Odds against hot favourite win­ning race

The Citizen (KZN) - - News -

Just seven favourites have won the Sun Met in the last two decades, and only two since 2010, when River Jetez beat her favoured big brother Pocket Power.

Igugu, trained by Mike de Kock who sends out to­day’s hottest fancy Hawwaam, jumped from the start­ing stalls as 15/20 favourite in 2012 and Brett Craw­ford’s 2/1 favourite Fu­tura took the hon­ours in 2015.

Craw­ford has Un­der­cover Agent (50/1) in the race to­day.

Last year’s win­ner, Rain­bow Bridge, was ante-post favourite but started as sec­ond favourite to Do It Again.

The big­gest out­sider to have won was Mar­tial Ea­gle, who stunned rac­ing fans un­der an ice-cool ride from Aldo Domeyer to win at odds of 80/1 in 2013. Domeyer rides 16/1 out­sider Twist of Fate to­day.

Other long-shot win­ners in­cluded Alas­tor (50/1) in 2005 and Bunter Bar­low (33/1) in 2001.

The big­gest coup might have been landed by Smart Call in 2016. She opened at 40/1 on race­day and went through the stalls at 8/1.

There should be few hard-luck sto­ries af­ter­wards with this small field of just 13 horses be­cause the draw is un­likely to play a ma­jor role in the out­come.

Jockey Bernard Fayd’herbe, who will be on Bunker Hunt (35/1), has the best record in the last 20 years of the jock­eys rid­ing in the race to­day, hav­ing won it three times al­ready – twice on Met King Pocket Power and again aboard Fu­tura.

He was favourite all three times he won the race.

An­ton Mar­cus, rid­ing Hawwaam to­mor­row, was on Rain­bow Bridge last year and also part­nered Hill Fifty Four in 2014.

The most suc­cess­ful Met trainer in the last 20 years with a run­ner this time is Mike de Kock with two wins – Badger’s Coast in 2000 and Igugu in 2012.

Home-ground ad­van­tage is telling in the race, with lo­cal train­ers win­ning about two thirds of the Mets run from 2000.

– Cit­i­zen re­porter

The most suc­cess­ful Met trainer in the last 20 years with a run­ner this time is Mike de Kock.

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