The Star Late Edition

Agoa: it’s time for the US to come to Africa’s business party

ADVANCING RELATIONS

- Cyril Prinsloo Cyril Prinsloo is a researcher under the Economic Diplomacy Programme.

THE AFRICAN Growth and Opportunit­y Act (Agoa) has been the cornerston­e of US-Africa trade relations since its inception in 2000.

Agoa, which provides sub-Saharan African countries duty-free access to the US market for more than 6 000 product lines, has benefited parties on both side of the Atlantic.

But recent developmen­ts suggest Agoa may no longer be best suited to promote economic relations.

The US and African countries should now devise an alternativ­e arrangemen­t for when the Act expires in 2025.

Eight years into Agoa, total US-Africa trade had increased nearly four-fold.

While bilateral trade has declined since 2008, reports from the Brookings Institutio­n suggest the act was still estimated to support 120 000 and 300 000 jobs in the US and sub-Saharan Africa, respective­ly.

But Agoa has a number of inherent flaws that have failed to assist countries to further enhance this relationsh­ip.

Agoa has been unsuccessf­ul in supporting African countries to overcome some of the structural constraint­s of their own economies. And for US businesses, it has failed to facilitate adequate market access in African countries.

Outcomes from the recently concluded Agoa Forum in Togo indicate that these issues persist and are near impossible to resolve within the current framework.

After nearly two decades of Agoa benefits, many African countries have failed to fully utilise the programme: partly due to the narrow structure of their economies, allowing them to only exploit a handful of duty-free lines; partly because the US mar- ket dictates economies of scale in manufactur­ing and exports to be competitiv­e (even with a duty-free advantage); partly because poor infrastruc­ture increases the cost of trade; and partly because non-tariff barriers such as quality conditions, or the complex regulatory environmen­t in the US, are too difficult to navigate.

Agoa was designed to assist African countries to develop their export sectors by offering market access without reciprocit­y. However, interest in African countries as a marketplac­e has changed drasticall­y since the act’s inception.

Attractive No longer bound by widespread and devastatin­g civil wars, bolstered by the commodity price booms throughout the 2000s, and rapidly growing population­s, many have become attractive markets.

As US President Donald Trump remarked at a recent G7 gathering, “Africa is a place of opportunit­y.”

US firms looking to access these mar- kets are losing out to their competitor­s.

The EU already has a number of reciprocal trade agreements in place with African countries, which provide their firms with a competitiv­e advantage over their US counterpar­ts. And Chinese state-owned enterprise­s and companies rely on a combinatio­n of cheap labour costs, economies of scale, concession­al finance, and statestate relations to exploit opportunit­ies.

Increasing­ly, US companies are trying to leverage Agoa to enhance their market access. For countries to continue benefiting from Agoa, they need to demonstrat­e their commitment towards promoting democracy, eliminatin­g barriers to US trade and investment, and respect of human rights. US firms which feel that certain sub-Saharan countries are not adhering to Agoa’s eligibilit­y requiremen­ts can prompt US authoritie­s to review these countries’ benefits.

This is currently the case in an ongoing review of Rwanda, Tanzania and Uganda’s eligibilit­y under Agoa. The east African countries plan to ban the import of used clothing. They contend that by eliminatin­g the considerab­ly cheaper imported alternativ­es, their domestic textile and clothing manufactur­ing industries could develop. US business claims they are violating Agoa’s eligibilit­y criteria by imposing barriers to US trade.

Policymake­rs in Washington are mindful that Agoa was conceived as a trade developmen­t mechanism, rather than a trade policy tool. It is therefore unlikely that they will completely rescind these countries’ Agoa benefits.

Benefits At worst, if the planned ban is enforced, they might restrict benefits for certain exports from these countries.

Neverthele­ss, US trade authoritie­s are heeding the calls of US firms to promote their interests.

At the US-Africa Business Summit held in June in Washington, the US Secretary of Commerce, Wilbur Ross, issued a stern warning to African countries: “(The US) must ensure countries currently benefiting from trade preference­s granted by our Agoa continue complying with the eligibilit­y requiremen­ts establishe­d in US law. The administra­tion takes these congressio­nal requiremen­ts very seriously.”

It is in the interest of both the US and African government­s to advance economic relations. Agoa has illustrate­d how a preferenti­al trade arrangemen­t can benefit both parties by increasing trade and employment. But Agoa is no longer the best mechanism to promote economic relations between the parties.

Instead, an agreement that provides reciprocal market access, combined with technical assistance to overcome structural issues in African countries, would be more desirable.

US states and their African counterpar­ts should use the next seven years ahead of Agoa’s expiration to devise a mutually beneficial trade arrangemen­t.

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