Weekend Argus (Saturday Edition)

BUSINESS Musk powers company’s stock ahead despite failing to deliver goods

- NICHOLA GROOM

PALO ALTO: Leave it to Elon Musk to make a company’s stock jump nearly 5 percent a day after reporting widening losses – all in the middle of a market selloff.

Musk’s electric vehicle startup, Tesla Motors, on Wednesday posted its 11th straight quarterly loss, when analysts had expected a profit.

Tesla also said it planned $1.5 billion (R23.7bn) in capital spending this year but had just $1.2bn in the bank.

Investors focused instead on Musk’s promises to make Tesla profitable this year and to deliver 60 percent to 80 percent more vehicles than last year. Analysts described the forecasts as ambitious but not impossible.

It’s precisely that outsized optimism that defines Musk and his appeal to the market, despite blown deadlines and long waits for profits in highrisk industries.

Musk’s two other ventures, SolarCity and Space Exploratio­n Technologi­es, also face steep challenges in cuttingedg­e industries.

“Investors look at Elon and some say he’s a promoter or that he steps over bounds with what he promises,” said Robert W Baird analyst Ben Kallo. “But his track record is pretty good. That’s why he still attracts the type of institutio­nal investors he does.”

Still, at least six analysts slashed their price targets on Tesla shares. Kallo has a “neutral” rating on Tesla and lowered his price target to $230 from $282 on Thursday.

Tesla’s stock rose 4.7 percent to $150.47 on Thursday and was among the Nasdaq’s top percentage gainers in a weak overall market.

But the gain comes after steep losses so far this year. The carmaker’s shares are down more than 37 percent – and Musk’s personal stake in Tesla has fallen by more than $3bn.

Barlcays analyst Brian Johnson called Tesla “one of the most polarising stocks”.

Some investors seem to ignore short-term stumbles and see only a future vision of massive profits from disruptive technology. Others see delays and disappoint­ing results as emblematic of the company’s inability to deliver on Musk’s rhetoric.

The company lost credibilit­y with some investors after repeated delays of its Model X sport utility vehicle, which Tesla still struggles to produce fast enough for waiting customers. In a Wednesday earn- ings call, Musk acknowledg­ed the carmaker’s ambitions for the X outpaced its developmen­t and manufactur­ing capabiliti­es. “I do think there was some hubris there with the X,” Musk said, explaining that the company erred in trying to pack too many features and new technologi­es into the vehicle.

Both Tesla and SolarCity are trying to revolution­ise industries dominated by entrenched and deep-pocketed companies. SpaceX faces different but no less daunting challenges in trying to innovate with reusable rockets.

Against that backdrop, investing in Musk companies is “not for the faint of heart”, said Nancy Pfund, managing partner of DBL Partners, a venture capital firm that was an early investor in all three.

Musk has promised to sell 500 000 electric cars annually by 2020, though the company sold one-tenth of that last year – at a loss. The surge hinges on effective and timely delivery of Tesla’s long-promised Model 3, a mass-market $35 000 electric car with a long driving range, now scheduled for next year.

While investors are rallying behind Tesla, they are fleeing from SolarCity shares, which have fallen 37 percent in the two days since it forecast a bigger-

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