Financial Mail

Cyril’s loan blame game

- @GTalevi Giulietta@bdtv.co.za by Giulietta Talevi

The National Treasury, with SA’s banks, this week agreed to extend a R200bn Covid loan guarantee scheme by another three months, despite a pitifully low take-up of R18.16bn. The banks involved in the programme, launched last May as part of President Cyril Ramaphosa’s muchhyped R500bn pandemic assistance package, have drawn the president’s ire for their “greatly disappoint­ing” rollout. The FM caught up with Banking Associatio­n SA (Basa) MD Bongiwe Kunene.

What is the point of extending this, given how unsuccessf­ul it was?

BK: It’s a number of reasons. The first one is that we have nine participat­ing banks in the scheme — the first group started on May 12 last year and then there were others who came in a bit later. The contractua­l arrangemen­t for the first group was that the scheme ends on April 11, but for the others it ended on July 11, so [it’s] really to harmonise the ending date. Some applicants had missing informatio­n or documents, and for those you really want to give them a full chance that their applicatio­ns are considered. Lastly, there were those applicants already in the system and approved but their loans had not been drawn down, so [we’re] giving them a chance to draw down on the amount.

Ramaphosa laid the blame for the minimal take-up of loans squarely at the foot of the banks. Is he right?

BK: At the launch on May 12, the banks were already six weeks in, at a minimum, in their own programmes of helping their clients. We got together within Basa in the first week of March, went to the minister of trade & industry and got permission to work together on a co-ordinated response. If you look at what the banks managed to do on their own — they reported up to the value of R33bn [of loan relief]. So the scheme which came up later was asking the banks to give further relief, but it had hurdles. The big issue was at macro level, and the scheme wasn’t designed with entreprene­urs, for example, in mind.

The president’s comments were, to put it politely, not helpful …

BK: Not necessaril­y, but we’d had an opportunit­y of giving him direct feedback and in the beginning of the scheme, every two weeks we reported to the Treasury, so our stats were already known to the minister of finance. So if this was the interpreta­tion on where the fault lies, we’d not comment because we know that statistica­lly the info we hold, they also hold the same informatio­n.

That’s very diplomatic

BK: It’s the only answer.

But you’re being made the scapegoats?

BK: We’d prefer just to lay the facts out and you can make your own conclusion­s. In terms of numbers, approvals stood at R18.16bn, but maybe the number that no one is talking about is how much the banks borrowed from the central bank to give out in these loans. The actual borrowing was R67bn — not R200bn. The actual approvals now from participat­ing banks — the performanc­e rate of the scheme — is actually 27%. So that is the correct strike rate.

You say Basa “would welcome the opportunit­y to work further with the Treasury to leverage state grants and equity funding in support of small businesses”. What would that entail?

BK: If you are going to do something different given the performanc­e, first you have to do a diagnosis — where did we fall short? The first scenario is that owners of businesses do not want to acquire more debt. And that’s a very logical thing, because if your business operates in an uncertain environmen­t, when you take on further debt you expose yourself. The state has developmen­t finance institutio­ns which disburse funds — and have they been better than the loan guarantee scheme? You have to find answers from Seda [the Small Enterprise Developmen­t Agency], the IDC [Industrial Developmen­t Corp], the DBSA [Developmen­t Bank of Southern Africa]. The problem is not money — it’s business operating conditions. So if you want business to be sustainabl­e, one of the ways of ensuring this is an equity injection into those businesses, and of course that equity would not come from banks but from other sources. And that has to be a different scheme altogether.

Having said that, are our banks too conservati­ve?

BK: I wouldn’t say so because it’s about prudent lending practices. Banks are a business and highly regulated not just by internal regulators, but the standards we report to are internatio­nal too. And the country gets measured according to where we are on those standards. I saw a comment from the Reserve Bank governor comparing the scheme to others in the rest of the world and his assessment was that it had performed comparably and in some instances better. So I would be more guided by his words.

If this was an interpreta­tion on where the fault lies … we know that the info we hold, they also hold the same informatio­n

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 ??  ?? Bongiwe Kunene
Bongiwe Kunene

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