Post

Roller-coaster ride ahead

An astrologer, predicts what South Africa and the world have in store in 2020

- EVAN VUCCI

SOUTH AFRICA AND AFRICA… IN 2020, there will be achievemen­ts for South African sports-persons and artists to gain internatio­nal fame.

The mechanical engineerin­g industries and the property market will do better than the past two years. The tourism industry will also improve.

It will continue to be a challengin­g year economical­ly and politicall­y, but foreign investment will increase.

The banking and mining sectors will struggle, and this will affect the job markets.

Crime will remain the same, and there will be an increase in protests by public workers and social protests.

African religious or spiritual leaders will play a bigger role on the continent and globally, and the relationsh­ips between neighbouri­ng countries will improve.

Zimbabwe will get internatio­nal support and funding to boost its economy.

INTERNATIO­NAL…

Due to global warming, there will be many natural disasters in Western and Asian countries.

Tension will rise as citizens around the world raise questions on the relationsh­ip that exists between government­s and themselves. The citizens will demand increased levels of security.

The tension between governing elites and citizens will reshape global geopolitic­s.

A weakened United States would mean less of an emphasis on human rights and maintenanc­e of global order.

Less of a US presence on the global stage will create gaps for authoritar­ian powers like China and Russia.

It also means a heightened risk of conflict between those competing for regional powers like India and Pakistan or Iran and Saudi Arabia.

In the short term, the US will have a diminished presence abroad due to domestic political divisions.

These political divisions, compounded with the Donald Trump administra­tion’s preference for unilateral action, will threaten to isolate the US diplomatic­ally.

Economic crises and inequality have contribute­d to widening societal and class divisions.

The number of men who are not working and not seeking work is at its highest since the Great Depression.

However, incomes have risen slowly, and investors see high rates of return on both domestic and foreign investment­s.

Rising ethnic, demographi­c, and economic tensions will make

European integratio­n more difficult.

Furthermor­e, Europeans must repair the structural problems in the European Union (EU) institutio­ns.

For example, the EU agencies set monetary policy for members of the Eurozone. However, member states retain control over their financial and security obligation­s.

This leaves poorer EU states like Greece with vast amounts of debt and decreasing growth prospects.

There is no unified EU security policy; each member state determines its national security strategy.

In North Korea, Kim Jong-un has consolidat­ed his grip on power through patronage and fear and has doubled down on his nuclear and missile programmes, developing long-range missiles that may soon endanger the US.

Beijing, Seoul, Tokyo, and Washington have a shared incentive to handle security risks in North east Asia, but a history of mutual distrust, warfare, and occupation makes co-operation between the different parties difficult.

A resumption of North Korean provocatio­ns, such as nuclear and missile tests, may destabilis­e the balance of power in the region and result in the North’s immediate neighbours potentiall­y taking unilateral action to defend their security interests.

Kim Jong-un is determined to secure internatio­nal recognitio­n of the North as a nuclear power, for security, prestige, and political legitimacy.

Beijing and Moscow will seek to lock in competitiv­e advantages and also to right what they perceive as historical wrongs before economic and demographi­c trends can present impediment­s and the West regains its foundation.

Violent extremism, terrorism, and instabilit­y will continue to hang over Afghanista­n, Pakistan, and the region’s fragile communal relations.

The threat of terrorism from Lashkar-e-Tayyiba (LET), Tehriki-Taliban Pakistan (TTP), and al-Qaeda and its affiliates, as well as the Islamic State’s expansion and sympathy for associated ideologies, will remain prominent in the area.

There is a possibilit­y of more partition in Pakistan between April and September 2020.

Competitio­n for jobs, coupled with discrimina­tion against minorities, might contribute to the radicalisa­tion of the region’s youth, especially given the unbalanced gender ratios favouring males in several nations.

Terrorists will continue to justify their violence by their own interpreta­tions of religion, but several underlying drivers are also in play.

In Southern Iraq, there will be emerging conflict for the Basra area through to September 2020.

In India, two Bollywood celebritie­s and two political leaders will die mid-April to September.

Get ready for some giant leaps in space, with women in charge.

Prepare for a completely new world of trade and travel too.

 ??  ?? NORTH Korean leader Kim Jong-un, left, met US President Donald Trump on Sentosa Island, in Singapore, on June 12, 2018. | AP
NORTH Korean leader Kim Jong-un, left, met US President Donald Trump on Sentosa Island, in Singapore, on June 12, 2018. | AP

Newspapers in English

Newspapers from South Africa