Andalucía forecasts general elections
Sunday's regional ballot results to have huge effects on national politics
By James Parkes SUNDAY'S regional election in Andalucía is forecast to have a huge impact on national politics, and could even trigger a general election.
Spain's largest region has been in the hands of the PSOE Socialist party since the return of democracy to Spain in 1978, but recent elections have left them short of an overall majority and the same outcome is expected on Sunday.
An agreement or even a coaltion will have to be negociated other parties and whatever happens will have a mirror-effect on Madrid where the PSOE also rules in minority.
In the last TV debate before the election held on Monday evening, PSOE candidate and acting regional president Susana Díaz tried, without success to get her Ciudadanos and PP rivals to promise they would not reach any agreement with far-right wing party Vox - which is expected to get its first ever regional MPs in Spain on Sunday.
Despite the failed attempt, both PP and Ciudadanos have opened fire against Vox, which poll surveys give at least one regional MP for Almeria Province.
If Ciudadanos overtakes the PP in regional results, new PP national leader Pablo Casado would be politically wounded. Meanwhile, if Podemos agree to rule alongside PSOE - whom they have openly criticised due to their corruption cases - Pablo Casado's left-wing party would get its first regional government power in Spain and a general election boost.
If, on the other hand, Podemos does not agree to rule with the PSOE, this could completely shatter the national cooperation between the left-wing parties and lead to a general election in spring. With Ciudadanos and PP so far refusing to negociate with the PSOE (Ciudadanos left the coalition it held with the Andalucia socialists several months ago and triggered this regional election), and Podemos openly attacking the PSOE's corruption, a stalement result may force Susana Diaz to call another regional election in three months time.
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