The Herald (South Africa)

Constructi­on confidence in marked drop

- Mark Allix

CONSTRUCTI­ON confidence‚ as measured by the FNB/BER constructi­on confidence index‚ has fallen to 55 points in the first quarter of the year after rising to 66 points in the fourth quarter of last year.

The latest index‚ released on Wednesday‚ says the fall is likely to be due to a lower than expected increase in constructi­on activity and a “mild deteriorat­ion in profitabil­ity” during the quarter.

But the index showed the outlook for the constructi­on sector remained fairly upbeat‚ with a sharp increase in constructi­on work and profitabil­ity expected in the second quarter.

“However‚ a more robust increase in constructi­on work was expected than actually realised. This disappoint­ment weighed on confidence‚ even though the pace of constructi­on activity itself rose‚” Sizwe Nxedlana‚ chief economist at FNB, said. “Profitabil­ity has been moving within a very narrow band over the past year.”

The drop in the index comes as South Africa’s steel sector‚ whose biggest market is constructi­on‚ continues to teeter dangerousl­y. Earlier this month‚ the country’s second-largest steel maker‚ Evraz Highveld Steel & Vanadium‚ reiterated there were fears over it remaining a going concern‚ causing the share to drop by 30%.

Since then Duro Pressings‚ the largest maker of steel and aluminium windows and doors in South Africa‚ has gone into liquidatio­n. And global miner BHP Billiton is in talks with unions over the possible closure of most operations at its Bayside aluminium smelter in Richards Bay‚ KwaZulu-Natal. – BDlive

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