Sunday Tribune

THE MPI HAS COME OF AGE, SHOULD SHAPE THE NEW DAWN

- DR PALI LEHOHLA Lehohla is the former statistici­angeneral of South Africa and former head of Statistics SA.

THE OXFORD Poverty and Human Developmen­t Initiative (OPHI) has been recognised as a force for science to benefit society.

This year, Queen Elizabeth acknowledg­ed the Oxford University and OPHI for distinct intellectu­al output. And two weeks ago, the

Boris Mints Institute of Israel also recognised OPHI director Professor Sabina Alkire for her sterling work.

Alkire has immersed herself on the Multidimen­sional Poverty Index (MPI) for more than a decade. About 60 countries from the developing world use the MPI to measure poverty and resilience points that need to be addressed.

In South Africa, the key drivers of poverty are unemployme­nt and lack of education. Between 2011 and 2016, unemployme­nt and poor education nearly doubled compared with the 10 years prior.

Sadly, Statistics South Africa has since failed to measure both money metric and multidimen­sional poverty since 2016, largely because of the National Treasury not allocating resources to do so.

So as we literally sailed blindly through the state capture period, we have now entered the coronaviru­s (Covid-19) pandemic with masks on our faces, our eyes masked and ears blocked.

Countries like Kenya, Lesotho, Egypt, Eswatini (Swaziland), Mozambique and Malawi ran their censuses before Covid-19 and are now in a position to calibrate what the poverty levels are at a microscopi­c level.

South Africa, Namibia and Botswana may not be able to do so next year as we look in the rear view mirror to understand what happened.

South Africa in paricularl­y will use its raft of data at ward level to determine what happened.

OPHI produces multidimen­sional poverty measures to inform on the extent of Covid-19 vulnerabil­ity. The Great Lakes region and parts of Ethiopia and Somalia show greater vulnerabil­ities.

While Covid-19 is sometimes referred to as a great leveller, the MPI may open our eyes to the reality that many are buried below the scale, like blacks in the US.

We will see similar patterns in South Africa when the effects of our racial past and our tinkering with developmen­t rear their heads.

The MPI should be central to the social and economic justice measures that should shape the new dawn.

The Overton window of political possibilit­ies is nigh and MPI has come of age.

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