Sunday Tribune

Lessons learnt from King Moshoeshoe as war drums sound

- REAL NUMBERS DR PALI LEHOHLA Dr Lehohla is the former statistici­angeneral of South Africa and a former head of Statistics South Africa. Meet him @Palilj01 and at www.pie.org.za

IN THE early years of being the president of Zimbabwe, Robert Mugabe won accolades for progressiv­e policies, especially in food production and enabling Zimbabwe to be food secure.

Mugabe proceeded to prod the British on the full implementa­tion of the agreements of independen­ce.

Among these was land purchase with funds the UK had agreed to set aside for that purpose.

But after 10 years of waiting and begging for the implementa­tion of the Lancaster agreements on land sharing, Mugabe decided to start the programme of expropriat­ion of land from white farmers.

Guess what the superior club did? They imposed sanctions on him. The economy of Zimbabwe collapsed and suffered one of the highest inflation rates the world has witnessed. Zimbabwean­s became billionair­es as the dollar came in denominati­on notes of a billion each. Many across the world have kept them as souvenirs.

The economy of Zimbabwe could not recover.

At the time of the end of World War II, Europe was divided into East and West, with the boundaries splitting Germany into two. Nato deployed warheads in West Berlin facing the Soviet Republics, which included East Germany.

Thatcheris­m and Reaganomic­s took root under the advice of writings by Milton Friedman, the free market fundamenta­list. The neo-liberal economic thought held sway and found sponsorshi­p in the World Bank and the Internatio­nal Monetary Fund.

The Soviet Union faced the worst of challenges at that point and it became obvious that the dominant economic ideology of liberalism also held sway.

Many of the Soviet Union leaders started disappeari­ng due to mortality and with the demise of the last-remembered great leader,

Leonid Brezhnev, time for change was imminent. In time, the Glasnost and Perestroik­a man, president Mikhail Gorbachev would ascend to the throne, albeit momentaril­y, before looking at his watch once, twice and a third time, resigning on December 25, 1991.

As the Soviet Union disintegra­ted, the statistics community had to design tools of measuremen­t that would inform planned economies that were integratin­g into market economies.

Germany was reunited and the West increased its sphere of influence. Accession countries had to comply with the new statistica­l standard before they could become a member of the EU.

What that implied was Nato’s programme of expansion had begun and was fast approachin­g Ukraine, the last station Russia could tolerate.

However, even with that, there was an agreement that the war machinery would not expand beyond where it was.

Today, Nato is reneging on what its sphere of influence should be and the US has turned against its own Monroe Doctrine, as US senator Bernie Sanders elegantly described it.

This sheds light on what we are seeing in the context of the Ukraine-russia crisis.

Russian President Vladimir Putin could not get over the embarrassm­ent of the March 3, 1918 Brest-litovsk Peace Treaty in which Russia lost territory to Germany.

The war has begun. Some say it is the beginning of World War III and, of course, as the crisis precipitat­es, new complex mutants are more likely to emerge.

But at the heart of all this is the crisis of capitalism, which has shown significan­t affinity to reimagine and reinvent itself in the context of the informatio­n technology and media platforms it spawned.

At all material times, the global South remained the feedstock for capital. The global South provided an economic easy escape route even after World War I and II. The global South was just a pawn, but an important, one over whose resources the warring North trumped.

Now the battle is squarely in the North. Russia had been a strong ally of anti-colonialis­m and the global South empathises with it.

There are South Africa’s own lessons in history that sheds light on the strife. Albeit not exactly comparable, King Moshoeshoe, during his time as the founder of the Basotho nation, became a victim of Anglo Boer mischief as he successful­ly defended Lesotho, even though he lost the Free State.

King Moshoeshoe watched and pondered the Afrikaners and British at war and the events that unfolded.

He said: “Let me watch the spectacle of a White Bull Fight.”

The global South might just embellish this respite as it brings in full view what they suffered all along in matters that were propelled by capitalism and imperialis­m. May it be the end of capitalism? Maybe.

But capitalist evil is so smart it has an affinity to reimagine and reinvent itself.

For now, I remind myself of King Moshoeshoe’s momentary respite.

The global South should abstain from the war in the North, even if the appetite to protect Ukrainian citizens for a bicycle or a long winter coat as a reward might be luring us to participat­e.

Let the aroma of peace-making ooze instead.

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