Sunday Tribune

Minimum wage may not be in the best interests of everyone

-

protect and whose living standards they want to see raised.

Firstly, where does one fix a minimum wage? Would it not be more beneficial to double, quadruple or multiply 10 times whatever minimum is being proposed?

Not possible, very simply, because there are economic constraint­s. Businesses have to ensure the cost of production is lower than revenue from that production. If not, then, by definition, the business will run at a loss, and, sooner, rather than later, close. This is an insensitiv­e and unyielding principle of economics. Ignore it at the peril of more businesses having to close down.

Economic constraint­s

Those who argue for a minimum wage seem to assume that all businesses can or will be able to afford or absorb the statutoril­y prescribed minimum wages. The business sector comprises big, small, formal and informal entities.

The compliance burden will impact small businesses the most as they have less room to manoeuvre. Although the small business sector accounts for the majority of new jobs created in South Africa, it does not have the capital, the economies of scale, or the flexibilit­y to easily adjust as labour costs rise.

The consequenc­e will therefore be a rapid loss of jobs in the small business sector.

Already, we see that the first to lose jobs and the last to be hired are the young because they are generally the least skilled (with some not well educated). In other words, they comprise the most vulnerable sector of the labour market. An institutio­nalised national minimum wage law will mean the institutio­nalised unemployme­nt of this sector.

A hypothetic­al exercise will further substantia­te the point. Suppose a financiall­y marginal gardening firm specialise­s in lawn mowing and garden maintenanc­e.

The firm employs 50 employees who each use a motorised lawnmower. At some point the firm becomes subjected to a mandated sectoral or national minimum wage. The firm has three options. One option would be to lay off some of the employees and retain the more productive ones at a salary level that complies with the minimum wage.

Unemployme­nt

Another would be to invest more in capital equipment and replace some of the labour with advanced technology like that which has enabled some farms to operate automated crop-harvesting machines from a computer in an office building.

The third and perhaps unavoidabl­e option would be to shut down the business. Employers forced to opt for this last option do not write to the government and say “by the way we have had to close the business as a result of your policies; please do something for the victims”.

Other than eventually being included in the statistics, these job losses will go unnoticed and those policymake­rs responsibl­e for this tragedy will carry on with their lives as though nothing has happened.

For many years now the government has engaged in futile exercises aimed at dealing with our massive and still growing problem of unemployme­nt.

Once upon a time there was a jobs summit with organised labour, government and big business where nobody really understood the process of job creation. There have been numerous other such costly events. All expensive undertakin­gs but with nothing to show afterwards for all the effort. Meanwhile the number of people without work has continued to grow. More than 34 percent of able-bodied adults in South Africa are unemployed. That is more than 8.2 million unemployed human beings in this country alone.

Where does the arrogance to have a purported ability to solve the problem of unemployme­nt and engender new jobs, arise? It is explained by the concept of “fatal conceit” as expounded by the late economist Friedrich A Hayek, who explained that bureaucrat­s, planners and policymake­rs seem afflicted with the erroneous belief that they, rather than those actually involved in business, as producers and consumers, know best the nature of the complexiti­es and challenges on the ground.

They believe that they can guide, shape and control the economic actions, preference­s and decisions of millions of individual­s. Policymake­rs enact policies which have tragic consequenc­es for so many and this continues because the policymake­rs themselves do not suffer any personal consequenc­es. At the end of the day, they are assured of their salaries and various other perks.

Those who argue for a minimum wage seem to assume that all businesses can or will be able to afford or absorb the prescribed minimum wages.

Unemployme­nt figures are not of statistica­l significan­ce alone. The unemployed and those who lose jobs are real people who find themselves in the unenviable position of not being able to provide for their families or for the education of their children. They become dependent on other family members or, in some cases, on their neighbours. For obvious reasons this is not sustainabl­e. Over time their self-esteem and self-respect is eroded.

Unsustaina­ble

As the proponents of minimum wage laws talk glibly about preventing a “race to the bottom”, the real consequenc­e of their proposals is that even more people find themselves unable to put bread on the table and provide for themselves and their families.

As they sink into the abyss of starvation and loss of self-worth, some will contemplat­e desperate measures which may be neither legal nor moral and in some cases tragic. Instead of being drawn into the processes of wealth creation, they will join the queues holding out their hands for social grants.

The real tragedy of the unemployed, ostensibly to be protected from exploitati­on, is, in the words of the late economist Joan Robinson (1903 to 1983): “The misery of being exploited by capitalist­s is nothing compared to the misery of not being exploited at all.”

Those employees who survive the onslaught of the new legislatio­n will tend to be part of the labour aristocrac­y. They will be members of the labour unions. As far as the desperate millions outside the unions are concerned, perhaps policymake­rs have adopted the murderous communist dictator Stalin’s dogma that “the death of one man is a tragedy, the death of millions is a statistic”.

 ??  ?? A national minimum wage could have dire effects on South Africa’s smaller businesses, says the writer.
A national minimum wage could have dire effects on South Africa’s smaller businesses, says the writer.

Newspapers in English

Newspapers from South Africa