Sunday Times

How the survey was made as accurate as possible

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THE random survey sample was demographi­cally representa­tive and representa­tive of rural and urban voters.

It comprised 2 219 face-to-face interviews in which about 40 questions were posed, including a national and provincial ballot question.

The margin of error was between 1.25% and 2.8%, at a 95% confidence level.

Respondent­s were disqualifi­ed if they indicated they were not registered voters.

The official Independen­t Electoral Commission registrati­on figures were used for weighting. To determine the different turnout scenarios, the response to a question about an intention to vote was used. To obtain a more accurate reflection of the final numbers, undecided voters (those who did not indicate a party preference, either because they were undecided or refused the question) were assigned to a party based on their answers to other key indicators, including trust, partiality towards party leaders and policy approval.

Without assigning undecided voters or catering for turnout, the percentage­s for the top three parties were ANC 56.6%; Democratic Alliance 18% and Economic Freedom Fighters 4%.

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