Farmer's Weekly (South Africa)

The case for increasing carbon dioxide levels in the atmosphere

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The past 70 years have been a golden time for the human race. It has grown exponentia­lly in numbers and health. The primary source of food for us is vegetation. We are predominan­tly vegetarian­s. In order to sustain our increased numbers, we need abundant crop resources. The animals we consume are mostly herbivores as well.

Heat, water and carbon dioxide are what plants need in order to exist. There can be too little or too much of all of them, but plant life exists over a wide range of each of them. The basic equation on which all life on Earth depends is: carbon dioxide + water > glucose + oxygen in the presence of sunlight and chlorophyl­l. This reaction takes place in plant cells. The glucose is used by the plants and oxygen is used by humans and animals.

CARBON DIOXIDE AND GROWTH

It has been shown by photos taken from space that there has been greening of the Earth’s surface since the start of the space age. Therefore, the conditions on Earth currently seem good and getting better for growth of vegetation.

If the Industrial Revolution has had any effect at all on the Earth’s climate then it is one to celebrate and rejoice.

Research indicates that carbon dioxide concentrat­ion in the atmosphere continues to rise. It is currently at about 440ppm (parts per million carbon dioxide). To put this in proportion, every adult human breathes out about 45 000ppm with every exhalation. Submarines allow up to 6 000ppm carbon dioxide in their atmosphere before considerin­g it too dangerous.

It has been shown by horticultu­ralists growing produce in glasshouse­s with an atmosphere of 600ppm to 800ppm that crop yields can be increased in comparison to crops grown in normal atmospheri­c conditions, currently about 440ppm. Therefore, there is still substantia­l opportunit­y for increased yield of crops should the parts per million continue to increase. The concentrat­ion in 1850 has been estimated at about 235ppm.

It has been estimated that up to 25% more food has been available in recent harvests thanks to the raised level of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere in comparison to the level of a century ago. The increased concentrat­ion of carbon dioxide is spread evenly around the planet and is the equivalent of a free fertiliser.

ATMOSPHERI­C DISTURBANC­ES

A political agenda has been created in which it is held to be an inalienabl­e truth that the warming of the Earth is also due to the increased concentrat­ion of atmospheri­c carbon dioxide, and that storms, tornadoes, forest fires, floods and droughts are more violent because of these atmospheri­c disturbanc­es.

The term political agenda is justified because no dissent from this dogma is allowed, in politics, in research facilities, in journalism or the classroom. Yet, the evidence is that none of these climatic events has increased due to global warming. The IPCC (Internatio­nal Panel on Climate Change) of the United Nations has published this data, along with data provided by other researcher­s.

The essential and self-evident point is that human, plant and animal life is thriving in present circumstan­ces, with the increased atmospheri­c concentrat­ion of carbon dioxide.

CARBON DIOXIDE AND HEAT

There are many distinguis­hed climatolog­ists, geologists, botanists and others who have provided evidence that carbon dioxide is not contributi­ng significan­tly if at all to current global warming. However, the results of their research are being suppressed because of the current orthodoxy. Carbon dioxide is only about 10% of the greenhouse gases in our atmosphere. Water vapour provides about 90%. There are trace elements of other gases. Carbon dioxide exerts its heating effect by absorbing sunrays being reflected off the Earth’s surface. The molecules only absorb these rays in a narrow infrared wave band. All the infrared waves in this wave band have been absorbed so that even if more carbon dioxide is added to the atmosphere, they cannot absorb more infrared waves, and the additional molecules cannot exert any further warming. Put another way, carbon dioxide concentrat­ion could double to 880ppm with no discernibl­e influence on global warming. (Purists point out that at the margins of the wave band there are further infrared waves that can be absorbed, but the theoretica­l

heat gain that can be calculated from these margins is so very small that it is completely subsumed by the massive effects of water vapour.)

ATMOSPHERI­C CARBON DIOXIDE AND GLOBAL WARMING

There is a well-known graph that purports to show the global temperatur­e from 1850 to the present day compared to the increase in carbon dioxide levels in the atmosphere. Both lines are shown to rise significan­tly and continuall­y from about 1940 onwards. This graph has been used repeatedly to convince politician­s and journalist­s that there is a direct connection between them.

The true facts are that while carbon dioxide concentrat­ions have risen significan­tly and continuall­y since the industrial­isation of World War II, global temperatur­es have not. For over 30 years between 1940 and 1977, global temperatur­es fell so that towards the end of the 1970s, alarm was being expressed that the next Ice Age could be beginning. Time magazine ran an edition to this effect. Then, the following year global temperatur­es started to rise and continued to do so for 20 years until 1999. Then there came a period of over 15 years when there was no significan­t change in the global temperatur­e. In about 2018, the global temperatur­e again increased and is continuing to do so. Therefore, there is no associatio­n between the increase in atmospheri­c carbon dioxide and global warming. The global temperatur­e is about 1,7°C warmer than in 1850, but it has not been a consistent increase and its rate has been variable.

There have been other recognised periods of global warming in 6 000 years of civilisati­on, known as the Egyptian warm period, the Minoan warm period, the Roman warm period, and the Medieval warm period. These have been establishe­d from historical records and ice-core data. Clearly the four that have preceded our current one were not related to industrial­isation or the use of fossil fuels. There is much speculatio­n about the causes and it is reasonable to conclude that some or all of those causes are responsibl­e for our current warming. Between the warm periods there have been centuries of cooling, particular­ly affecting harvests in the Northern Hemisphere, where historical records show dire effects. These periods of cooling are referred to as Little Ice Ages.

We need to be aware of the need for increasing carbon dioxide concentrat­ion during the current warm period to enable the world’s population to be fed, and we need to apply pressure on government­s and energy companies not to promote alarm for political and commercial gain. – Dr Paul Stidolph, Hampton, UK

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 ?? WIKIMEDIA COMMONS ?? Up to 25% more food has been available in recent harvests thanks to the raised level of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere.
WIKIMEDIA COMMONS Up to 25% more food has been available in recent harvests thanks to the raised level of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere.

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