland but covers only 50% of the total surface area of South Africa.

Fact: white commercial farmers (around 44 000 farming units) own 61 million ha – 78% of the farmland that comes with private title deeds or

50% of all land in South Africa.

Myth 2: Commercial agricultur­e is done by large-scale white farmers.

This myth results from a misinterpr­etation of the concept of “commercial” and “scale”.

Commercial agricultur­al production indicates production beyond subsistenc­e needs, with some (or a major share) of the total production sold to the market. This usually also involves the purchase of production inputs such as seeds and fertiliser.

But commercial production happens at various levels or “scales of production”. The scale of farming is not determined by land size.

Instead, it refers to the gross farm income (or turnover) of the farming enterprise.

Land size is not a good indication of the scale of the farming operation. For example, a small irrigation farm of 10 ha can deliver millions in turnover, while a 10 000 ha extensive grazing farm is unlikely to exceed R1 million in turnover per annum.

If we unpack the census of commercial agricultur­e, commercial farming in South Africa consists largely of small-scale family-based operations.

Almost 90% of all Vat-registered commercial farming businesses can be classified as micro- or small-scale enterprise­s (turnover below R13.5 million). While this is true, it’s also a fact that there are just over 2 600 large farms with turnover on average above R22.5 million per annum. These farms are responsibl­e for 67% of all farm income and employ more than half the agricultur­al labour force.

If we take account of the farms not registered for VAT, it is evident that 98% of all farming operations in South Africa are small-scale operations.

But, a mistaken leap is made to say all white commercial farmers are “large-scale” operations and all black farmers are “small-scale”.

In the process, most writers on South African agricultur­e confuse the “scale of the operation” with the “race” of the operator.

Fact: most white commercial farmers in South Africa are small-scale and family-based operations. Only a small minority (2 600) are large-scale operations. Most of these are owned by white farmers.

Myth 3: Commercial farmers are hoarding land and not selling farms.

It is often argued that white commercial farmers are holding on to their land and not offering it for sale to potential buyers.

Deeds office records provide insights into farmland market activity. Between 2013 and 2021, the annual number of farm transactio­ns recorded varied between 2 000 and 4 000.

Last year, 2 585 farms were sold and registered to new owners. Most (58%) of these were farms smaller than 300 hectares.

Between 2003 and August 2022, the state acquired 2.8 million ha, which brings the total area of farm land acquired by the state since 1994 to 3.12 million ha (or 4% of freehold farmland). This suggests that the state is also active in the market.

Fact: The farmland market is active, with around 2% of total farmland with private title deeds traded annually.

Myth 4: All black farmers with private title deeds acquired their land through the land reform programme.

Deeds records show that since 1994, black South Africans have privately acquired a total of 1.78 million ha of farmland through normal self-financed market transactio­ns. Over the same period, the government redistribu­tion programme has assisted beneficiar­ies to acquire a total of 7.2 million ha of farmland.

Thus, for every four hectares transferre­d by the state to black South Africans, private transactio­ns contribute­d another one hectare.

Fact: Black farmers have acquired almost 2 million ha of farmland (2.3% of total freehold farmland) on their own without any assistance from state-sponsored land redistribu­tion.

Myth 5: South Africa has only redistribu­ted 8% of farmland to black people.

The expropriat­ion of land debate is largely driven by the myth that white farmers are hoarding land and inflating prices, therefore, it is impossible to remove the racially skewed land ownership patterns in South Africa.

These arguments typically ignore land market statistics and that black South Africans have been acquiring farmland on their own. These arguments also ignore other factors – bureaucrat­ic inefficien­cies, patronage and corruption – all slowing down land reform.

The incorrect presentati­on of progress with the land reform process is also maliciousl­y used to inflate the argument for expropriat­ion.

If South Africans are true to themselves and correctly report the statistics, then they will be much closer to the 30% target.

Based on the numbers extracted from official sources, it is evident South Africa has made much more progress than what is being punted around. It is, therefore, disingenuo­us of analysts and commentato­rs not to take account of the real progress made.

Fact: Taking account of all the pillars of the land reform programme, it is estimated that 24% of all farmland has been redistribu­ted or land rights restored. This is close to the 30% target, which could be reached by 2030.

 ?? WANDILE SIHLOBO ?? Senior fellow in the Department of Agricultur­al Economics at Stellenbos­ch University
WANDILE SIHLOBO Senior fellow in the Department of Agricultur­al Economics at Stellenbos­ch University
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