The Star Early Edition

Domestic share markets hold their own

- Dr Chris Harmse Chief economist Rebalance Fund Managers

DOMESTIC share markets continued to perform surprising­ly well over the last year as well as during last week.

The all share index on the JSE reached new record highs for four out of the five days last week and closed Friday on a new high of 59 638.21 points. This despite the news that the country’s unemployme­nt rate remained at a high 27.7 percent during the third quarter, that the outlook for manufactur­ing production still remains negative and market evaluation­s towards a further junk downgradin­g within the next few weeks remain eminent.

These uncertain geopolitic­al factors and weak economic indicators had a negative effect on the bond market. The Government’s R186 bond increased further to 9.2 percent against the 9.13 percent the previous Friday and 8.8 percent the day before the medium term budget speech on October 25.

Commodity prices remains positive and the Brent oil price traded above $60 (about R838) a barrel.

The rand, after four days of good recovery, had tumbled once again on Friday to end the week weaker than the previous Friday. The local unit traded last Wednesday and Thursday well below the R14 to the dollar level, but lost 23c on Friday alone to R14.22 to the greenback at the close of the JSE on Friday. This was 0.6 percent weaker than the previous Friday.

Against the euro, the rand lost 13c (0.8 percent) and had traded Friday afternoon on R14.54, and against the pound the currency depreciate­d by 4c (0.2 percent) to R18.59, despite the weaker pound after the Bank of England had increased interest rates last Thursday.

News that US interest rates remained the same and higher job figures published on Friday boosted global share markets. The US unemployme­nt rate came down to only 4.1 percent in October, while the average hourly wage stayed the same. This gives a good change that interest rates in the US will not increase soon.

On the JSE, share prices were helped by this news and the weaker rand. The all share increased by 1.5 percent last week. The index is now already 17.7 percent higher than the beginning of the year.

All the other main sub-indices also had increased, with financials gaining 1.8 percent, industrial­s up by 0.8 percent and resources climbing by 3.5 percent.

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