Sunday Times

Economies savaged as virus spikes anew

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● Devastatin­g economic figures poured in on Friday as nations counted the cost of their efforts to contain the coronaviru­s pandemic, even as fresh spikes led many countries to put the brakes on a return to normality.

Six months after the World Health Organisati­on declared a global emergency, the coronaviru­s has infected more than 17-million people, with global cases now approachin­g the 300,000-a-day mark.

The impact is felt in every sphere of life, with elections postponed in Hong Kong — the latest blow to its democracy activists — and the Muslim hajj pilgrimage in Saudi Arabia performed with radically reduced numbers.

In a sign of the terrible trade-offs being forced on government­s, Britain imposed new lockdowns in several northern counties on Friday, just as Western Europe announced historic economic slumps that would have been unthinkabl­e at the start of the year.

France’s economy contracted by 13.8% in the April-June quarter, mirroring similar devastatio­n in Spain (18.5%), Portugal (14.1%) and Italy (12.4%). Europe as a whole saw GDP fall by 12.1% in the eurozone and 11.9% across the EU bloc.

“It is a shocking drop, but completely understand­able as the economy was shut for a considerab­le period,” said Bert Colijn, senior economist at ING Bank.

One sector that is not struggling is pharmaceut­icals, as the world pins its hopes on the race for a vaccine.

Pharma giants Sanofi and GSK announced they will receive up to $2.1bn (R35.6bn) from the US government for the developmen­t of a Covid-19 vaccine.

And the US-German pharma team-up of Pfizer and BioNTech signed a deal with Japan to provide 120-million doses of their potential vaccine. They kept the size of the deal under wraps, but the US government recently put the cost of 100-million doses from those firms at almost $2bn.

But many businesses are in free fall, with airline conglomera­te IAG, the owner of British Airways, posting a first-half net loss of $4.5bn and UK bank NatWest sliding into the red, while Dutch airline KLM and truck makers Scania said they were each shedding 5,000 jobs.

It comes a day after the US — the world’s hardest-hit nation and its biggest economy — posted a second-quarter fall of 9.5% compared with the same period a year ago, the worst it had ever recorded.

Strict European lockdowns were effective in bringing cases and deaths under control, but an uptick in cases means the restrictio­ns are far from over, even if they have become more localised and specific.

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