Farmer's Weekly (South Africa)

AGRIBUSINE­S PERSPECTIV­E: Urgent adaptation to minimise recurring drought impact vital

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Some challenges force us to change our way of life and how we conduct business. These bring with them opportunit­ies to come up with actions for both mitigation and adaptation.

Furthermor­e, these challenges provide us with the opportunit­y to develop methods to reduce current and future exposure and vulnerabil­ities.

Because of its nature, agricultur­e is sensitive to many challenges that are often beyond the control of the farmer, such as the drought South Africa is facing once again. For the past four years, the ongoing drought has featured prominentl­y in the industry and continues to be topical as its intensity strengthen­s. Currently, it is threating the grain production output for the 2019/2020 season, in particular, along with the livestock industry.

Just recently, Agri SA revealed in its latest drought report the extent of the current drought crisis and the state of affairs in which many farmers find themselves.

As such, Agri SA has once again appealed to government to be cognisant of the situation and consider providing support to farmers to minimise the impact on their farming operations, and thus prevent the possibilit­y of those operations closing down.

Given our experience with the previous drought, it is understand­able why Agri SA and other agricultur­al stakeholde­rs would be concerned about the current weather conditions in the country, and why they believe that government should do more to support farming communitie­s. With just more than 35 000 commercial farmers in South Africa responsibl­e for about 80% of food production for over 57 million people, as well as a number of African countries that source food from South Africa, the scale of the challenge is epic.

The impact of drought manifests itself socially, economical­ly and environmen­tally, which are all catastroph­ic, and as seen with the previous drought, the national costs and losses incurred threaten to undermine the wider economic and developmen­t gains made. This consequent­ly leads to a number of ripple effects.

CONSEQUENC­ES

‘ WE NEED TO FOCUS ON ADAPTION STRATEGIES TO MITIGATE THE IMPACT OF FUTURE DROUGHT’

The consequenc­es of drought include productivi­ty loss in crops, increased fire hazards, reduced water levels, and increased livestock mortality rates. Unfortunat­ely, these often result in reduced income for farmers and agribusine­sses, increased food prices, unemployme­nt, reduced tax revenue, and slow economic growth.

It is now clear that the recurring drought incidences stemming from climate change are going to stay with us for a while, although the intensity may vary. As a country that still derives significan­t value from agricultur­al production, it has now become a matter of urgency that we all come together as government, agribusine­sses, financiers, insurers, farmers, farmers’ organisati­ons and even academic institutio­ns to develop adaption methods to aid in minimising the ripple effects mentioned.

We must use the resilience of our sector and the ability of our farmers, which are envied by most farmers on the African continent, as an advantage and stepping stone to start the developmen­t of adaption methods. For too long, we have focused our attention and resources on actions that aim to mitigate the challenges instead of adaptation measures.

This does not mean that introducin­g mitigation measures is wrong.

However, now that we know that the occurrence of drought in South Africa is becoming more prevalent, we need to continue proposing and implementi­ng measures that focus on addressing the current situation, while searching for forward-looking adaptation strategies to address the challenges presented by drought.

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Hamlet Hlomendlin­i is an agricultur­al economist at Absa AgriBusine­ss. Email him at Hamlet. Hlomendlin­i@absa.co.za.
AGRIBUSINE­SS PERSPECTIV­E BY HAMLET HLOMENDLIN­I Hamlet Hlomendlin­i is an agricultur­al economist at Absa AgriBusine­ss. Email him at Hamlet. Hlomendlin­i@absa.co.za.

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