The Independent on Saturday

Policing the elections

- DR JOHAN BURGER Consultant with the Institute for Security Studies

AS SOUTH Africans approach the November 1 local government elections, there appears to be some apprehensi­on about possible political violence. This is not surprising, due to the widespread public violence and disorder that took place in parts of KwaZulu-Natal and Gauteng during July this year.

In view of the inability of the state security agencies to prevent or adequately respond to the large-scale violence, looting and destructio­n, it is unsurprisi­ng that many people appear to be sceptical about their ability to safeguard the municipal elections countrywid­e.

Low levels of public trust and confidence in the government generally and the SAPS, in particular, is contributi­ng to a level of public scepticism about whether public safety around the elections can be guaranteed.

There are, however, important difference­s between the two situations in July and November. For example, during July the police had very little, if any, early warning intelligen­ce of the violence that was to come. Consequent­ly, they were clearly unprepared for the scale and spread of the violence and destructio­n that followed. However, for the upcoming elections they have had ample time to plan and put measures in place to identify networks that may try to instigate violence, and locations where outbreaks may occur.

Another important difference is the excellent record of the police in relation to safeguardi­ng so-called major national events. These include previous elections and sporting events.

In the run-up to the World Cup in 2010 there was a lot of negative speculatio­n, locally and internatio­nally, about the high crime levels in South Africa and the assumed inability of the police to ensure the safety of the soccer teams and the expected large number of their supporters. Neverthele­ss, the SAPS and other law-enforcemen­t agencies pulled off a very successful World

Cup with very few incidents.

The ability of the police to safeguard the elections should not be judged by the crime situation in this country, nor other outbreaks of public violence. Our high crime levels are a result of many complex factors and are not only the result of challenges our police are struggling with. The police’s ability to ensure a relatively safe environmen­t for the municipal elections should therefore be judged rather on their proven track record for such events. It is no guarantee that it will be completely incident free, but past events have shown incidents of election-related violence to be relatively limited.

The reason why the police successful­ly manage major events but struggle to bring the crime situation under control has to do with their tried-andtested operationa­l approach in managing large events. First, major events are anticipate­d well in advance so that adequate planning can occur. Second, large-event management depends on particular operationa­l concepts and co-ordinating structures which are supported by all participat­ing government institutio­ns.

During recent discussion­s with the police, I was informed that they were applying the same operationa­l concepts and co-ordinating structures for these elections.

The process usually starts with instructio­ns through the National Joint Operationa­l and Intelligen­ce Structure (NatJOINTS) which in turn receives its instructio­ns from the Justice, Crime Prevention and Security Structure (JCPS) at Cabinet and Directors General levels.

Accordingl­y, the NatJOINTS establishe­d a Priority Committee for the safeguardi­ng of these elections. This committee is co-chaired by senior representa­tives of the SAPS (a major-general) and the Electoral Commission of South Africa. It also includes other government department­s, such as the SANDF, Co-operative Governance and Traditiona­l Affairs, Home Affairs and representa­tives from the Intelligen­ce Co-ordinating Committee (ICC).

It is the responsibi­lity of the Priority Committee to do the security planning for the elections and to regularly brief the NatJOINTS and other structures where required on progress in this regard. The operationa­l planning is based on the regular intelligen­ce briefing by the ICC.

According to the informatio­n at my disposal, the Priority Committee currently meets daily to ensure that they stay on track with their planning.

Part of the planning is to identify real and potential risks, as well as highcrime areas for specific attention, such as the deployment of sufficient police officials into these areas, as well as to have Public Order Police and tactical teams on standby in case their support is needed.

A few days before the elections the Priority Committee dissolves to form Joint Operationa­l Committees and Joint Operationa­l Centres at national, provincial and district levels to ensure the implementa­tion of the operationa­l and contingenc­y plans. As is the case with all operationa­l committees and centres, they have the additional responsibi­lity to also deal with unexpected eventualit­ies. These committees are dissolved only once possible post-elections security threats are over.

From my own experience­s in this environmen­t and from the recent informatio­n I received from the police, I believe that they and their counterpar­ts from other government agencies are as ready as they can be for this year’s municipal elections.

 ?? ??
 ?? ??

Newspapers in English

Newspapers from South Africa