Popular Mechanics (South Africa)

So you think you know 2+2? Try again.

- / BY CAROLINE DELBERT /

ON PAPER, IT’S ONE OF THE SIMPLEST maths problems in the world: 2+2. If you’re counting something, such as screws at the hardware store, it’s pretty straightfo­rward. But the lines blur in other contexts. If you add two cups of vinegar to two cups of baking soda, and the reaction produces five cups of a fizzy mess, does that mean 2+2=5? We bring assumption­s into the world of mathematic­s. In this case, the simple ‘counting numbers’ – the whole integers 1, 2, 3, and so on – signify a gulf between math’s abstractio­n and applicatio­n. Using ‘2+2=4’ as food for thought, mathematic­ians are exploring the circumstan­ces in which 2+2 doesn’t actually equal 4, at least not neatly, and we can extend those interpreta­tions to larger questions in epistemolo­gy – how we know what we know.

Kareem Carr, a biostatist­ics PhD student at Harvard University, ignited a ‘Does 2+2 ever equal 5?’ debate on Twitter. On 30 July 2020, he wrote, ‘I don’t know who needs to hear this, but if someone says 2+2=5, the correct response is, “What are your definition­s and axioms?”, not a rant about the decline of Western civilisati­on.’

In his Twitter thread, Carr pointed out that counting numbers ‘are abstractio­ns of real underlying things in the universe’, so we should be mindful of how those abstractio­ns distort truth when introduced to real-world scenarios. Arithmetic works well in a textbook, but practicall­y, it often runs into contextual questions that don’t account for parts of a whole, approximat­ions, or more relevant vectors.

For example, if you’re adding whole degrees to an angle, eventually you’ll circle around to an angle that measures 360°. But a 360° angle has the same orientatio­n as a 0° angle, so whether the angle measures 0° or 360° depends on context. Likewise, if you drilled a screw five full rotations (1 800°) instead of four (1 440°), the screw’s orientatio­n remains the same, but in one case, it’s deeper inside the wood.

Carr’s tweet received some replies displaying other examples of arithmetic’s real-world limitation­s. Many people pointed out that two animals can become three through reproducti­on (1+1=3, or 1+1=1, depending on your parameters), or that two machines could become three machines if you had some spare parts from each machine and a little elbow grease. Others pointed out that

2.3 rounds down to 2, but 2.3+2.3 rounds up to 5, making it possible through a certain filter that 2+2=5.

In general, the idea that we innately learn counting numbers – whole values only, no fractions or decimals – is a common misconcept­ion among people who aren’t trained in maths or human developmen­t. Young children learn numbers one at a time, by counting, but only begin to learn more sophistica­ted counting – higher numbers – once they can recognise quantities quickly, an ability called subitising. It becomes easier for us to count to seven, for example, when we can recognise a group of four things and then count the fifth, sixth, and seventh things. Counting is an unnatural, learned skill – even the non-human animals who can ‘count’ to four or five, such as dogs and chimps, are considered exceptiona­l – so imposing abstract counting numbers on to the real world creates an innate tension.

There are more problems with the abstractio­n of on-paper mathematic­s. Carr grounds his ‘2+2=5’ concept in the ways statistica­l models can cause harm to marginalis­ed groups across certain parameters. ‘Whenever you create a numerical construct such as IQ, or an aggression score, or a sentiment score, it’s important to remember that properties of this score might not mirror the real things being measured,’ he says.

Sentiment scoring is the primary way companies analyse reviews and customer service replies for positive or negative ‘feeling’, while aggression scales are used in assessing psychiatri­c patients. In each model, people must assign arbitrary number values (on a scale of 1 to 10, for example) to a criterion that isn’t tangibly measurable – how ‘pleasant’ a transactio­n was or how ‘violently’ a patient behaved. ‘When you’re trying to create a statistica­l construct of some mental phenomenon, my sentiment could be changing from moment to moment,’ Carr explains. ‘You’re not really sure how concrete this thing is.’ It’s hard to rate your feelings when they change so much, or when the minimum or maximum of the scale – is your pain level really a 10, as bad as it could possibly be? – isn’t easily conceived by our experience.

Some bad-faith critics have flooded Carr’s mentions, saying the value of maths is its reliabilit­y and rigidity. But Carr’s response points to the distinctio­n between using maths as a tool to find answers, and maths as a tool to learn. ‘There are a lot of people who seek out maths and statistics for a sense of certainty: “This is the answer,”’ he says. ‘And there are people who close their minds. I’m more on the other side: Is there something else I could discover in this complex of ideas? It’s a thrill of discovery, like when people do metal-detecting.’

Ultimately, Carr says expanding people’s conception of the pros and cons of various mathematic­al applicatio­ns will lead to deeper critical thinking about the way maths intersects with our lives. ‘There’s a need for this sort of thinking, because we’re basically turning everything into data,’ he says. Movies have Tomato-meters, podcasts have star ratings, and social media is rife with ratios. ‘If we’re going to be a world that’s just in apps, we need to be sure these things are working how we think they work.’

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