Farmer's Weekly (South Africa)

OBAL INSIGHT : Will 2019 be the watershed year for SACU?

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The Southern African Customs Union (SACU), which includes Botswana, Lesotho, Namibia, South Africa and Swaziland, is the oldest customs union in the world. In this column, I will discuss some of the fundamenta­l issues that have threatened its viability and integrity. Two key issues lie at the heart of the current SACU crisis.

Colonial roots

First, SACU was fundamenta­lly a colonial institutio­n that served colonial interests. The modern era of postcoloni­al African states has forced the regional institutio­n, and others like it, to re-invent itself as a paragon of trade and economic integratio­n.

The problem, however, is that the process of reinventio­n has not gone far enough to shake off the characteri­stics that defined its existence in the first place. SACU began as a way for South Africa to compensate its BLNS (Botswana, Lesotho, Namibia and Swaziland) partners for helping to circumvent the effects of internatio­nal isolation and sanctions, and it has not been re-framed to reflect a 21st century customs union.

Since its formation, SACU has been governed by a revenue-sharing agreement in which the five countries in the union receive a portion of the tariffs and taxes collected from within the union.

Apparently, revisions have been made to the formula, but fundamenta­l reforms to this arrangemen­t have been deemed ‘politicall­y sensitive’, and have been resisted by the BLNS countries. The revenue-sharing arrangemen­t seems to be the most, if not only, important variable. It is, in fact, the glue that holds SACU together, despite persistent unilateral­ism and anti-free trade practices.

Second, there are concerns about the benefit of SACU, particular­ly to South Africa, given that BLNS countries have continued to restrict South African exports and companies from trading and investing in the union.

South Africa’s hegemony is inevitable given the size of its economy relative to its BLNS partners. And while the concerns from BLNS countries are valid, the growing sense of trade protection­ism has created a situation in which the union itself is not reflective of its own tenets.

But the revenue-sharing formula, despite being central to the whole debate on SACU’s existence, is not the only politicall­y sensitive issue that has dogged the institutio­n’s survival. Some BLNS partners have lobbied for the democratis­ation of the institutio­n to allow for an equal say accorded to each partner, regardless of economic size.

The problem with this is that it would diminish South Africa’s influence in SACU, even though it is most at risk of being negatively affected by policy decisions. About 90% of SACU’s economy lies in South Africa, and it would not be reasonable to accord equal voting power to small economies such as Lesotho, whose economic size is less than 1% of SACU’s total.

Some partners have lobbied for the democratis­ation of the institutio­n

Change on the horizon

Given the foregoing, there are ongoing deliberati­ons about how to reform SACU in order to transform the institutio­n into a truly modern customs union. However, such reform propositio­ns cannot be resolved with political ease due to the stakes involved.

While political sensitivit­ies take precedence, the winds of change seem to be blowing to challenge SACU’s position. There is recognitio­n that, for SACU to realise its full potential, it needs to reform and reinvent itself in some fundamenta­l way.

 ?? GLOBAL IN SIGHT by Dr Tinash e Kapuya
Dr Tinashe Kapuya is an agricultur­al economist. Email him at tinashekap­uya@gmail.com. ??
GLOBAL IN SIGHT by Dr Tinash e Kapuya Dr Tinashe Kapuya is an agricultur­al economist. Email him at tinashekap­uya@gmail.com.

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