The Herald (South Africa)

Blaming foreigners for our problems a mistake

- Ian Goldin

IN almost every country across the globe anti-immigrant sentiment is high. Already this year it is estimated that more than 1 750 migrants have died crossing the Mediterran­ean. Yet Europe’s callous attitude to immigrants trying to cross the Mediterran­ean from North Africa is not only unethical but also ill-informed and counterpro­ductive.

It is a hostility echoed in South Africa, where deadly attacks on immigrants have been contained by the military.

Yet, without immigratio­n from Africa, none of us would be here. Experts now believe that migration across Africa between 60 000 and 70 000 years ago saved homo sapiens from climate-induced extinction.

The migration of these early Africans into the Middle East, then across the Mediterran­ean into Europe and Asia – and eventually into the Americas and Australia and the Pacific Islands – is the origin of today’s humanity. It will be our attitudes to the continuing movement of people that will define our national and collective futures.

It is not difficult to understand why people blame foreigners for their troubles. High unemployme­nt, rising inequality and increasing­ly unaffordab­le homes are among the legitimate concerns of citizens everywhere.

A key part of the explanatio­n for these troubles is the rising impact of foreign influences on all our societies. Globalisat­ion has been a positive force for human progress. It has raised average living standards, improved health and led to political change – not least across Africa. But it also is the source of cascading financial crises, rising inequality, pandemics, climate change, the wrecking of ocean systems, increasing antibiotic resistance and diabetes and other health challenges.

People around the world are kicking back against this rising uncertaint­y by supporting extremist parties who wish to bring back protection­ism and reverse globalisat­ion. But blaming foreigners for our problems is a mistake.

In the first place, average migration rates remain fairly low. Since the fall of the Berlin Wall 25 years ago the barriers to the movement of ideas, finance, trade and services have gone down, but the barriers to the movement of people have gone up.

As a result, the share of migrants in the world has remained roughly constant at 3% throughout the current era of globalisat­ion.

Migrants are seldom the source of our societal ills. On the contrary, immigrants are a key contributo­r to the dynamism and growth in our societies.

Immigratio­n is desirable for at least four reasons: It is a source of innovation and dynamism; It addresses labour shortages; It can address demographi­c imbalances; and It provides an escape from poverty and persecutio­n.

By contrast, limiting migration slows economic growth and undermines societies’ long-term competitiv­eness. It also creates a less prosperous, more unequal and partitione­d world. The challenges posed by migration must and can be addressed through an honest and open discussion of the issues, but not become an excuse for shutting the frontier to migrants.

Ensuring that all migrants are legally recognised and part of society, with all the necessary rights and also responsibi­lities that this implies, is a vital part of this process.

Despite domestic opposition in recipient countries, the number of internatio­nal migrants has doubled over the past 25 years, and will double again by 2030. This is due to a combinatio­n of new countries and borders being created (34 have been created since 1990), population growth and migration pressures.

If this migratory process is allowed to take its course, it will stimulate global growth and serve to reduce poverty. However, it requires careful management to ensure that the benefits are harvested and the backlash of recipient societies does not lead to further polarisati­on.

Both rich and poor countries would benefit from increased migration, with developing coun- tries benefiting the most.

It is estimated that increasing migration by just 3% of the workforce in developed countries between 2005 and 2025 would generate global gains of $356-billion (R4.2-trillion), more than two-thirds of which would accrue to developing countries.

Places which have unusually high shares of migrants due to accidents of geography and history should not be forced to pay the costs for society as a whole. It is society as a whole that benefits and much more needs to be done to support places and people under stress from high levels of immigratio­n.

But there is no magic threshold beyond which migration is unacceptab­le. In the thriving Dubai and other cities in the United Arab Emirates, migrants are more than 90% of the population. Cities such as Toronto have more than 50% migrants and have been voted among the best to live in globally for many years. In the UK, London is the most dynamic and popular city – more than 30% are migrants.

Citizens are understand­ably concerned about the failure of our politician­s to show effective leadership on migration. The resulting failures are a cause of daily death.

We urgently need fresh thinking, followed by bold action.

Goldin is Professor of Globalisat­ion and Developmen­t; Director of the Oxford Martin School at University of Oxford.

This is an edited version of an article that appears on https://theconvers­ation.com/africa

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