Financial Mail

Banking on Africa

A 26% compound growth in headline earnings from its divisions across the continent has helped Standard Bank weather SA’s paltry growth rates

- Jaco Visser

● Standard Bank, Africa’s largest lender by assets, has reported robust growth in its operations in the rest of the continent, while analysts are keeping a close eye on how the bank integrates its now fully owned insurance arm, Liberty.

For the 12 months to end-December, Standard Bank’s headline earnings jumped 37% to R34.27bn, whereas its banking activities reported a 22% gain to R30.54bn. This indicates Liberty’s return to profitabil­ity it clocked up headline profits of R2bn compared with a loss of R64m a year earlier.

The bank’s Africa regions unit, which operates in 19 countries, showed a 36% rise in headline earnings to R12.2bn.

This helped the lender declare a chunky and record dividend of 691c a share, taking the total 2022 payout to R12.06 a share.

“Standard Bank’s success thus far across its rest of Africa markets is an important considerat­ion in our investment thesis, relative to the South African financial services peer group,” Tasneem Samodien, research analyst at Old Mutual Wealth Private Client Securities, tells the FM. “We expect the growth in these emerging economies to outstrip that of South Africa, and with Standard Bank playing a pivotal role in their economic developmen­t, this adds resilience to Standard Bank’s earnings relative to its South African peers,” she says.

The bank’s CEO, Sim Tshabalala, says most of its clients in the Africa regions segment are at the top end of the income curve. “They are wealthier customers we have relationsh­ips with from the corporate banking side.”

Over the past decade, the bank has managed to grow the Africa regions’ headline earnings by a compound average growth rate of 26%, according to Samodien. Tshabalala expects GDP growth in Sub-Saharan Africa of 3.8% this year (compared with 1.2% in South Africa) and for it to “accelerate to 4% over the medium term”.

However, it’s not all been plain sailing. As with other South African lenders, Standard Bank has taken a bullet from the Ghanaian government’s debt restructur­e. Standard Bank set aside R1.47bn for the fallout in its latest results, at a coverage ratio of 56%. FirstRand impaired R496m, Absa raised R2.7bn and the effect on Nedbank, through its West African associate Ecobank, is R175m, all for the period

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Sim Tshabalala

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