Newspapers not dying, says PwC report
SOUTH Africa’s entertainment and media industry is forecast to grow 10.9% over the next five years, generating revenue of R175-billion in 2017, according to PwC’s fourth annual South African Entertainment and Media Outlook report.
The survey shows that contrary to the opinion of many experts, the newspaper industry isn’t dying — even though advertising on online media forums continues to grow at a faster rate.
Newspaper advertising is expected to grow 6.2% a year to R10.1-billion by 2017, while online advertising will grow 27% a year, but still only be worth R506-million by that date — only 5% of newspaper revenues.
“The South African market bucks the trend seen in other nations. Its revenues are increasing even while the market evolves to digitised formats … the threat from digital is now correctly seen as an opportunity for existing providers, which have the content and distribution channels to engage large audiences,” the 288-page report concluded.
Vicky Myburgh, PwC’s entertainment and media industries leader for southern Africa, said that while most of the growth would be from digital technology, the traditional nondigital media would still dominate the industry over the next five years.
The landscape would not become unrecognisable, as many pundits had predicted.
What the survey shows is that South Africa is growing faster than the global entertainment and media market, which is expanding at 5.6% per year. As in SA, internet access is the major force behind the growth.
In a global context, internet advertising is set to be worth over $185-billion in 2017, equal to 31% of the world’s total advertising market. This would make it the secondlargest advertising medium after television.
The slowest growing segments are educational books and music, both growing at 0.4%. The music industry is still struggling, as physical sales of recorded music drop off and digital sales are not yet bringing in enough bucks to compensate.
Myburgh said consumers, especially the youth, were increasingly comfortable with piracy and the music and publishing industries had not been agile enough in shifting to digital to give consumers what they wanted.
In South Africa, books were struggling as they were “largely unaffordable”, lumbered with 14% VAT, and mostly written in English or Afrikaans — not the home languages of most people. Yet magazines and newspapers continue to grow, partly because they don’t cost as much, and are likely to be read by more people, she said.