The Mercury

Play-off for fourth a possibilit­y if results go Arsenal’s way

- Mark Critchley

THIS year’s Premier League top-four race is set to go right down to the wire.

Arsenal’s 2-0 win against Sunderland on Tuesday ensured of that, with three points keeping the London club’s faint hopes of Champions League qualificat­ion alive.

Liverpool remain favourites to take the final berth, while Manchester City only need to avoid defeat to ensure a finish above fifth.

There is, however, an outside chance that two of these three teams could compete in an unpreceden­ted end-of-season playoff.

As you can see from the

REMAINING FIXTURES

Chelsea . . . . . 37 Tottenham . . 36 Liverpool . . . . 37 Man City . . . . 36 Arsenal . . . . . 36 Man United . 36 Everton . . . . . 37 29 24 21 21 21 17 17 3 5 80 32 8 4 73 24 10 6 75 42 9 6 72 38 6 9 72 43 14 5 52 29 10 10 61 41 48 49 33 34 29 23 20 90 80 73 72 69 65 61

table, the three clubs are currently separated by three points, a five-goal swing in goal difference and just one goal scored.

If two of them are level on all of those tiebreaker­s come Sunday, Premier League history will be made.

So, what play-offs are possible and what results are needed for them to happen:

An unpreceden­ted playoff for the final Champions League qualificat­ion spot could be played between Arsenal and Liverpool.

In order for this to happen, Arsène Wenger’s side would have to draw with Everton and Jürgen Klopp’s men lose by two goals to an already-relegated Middlesbro­ugh.

In this scenario, City would finish third no matter what.

City look all but assured of claiming a top four place after their dominant win over West Bromwich Albion on Tuesday night, but there remains a remote possibilit­y that they could finish completely level with Arsenal.

For that to happen, they would have to lose their final game of the season away to Watford by a hefty scoreline while Arsenal would have to narrowly beat Everton. A 4-1 defeat for Guardiola’s side coupled with a 2-0 win for the Gunners would put both teams at parity and force a playoff.

The question is, what would they playoff for?

That depends on Liverpool’s result. In this scenario, a Liverpool win would mean City and Arsenal playing off for fourth place.

However, anything other than a victory for Klopp’s men would mean City and Arsenal contesting third.

The most-likely of any potential playoff scenarios still requires a rather unlikely set of results,

If City were held to a high-scoring 4-4 draw at Vicarage Road and Liverpool won 4-0 over lowly Middlesbro­ugh, then a playoff for third would be triggered.

Guardiola’s side would have to contest third place with Liverpool in a one-off game if they scored a hatful, however, were held at Vicarage Road while Klopp’s men won comfortabl­y against Middlesbro­ugh.

A 3-3 scoreline in Hertfordsh­ire and a 3-0 home win at Anfield would do it. – The Independen­t

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