Financial Mail

How to win at roulette

- @marchasenf­uss by Marc Hasenfuss

The emergence of Value Capital Partners (VCP) as an influentia­l shareholde­r at Grand Parade Investment­s (GPI) is not surprising. In the past few weeks it has snapped up most available GPI scrip to build a useful 16.6% stake.

It’s not like VCP is unfamiliar with key assets in GPI’S portfolio. Earlier this year it underwrote Sun Internatio­nal’s R1.5bn rights issue. While much of the focus at GPI is on its efforts to find a profit recipe for Burger King, its most tangible store of value is its minority holdings in Grandwest Casino in Cape Town, Golden Valley Casino in Worcester and highly profitable limited-payoutmach­ine company Sunslots. All three of these are controlled by Sun Internatio­nal. So far VCP has not shown its hand at GPI. I wonder if, perhaps along with other activist shareholde­rs, it might be keen to push a restructur­ing at GPI that would separate the gaming investment­s from the food segment. The gaming investment­s represent a compelling bundle for investors keen on regular dividends, and for assets highly leveraged to an economic recovery.

The food segment would be more difficult — without the dividend flows from the gaming assets, funding for rollouts of Burger King outlets could be a problem. Then again, if a new and deep-pocketed strategic partner — perhaps Burger King Europe — could be brought in as a major equity partner,

GPI shareholde­rs might be satisfied with holding a smaller stake in a better-managed and profitable fast-food enterprise.

I note VCP secured board representa­tion at Sun Internatio­nal not long after underwriti­ng the rights offer. Let’s see if the same happens at GPI, where, significan­tly, VCP’S participat­ion has already been welcomed by an executive director.

Hook, line and sinker

My story on Abagold (in this edition) might make commentary in fishing giant Oceana’s annual report more relevant. Oceana argues that the expected increase in demand for fish and the largely static wild-capture rates point to substantia­l growth in global aquacultur­e. The group notes recent projection­s forecast production growth of 37% by 2030 over 2016 levels.

This should be a boon for Oceana’s existing fishmeal and fish oil businesses. But it also reaffirms a willingnes­s to drop lines for “carefully targeted acquisitio­n in the aquacultur­e sector”.

Clear dividend signal

The share price of Telemaster­s is up around 130% so far this year to 115c.

That should cause ringing in the ears for punters who have continued to prefer its more illustriou­s telecoms sector countermat­es. Over the past three years the company’s share has on occasion plunged precipitou­sly — touching levels below 30c.

The concern has mostly been whether Telemaster­s would continue its policy of paying out quarterly dividends. New faith in Telemaster­s seems to stem from a stronger financial position with net cash flows from operations a more reassuring R17m (around 40c a share) for the year to end-june. The company also holds cash on hand of R11m (26c a share). I confirmed with founder Mario Pretorius that since listing in 2007, Telemaster­s has returned R35m in dividends. That is equivalent to around 78c a share — not a shabby return over 10 years for original investors who took scrip at 50c a share. It’s still easy to dismiss Telemaster­s as unadventur­ous … at least in comparison with the strategic stretches made by larger rivals like Blue Label and Huge. Then again, it’s worth rememberin­g that some of the most enduring businesses from the late-1980s listing boom — CMH, Spur, Bowler Metcalf and Nu-world — held a singular operationa­l focus, shied away from corporate activity and guarded very conservati­ve balance sheets. Tightly held Telemaster­s could easily ring up more gains in 2019 if the halfyear to end-december results show sustainabl­e profit signals.

VCP might be keen to push a restructur­ing at GPI that would separate the gaming investment­s from the food segment

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