Muzi Yeni writes for us
VALUE: GREEN LASER WILL IMPROVE ON HIS LAST RUN AND IS AT A GOOD PRICE
Snaith and Fourie could win Cape Guineas with Sachdev.
There's more Grade 1 action at Kenilworth today with the running of the Cape Guineas. A 16-horse field will test punters in the expected R5-million Pick 6 pool and judging by the betting market, an open contest is expected.
Cape Classic victor Silver Operator, who should enjoy the extra 200m and has Anton Marcus up, is 7-2 favourite but is drawn No 14. He held off Captain Tatters by 0.40 lengths but he is now drawn No 2.
Richard Fourie rides Justin Snaith-trained Sachdev, who at 7-1 is my first selection. He flopped in the Cape Classic but it was his first run around the turn. He showed his true potential when caught late by King Of Gems in the Concorde Cup over the distance but on the Winter course.
Sean Tarry is well represented with four runners, headed up by juvenile Grade 1 winner Eden Roc. Pure State won the Ready To Run Stakes over 1400m last week but could find this beyond him in consecutive weeks.
Rock The Globe didn't disgrace himself behind Pure State after racing wide from a poor draw. Putontheredlight has it all to do from a wide draw.
Interestingly, Piere Strydom has opted for Macthief, who was also close up to King Of Gems and Sachdev, and is drawn No 1.
African Warrior had an excusable last run in the same contest when going off as favourite and undoubtedly deserves another chance.
The Premier Trophy sees Hawwaam makes his Cape debut. The Silvano colt gives Twist Of Fate 1kg but is expected to confirm the Daily News 2000 form. He undoubtedly merits the 3-10 odds tag but a boxed Exacta could be the right play.
The Listed Secretariat Stakes over 1400m headlines today’s
Turffontein card. Green Laser is my top selection. He clearly needed his run behind Ikigai, and runner-up Riverstown franked that form when winning the Grand Heritage at the Vaal on Thursday. His juvenile runner-up berth behind Eden Roc stands out in his form line.
Al Borak looks the danger after his course-and-distance triumph with Hayley Turner up. He does appear ready for this rise in class and is drawn well.
Riding engagements from the Mike de Kock yard favour Vaseem, who has much scope and should enjoy the extra 200m. The stable could control the tempo with their four-pronged attack.
Captain Hindsight, who has improved in blinkers, is the obvious form choice in the opening event, a Maiden Plate over 1000m. There are some speedsters like Jozi Hustle, Iron Mike, Titelist, Blow Me Down and Marmalade Cat who could pose a threat.
Banker Captain Hindsight to win with those four in a Trifecta.
Race 2 is the first leg of the BiPot and this fillies’ 1000m maiden looks wide open though I was encouraged by Allez Les Bleu's first start in Gauteng. She met some quality sorts in subsequent winners Liquid Irish and Call Me Tonight while in KZN. Glowtoria should build on her decent debut while May Queen, Urban Oasis, Blessed Rain and Ginseng have chances.
Go each-way on Allez Les Bleu and box Swingers and Trifectas with those mentioned.
Race 3 is a Maiden Plate over 1600m and I am strong on Wild Thoughts who drops in class after contesting a handicap on Summer Cup day. She had solid prior form and holds Fireworks safe on her penultimate run when returning from a 21-week absence.
Watch the betting on unraced Ocean Forest who represents the formidable Alec Laird/S’manga Khumalo combination but have a solid each-way bet on Wild Thoughts.
Snow Palace and Victoria Paige rightly dominate the betting in Race 4 and should fight it out. But I'm strong on Snow Palace who I expect to dictate the tempo with Warren Kennedy up. The pair defeated subsequent winner Green Top with front-running tactics over this trip last month.
Victoria Paige hasn't raced since her fourth in the Grade 1 Thekwini Stakes on Gold Cup day. She finished 0.45 lengths behind Snow Palace who I rode. Although Tarry’s charge is unbeaten on this galloping circuit, her juvenile efforts indicate she prefers a solid pace which may not materialise.
Banker Snow Palace in everything.
Race 5 is a tricky Graduation Plate over 2000m. Spero Optima looks useful and In Cahoots, who finished third to him last time, won the Heritage Consolation on Thursday. He's still developing his rating so being out at the weights isn't a huge problem.
Filly Keep Smiling is best weighted after her huge merit rating bump following a cracking effort in the Fillies Mile behind unbeaten Summer Pudding but she is too short in the betting for my liking and there are stamina doubts.
That isn't the case with Owlinthetree who got up late to get his career back on track last time. The lurker could be Glider Pilot who has undoubtedly lost his way after a fine start to his career but his last attempt must be closely watched to be truly appreciated.
Back Spero Optima with a cover bet on Glider Pilot. Take as many Swingers as your budget allows and box the Exacta.
Tarry yard holds a strong hand in Race 6, a Progress Plate for fillies and mares over 1160m, but my preference is for improving Tropic Sun who is better over this distance. Spiritofthegroove is best weighted on official ratings and is another who represents the Summer Pudding form line.
Tarry’s third runner, Montreal Mist, has work to do at the weights but she has a narrow win over Spiritofthegroove. Afrostar must be included despite top weight.
Back Tropic Sun and box Swingers with Spiritofthegroove and Afrostar.
The older horses may have the upper hand in Race 8, a FM 84 Handicap over 1400m. Golden Spiral can run on from off the pace so the widest draw isn't a disaster. She has produced some useful recent runs and should have gone closer last time but for being carried inwards throughout that event.
Kirkconnel Lass was given a brilliant ride to win last time over the course and distance and is weighted to turn the tables on Golden Spiral and Targaryen Queen. There are some useful younger sorts but Flying High and Frosted Steel have their work cut out at the weights and the latter is also a difficult ride.
Tartan Dancer has progressed nicely for her in form yard and may be best handicapped of the trio of Sophomores.
Go each-way on Golden Spiral and box Swingers with Kirkconnel Lass, Targaryen Queen, Tartan Dancer, Flying High and Frosted Steel.
Race 9 is a Maiden Plate over 1400m and the De Kock pair of Ghalyoon and Akwaan should dominate the finish, the strong preference being for the former. Ignore his last run as the saddle slipped.
Although this galloping circuit will suit Akwaan, I feel the trip may find him out, even with the aid of blinkers. Curious is best of the rest but has a poor draw. Watch for improvement from recently gelded Rampage who should enjoy this distance.
Go strong on Ghalyoon, banker in Trifectas and Quartets with the other three selections.
Muzi’s Pick 6 (R1,200): 2 x 1, 2, 4, 7 x 1, 3, 5, 6, 7 x 3, 4, 7, 8, 9 x 1, 2, 5, 7, 9, 10 x 4, 5
IMPROVEMENT EXPECTED. Green Laser had a decent enough comeback run and looks great value in Race 7 at Turffontein today.