Saturday Star

Baga slaughter marks turning point in humanitari­an crisis

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year-old girl was used to detonate a bomb.

The heinous butchery should be a wake-up call. It’s past time for Nigeria, West Africa and the West to recognise Boko Haram for what it has become: a complex terrorism threat on a scale comparable to the Islamic State, embedded in Africa’s largest economy and most populous nation.

Since January last year, more than 5 000 have been killed in the fighting it has triggered, a count that rivals civilian casualties in Iraq and Afghanista­n. The horrific violence is only intensifyi­ng.

Like the Islamic State, Boko Haram says it aims to establish an Islamic caliphate. The group has captured a territory in north-eastern Nigeria the size of Maryland and, as it has extended its operations to Cameroon and Niger, the threat has taken on a regional character.

Cameroon appears to be Boko Haram’s second front; on Monday, Cameroonia­n forces battled a cross-border attack by Boko Haram on a military base, forcing many to flee.

As we have written, Nigeria’s elections next month threaten to plunge the nation into a crisis that makes Boko Haram’s escalating attacks more alarming. The insecurity in key north-eastern states could suppress voter turnout in stronghold­s of the opposition to the incumbent president, Goodluck Jonathan, thereby underminin­g the legitimacy of the eventual winner.

To his discredit, Jonathan has remained silent about the slaughter in Baga. He and his opponents have turned Boko Haram into a partisan issue, making it virtually impossible to formulate a comprehens­ive strategy for addressing the threat – including the long-standing underdevel­opment in the north that is fuelling radicalisa­tion.

That means the US and other inter- ested government­s must step up pressure on Nigeria to address issues such as the systemic corruption and low morale in the military.

Despite Nigeria’s massive security budget of $5 billion (about R55bn), a lack of equipment, tactical mistakes, human rights abuses and internal discord have hampered its army’s ability to contain, much less counter, Boko Haram’s increasing­ly sophistica­ted aggression.

Nigeria’s neighbours also need support. It is particular­ly urgent to address the regional humanitari­an crisis caused by the violence. About 200 000 people reportedly have fled Nigeria into Cameroon, Niger and Chad. The Baga attack alone drove 3 400 refugees into Chad.

The Obama administra­tion’s announceme­nt of a $40m security contingenc­y fund for Cameroon, Chad, Nigeria and Niger in the next few months was a welcome first step.

 ??  ?? These diagrams show the destructio­n in Baga.
These diagrams show the destructio­n in Baga.

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