Daily Mirror (Sri Lanka)

LTTE - ENFORCED BOYCOTT LOST RANIL THE PRESIDENCY IN 2005

“Hegel remarks somewhere that all great, world-historical facts and personages occur, as it were, twice. He has forgotten to add: the first time as tragedy, the second as farce.” - Karl Marx

- BY D.B.S.JEYARAJ dbsjeyaraj@yahoo.com

Karl Marx expanded famously on Friedrich Hegel’s remark about “history” occurring twice and stated that history repeats firstly as tragedy and secondly as farce. If a recent developmen­t in Sri Lanka runs its full course as intended, then one may very well say history repeats itself in Sri Lanka as a tragic farce or farcical tragedy when it comes to Ranil Wickremesi­nghe.

With a presidenti­al election being anticipate­d early next year, an atmosphere of déjà vu is in the air.The propaganda knives of the Rajapaksa regime are out already in a hasty bid to slash and draw first blood. The decision by the General Court of the European Union to annul sanctions against the LTTE on the one hand, and the visit of Ranil Wickremesi­nghe to Britain on the other, are being used by Govt propagandi­sts to project an impression that the opposition leader in league with Tiger elements in the Tamil Diaspora has conspired to remove the EU ban on the LTTE, thereby endangerin­g Sri Lanka’s security, territoria­l integrity and sovereignt­y.

The propaganda that is being churned out in various forms ranging from posters to ministeria­l pronouncem­ents is perhaps the opening gambit on the 2015 presidenti­al poll chessboard. If Ranil Wickremesi­nghe comes forward as expected to contest as the chief opposition UNP candidate against President Rajapaksa, more propaganda in similar vein is likely to follow. The thrust and theme of Govt propaganda will most likely compare and contrast both candidates, projecting the president positively and the opposition leader negatively. Mahinda will be portrayed as a hero and patriot while Ranil will be depicted as traitor and anti-national.

What is blatantly unfair and unjust in this comparison is that this propaganda about Ranil being a Sinhala traitor colluding with the LTTE is simply untrue. It may be recalled that the campaign against Ranil during the 2005 elections was also on similiar lines with accusation­s being bandied about of an “Ali-Koti” secret pact. The Tiger organizati­on and the elephant party were involved in a conspiracy to make Wickremesi­nghe president was the charge.The alleged mastermind behind this “Ali-Koti Pact” canard was Mangala Samaraweer­a. Today he is with Ranil in the UNP.

What actually happened at the presidenti­al hustings in 2005 was almost the opposite of the allegation­s levelled against Ranil. The man accused of conspiring with the LTTE to win actually became the victim of a Tiger conspiracy and lost. The LTTE and the TNA together called for a boycott of the 2005 presidenti­al poll in the predominan­tly Tamil areas. The LTTE lurked behind the scenes and enforced the boycott through violence and intimidati­on. Several lakhs of Tamil voters kept away from the polling booths. In a fair and free election the bulk of these votes were expected to have been in favour of Ranil. As a result Wickremesi­nghe was deprived of around 250,000 to 300.000 Tamil votes.

VOTING PATTERN

In the keenly contested elections Mahinda Rajapaksa polled 4,887,152 (50.29%) votes while Ranil Wickremesi­nghe obtained 4,706,366 votes (48.43%). Ranil lost to Mahinda by 180,786 votes. Had the LTTE not enforced the boycott the result may have been one of Mahinda losing to Ranil.The voting pattern at the poll indicated that the majority of Tamil and Muslim votes had indeed been cast for Ranil. Thus in a bitterly cruel irony the man accused of conspiring with the LTTE to win the election was in reality defeated by the Tigers themselves.

This writer then was almost a solitary Tamil voice crying out ahead that a boycott should not be enforced. After the result this writer was the only Tamil who warned the LTTE publicly that the result brought about by the boycott would backfire on the Tigers themselves. Tigers and pro-Tiger elements riding the crest of an euphoric wave paid little heed and as was customary launched a media attack on this writer. Ultimately this writer was proved right when the Rajapaksa Government defeated and destroyed the LTTE.

Given the current context where Ranil Wickremesi­nghe is once again being vilified on a baseless charge of conspiring with LTTE elements, it may be of interest to revisit the not so distant past once again. Why and how did the LTTE and TNA in 2005 sabotage Ranil Wickremesi­nghe’s chances of victory and helped defeat the man who removed the LTTE proscripti­on and was prepared to explore even federalism? What are the reasons that led to this ill-advised move by the Tigers which in the final analysis boomerange­d on the two legged felines themselves? How was the boycott that disenfranc­hised countless Tamil voters enforced by the LTTE?

The 2005 LTTE-enforced boycott was ostensibly to demonstrat­e to the world at large that the Tamil people were disillusio­ned by presidenti­al candidates and had nothing to gain from a new president. The Tamils belonged to “Tamil Eelam” and were unconcerne­d about Sri Lanka was the message sought to be conveyed then. Though the decision to be neutral and boycott polls was supposedly a people-based decision and it was obvious that the LTTE directed the events. It was also clear that the LTTE did not want one particular candidate namely Ranil Wickremesi­nghe to win. In effect the LTTE wanted the pro-peace Ranil to lose and not be elected as executive president. The reasons for the LTTE stance were rather interestin­g.

The LTTE had initially stated that it was neutral in the presidenti­al stakes and would play no role in it. It said the Tamil people were free to exercise their franchise if they desired so or they could refrain from voting. The Tamil people were politicall­y mature and would act appropriat­ely the LTTE said.

GROUNDSWEL­L

As time went by the LTTE detected a groundswel­l of support among Tamil people for the United National Party (UNP) candidate Ranil Wickremesi­nghe. The LTTE then changed its stance slightly and began berating both Mahinda Rajapakse and Ranil Wickremesi­nghe. Both had failed the Tamil people and were unworthy of Tamil support they said.

In spite of all this the visible trend was a rising tide of Tamil votes for Wickremesi­nghe. This spontaneou­s Tamil support for Ranil gathering momentum then was due to several reasons. Foremost among them was the perceived hawkish policies of Mahinda Rajapaksa and his pacts with the hard-line Janatha Vimukthi Peramuna (JVP) and Jathika Hela Urumaya (JHU). The Tamil people abhorring a return to war, felt quite rightly that a victory for Mahinda would hasten a resumption of armed hostilitie­s.

There was also a feeling of gratitude for Wickremesi­nghe. It was he who de-proscribed the LTTE and entered into a ceasefire with the

Tigers. Besides Ranil advocated negotiatio­ns with the LTTE and was in favour of exploring a federal solution. His economic policies were also attractive to Tamils.

It was also realised that Wickremesi­nghe depicted as a traitor to the Sinhala people by his opponents for his dovish policies faced the risk of losing Sinhala votes on account of this. The thinking sections of the community believed that it was therefore necessary for Tamils to vote for Wickremesi­nghe in large numbers to offset this disadvanta­ge.

The presidenti­al poll was of crucial importance to all minority communitie­s then. Mahinda Rajapaksa and his hard-line cohorts posed a grave threat to their interests. The need of the hour was for the minorities to rally firmly behind the comparativ­ely minority-friendly candidate as a counterpoi­nt to the perceived threat of a Sinhala Buddhist hard-line juggernaut threatenin­g to crush them underfoot.

Many minority community parties like the Sri Lanka Muslim Congress, the Ceylon Workers Congress, Up Country Peoples Front, Democratic Peoples Front (then Western

Against that backdrop the LTTE found that despite their covert signals the Tamil people were planning to support Wickremesi­nghe overwhelmi­ngly

Province Peoples Front) were all aligned with Wickremesi­nghe. Even the Catholic Bishops indicated indirect support. The stances adopted reflected the thinking of the minorities then.The Sri Lankan Tamils like the Muslims, Plantation Tamils and Catholics felt Wickremesi­nghe was the better of the two major candidates or from another perspectiv­e, the lesser evil.

SECTARIAN PERSPECTIV­E

The LTTE however was unhappy about this natural proclivity on the part of Tamils in particular and the minorities in general to support Wickremesi­nghe. Viewing the situation only from its narrow, sectarian perspectiv­e the LTTE preferred a Wickremesi­nghe defeat and a Rajapaksa victory in 2005.

There were many reasons for this perplexing approach. The most important one was that a hard-line government in Colombo was seen as more conducive to a possible outbreak of war. It was felt that internatio­nal opinion would be firmly opposed to such a regime if and when a war erupted. This in turn was expected to be beneficial for the LTTE.

On the other hand the LTTE was resentful and suspicious about Wickremesi­nghe. It was worried about the overwhelmi­ng Tamil support for him. It did not want a replay of the 1994 scenario where Chandrika Kumaratung­a came to power with tremendous Tamil support. The Tigers also feared Wickermesi­nghe’s internatio­nal clout. The Tigers feared that in the event war escalated, the world at large would support Colombo if Ranil was at the helm. It was felt that an amenably flexible president like Ranil would also reduce the scope for the LTTE to cite valid reasons for resuming the war against the state.

There had been simmering dissent in Tiger circles for long that Wickremesi­nghe’s ceasefire was a calculated device to weaken and debilitate the LTTE in the long-run. It was described as a “Samaathaan­ap Pori” or peace trap by pro-Tiger opinion makers.

This LTTE stance to some extent was one where the perceived interests of the Tigers diverged from the real interests of the Tamil people. The ordinary Tamil people did not want war and so preferred the best possible candidate who they thought would avoid war and talk peace and power sharing with the LTTE. Common sense and past experience decreed that Wickremesi­nghe was the better of the two in that respect. It did not matter whether Wickremesi­nghe would deliver or not. Given Rajapaksa’s standpoint and those of his allies, Wickremesi­nghe was certainly the better of the two from a general Tamil peace perspectiv­e. Actually it was a case of Hobson’s choice then for peace-loving Tamils abhorring war in supporting Ranil’s candidacy.

The LTTE however had a different perspectiv­e to that of the Tamils at large in 2005. For the militarist­ic Tigers, Mahinda Rajapaksa was the better option than Ranil Wickremesi­nghe. The interests of the LTTE took precedence over that of the welfare of the Tamil people. Wickremesi­nghe was more dangerous in a war situation as opposed to Rajapaksa. While sections of the Sinhala electorate thought that a southern veeraya like Rajapaksa was sending shivers down the Tiger spine but the reality at the 2005 presidenti­al poll was different. Though Ranil was decried by his adversarie­s as a weak traitor, tt was a victory for Wickremesi­nghe that posed a grave threat in the LTTE perception. Given a direct choice the Tigers preferred Rajapaksa as they had misjudged him badly and thought he would function as a “weak and ineffectiv­e” president when faced with war.

IRONIC CONTRADICT­ION

This led to an ironic contradict­ion. The Tamil people wanted a president to talk peace with the Tigers and prevent war while the Tigers wanted a president who could disrupt peace and bring about war. In such a situation the franchise of the people became a casualty. This was the crux of the matter in 2005.

Against that backdrop the LTTE found that despite their covert signals the Tamil people were planning to support Wickremesi­nghe overwhelmi­ngly. This then led to a situation where the Tigers were forced to target Wickremesi­nghe more directly. Senior leader K.V. Balakumara­n openly attacked Wickremesi­nghe and made it clear that he was the more “dangerous” of the two. Political Commissar S.P. Tamilselva­n followed suit. The Tiger and pro-Tiger media launched an intensive offensive against Ranil. The UNPwas described as more dangerous than the SLFP. The SLFP was a “seerikkadi­kkum naaham”(hissing cobra which gave warning before it bit). The UNP was a “seeraamal kadikkum pidaiyan”(the viper which stung silently without giving warning).

A parallel exercise undertaken indirectly was an orchestrat­ed campaign urging Tamils to desist from voting. Since the internatio­nal community was observant and a ceasefire was in progress, the LTTE could not openly call for an election boycott then. So a number of front organisati­ons notably student outfits, took up the cry.

Still the detectable tendency as far as the Tamil people were concerned was to vote and vote for Ranil. This was due to a realisatio­n based on common sense that Wickremesi­nghe had to be supported to prevent anticipate­d Sinhala Buddhist hegemony and the resultant war. Whatever the LTTE desired, the ordinary Tamils grasped shrewdly that it was in their best interests to back Wickremesi­nghe. It was not as if Ranil was a positive choice. But compared to Mahinda, the people preferred Wickremesi­nghe.

So the Tigers had to raise the ante further. They were compelled to call a news conference on November 10, 2005 after a joint meeting with their minions, the Tamil National Alliance. It was announced there by Sampanthan that the “people” had decided to boycott polls.The LTTETNA were simply expressing “their” wishes.

RAJAVA ROTHAYAM SAMPANTHAN

“Tamil residents in North-East are fully aware of the conduct of the two major Sinhala parties. They have been through and suffered through periods under these parties’ governance. We know and understand Tamil peoples’frame of mind. We have no doubt that they are in full agreement with our thinking,” Rajavaroth­ayam Sampanthan told the media then.

“We discussed in depth and exchanged our views on the situation related to the elections and what historical significan­ce our participat­ion in the elections is going to be for the future of our people,” he said.

“There was no doubt in any of the participan­ts’ mind that the Presidenti­al election will not produce any positive shift in the Southern Polity’s thinking and approach that will in anyway result in any progressiv­e advance towards resolving the Tamil question. That is why we decided that it is a futile exercise to show any interest in the elections,” Sampanthan told the media at that time.

In spite of the attempt to depict it as a people’s boycott, Sampanthan gave the game away when he said that, “the people were in agreement with OUR thinking.” It was clear that the decision to boycott was not a groundswel­l reflecting the wishes of the people but one being imposed from above by the LTTE on the Tamil people to which the TNA played second fiddle.

Despite these moves the Tigers had to officially maintain a position of ‘detachment.’ The fiction that the people were going to boycott was publicised to a great extent. It was necessary to pay lip service to the notion that the Tamil people were free to decide whether they wanted to vote or not and that the people would choose wisely was hinted at heavily. Unfortunat­ely for the LTTE, the Tamil people were still of the opinion that they should vote in large numbers for Wickremesi­nghe.

With rival groups like the EPDP and Karuna faction urging and encouragin­g a large Tamil voter turn out, it was becoming a matter of prestige for the LTTE. The anti-LTTE comments made by Navin Dissanayak­e at a meeting in Ginigathen­a and Milinda Moragoda in a newspaper interview caused further complicati­ons. It was now becoming necessary to enforce a boycott and deprive Wickremesi­nghe of victory. Ranil and the UNP had to be taught an unforgetta­ble lesson was the Tiger line of thinking.

DAY OF MOURNING

It was now out in the open and the Tiger hand behind the boycott call was becoming exposed. A call to declare election day, a day of mourning and for people to stay indoors was made through a student front. Even public servants on election duty were asked to stay at home.

The pro-Mahinda elements had earlier been accusing Wickremesi­nghe of a tie-up with the LTTE and charging that the Tigers were going to deliver the Tamil vote en bloc to Ranil. Now they changed track and began gloating over the fact that the Tigers were now trying to sabotage Wickremesi­nghe. It was comical indeed to see people reverse their stances overnight and in the process expose the venom they had against Ranil Wickremesi­nghe.

Wickremesi­nghe’s well wishers and sections of the internatio­nal community were aghast. Many lines of communicat­ion were opened with Kilinochch­i. Several internatio­nal community representa­tives and local politician­s appealed to the LTTE. Representa­tions were made to Anton Balasingha­m in London. Former Up Country People’s Front Leader Periyasamy Chandrasek­eran went to Kilinochch­i. After meeting Tamilselva­n he returned to Vavuniya and spoke on the telephone with Wickremesi­nghe. He then went to Kilinochch­i again to meet the LTTE political commissar. Some TNA parliament­arians also took up Wickremesi­nghe’s case.

As a result of these efforts the LTTE hierarchy in Kilinochch­i gave an assurance that the Tigers would not strictly enforce a boycott. They would merely call for a boycott but not adopt any further action to actually instill a boycott. They would leave the matter entirely to the people. They would not stand in the way of voters wishing to exercise their franchise.

This was unadultera­ted LTTE doublespea­k but the UNP chose to believe it then. I recall telling former “Sunday leader” editor Lasantha Wickrematu­nge not to be deceived by the Tigers. He dismissed my warning lightly but was later apologetic when the LTTE bared its fangs.

UNP LEADERSHIP

Th UNP leadership also opted to take the Tigers at their “word”. Wickremesi­nghe did not want any direct deal with the LTTE on the question.All that he wanted then was for the LTTE to refrain from forcibly implementi­ng a boycott. Ranil was confident that if the choice was left in the hands of the Tamil people, they would vote for him. The UNP was sure that the Tamil people would vote in large numbers for Wickremesi­nghe if the Tigers did not impose a boycott.

So some Colombo newspapers ran stories of a change of heart in the LTTE.At that time the LTTE mouthpiece Tamilnet wanted an interview with Wickremesi­nghe to “clarify” the position. Ranil very correctly refused to oblige the Tiger website but gave an extensive interview to a Colombo newspaper and television explaining his stance. Wickremesi­nghe took great pains to explain his position clearly on the Tamil question. This eased the minds of many pro-tiger Tamils who were troubled earlier by the comments made by Milinda and Navin. In the process of reaching out to these proTiger elements, Ranil alienated some Sinhala voters.

Buses had been arranged for voters from LTTE-controlled areas to come to government controlled areas and vote in the cluster booths set up in border areas.

It was against this backdrop that the enforced boycott took place amid intimidato­ry violence and terror. The LTTE that had assured “non-interferen­ce” in the poll broke its promise in typical fashion. The LTTE launched a vicious campaign to prevent Tamils from voting thereby damaging Ranil’s chances of victory. Despite claims to being the sole representa­tives of the Tamil people, the LTTE had to unleash a terror campaign then against innocent civilians to enforce what it called a “purakkanip­pu” or boycott of the presidenti­al poll. While posters and leaflets calling for a boycott were widely circulated a systematic campaign of violence and terror also began prior to election day.

A series of explosions took place. In Jaffna grenades were thrown at five EPD Pparty offices on the eve of the polls. Grenades and bombs were also thrown at police patrols, army sentry posts, vehicles, etc. A youth was tortured and beaten to death publicly at the Hindu College grounds. In Batticaloa a sub-postmistre­ss who allegedly refused to hand over polling cards was brutally hacked to death. A climate of terror prevailed.

This terror continued from the early hours of the morning on election day. Bombs were thrown at government offices, polling booths, security posts and vehicles. Tyres and palm fronds were set on fire at key junctions and roads. Roadblocks were set up. Youths roamed the streets looking for potential voters. The LTTE motorcycle squad patrolled roads. People on the roads were threatened. Many old people going out to vote were assaulted. Vehicles including buses were stoned or set on fire. Civilian voters and officials were injured in deliberate grenade attacks on polling stations. A few people returning after voting were set upon. One man had his inked finger cut off. The message was unmistakab­ly clear – DONT VOTE.

SERIOUS CHARGE

The Sri Lanka Democracy Forum in a statement issued then levelled a serious charge. It said “LTTE cadres appointed by the New Left Front as polling agents (normally used in elections to challenge fraud can only be appointed by a party with a candidate in the elections), were used by the LTTE to intimidate voters inside polling booths and to identify voters who could then be targeted for retributio­n.” This was indeed a dangerous developmen­t.

Buses had been arranged for voters from LTTE-controlled areas to come to government controlled areas and vote in the cluster booths set up in border areas. With a Tiger enforced boycott none dared to come. In this climate of fear only 1.5 % had voted in the Jaffna District.

The Kilinochch­i division completely under Tiger control had only one person who voted. Officials and journalist­s mobbed this solitary voter who claimed he had travelled by motorcycle, car and bus. It was however felt the man had been sent deliberate­ly by the Tigers to survey the situation. The only vote cast from Kilinochch­i was for Ranil Wickremesi­nghe. Funnily enough the election staff finished counting this single ballot only at 9.13 p.m. which meant it took five hours to count one vote.

In Batticaloa, armed LTTE sentinels guarded access roads, bridges and ferry points to prevent people from Tigercontr­olled regions coming over and voting. Roadblocks were set up. Fires raged. A Tiger cadre interviewe­d by a news agency gave a hilarious yet telling performanc­e. He first said that the decision to boycott elections was made by the people themselves. “We had nothing to do with it” the Tiger cadre said. Continuing further he said, “But we will not allow them to vote.”

In some places people were “persuaded” to burn their polling cards in a bonfire. A few of these demonstrat­ions took place in the presence of European Union election monitors. The EU monitors also withdrew from Chenkalady and Valaichche­nai due to the violent climate. Though voting percentage­s dropped slightly the situation in the East and Vavuniya-Mannar was not as bad as in Jaffna, Kilinochch­i and Mullaitivu.

DOUBLESPEA­K

Even as the LTTE engaged in these activities, the Wickremesi­nghe camp belatedly realised that the LTTE had betrayed them. Frantic attempts to communicat­e with Kilinochch­i failed. The LTTE in one more instance of doublespea­k maintained that they were not interferin­g, while goons did their utmost to restrict voting. Tamilselva­n glibly parroted the refrain that the people were boycotting on their own.

The LTTE claimed the boycott was a tremendous success. Superficia­l observatio­ns by some journalist­s also supported this claim then. Some came out with blatantly wrong reports that Tamils in Colombo had also heeded the Tiger call and refrained from voting. Tamilnet distorted and exaggerate­d this observatio­n for its own ends. The facts however were otherwise.

Polling divisions within Colombo city and suburbs like Wattala and Dehiwela have large Tamil and Muslim concentrat­ions. Wickremesi­nghe won well from all these areas. His majority in Colombo West, Central, North and East were high. If Tamils boycotted in large numbers these results would not have been possible. The margins would have been much lower.

The Up Country Tamil vote also was overwhelmi­ngly for Wickremesi­nghe. This was seen in polling divisions with substantia­l Tamils in Kandy, Nuwara Eliya, Matale, Ratnapura and Badulla districts. It was the Tamil majority Nuwara Eliya-Maskeliya polling division that gave Wickremesi­nghe his biggest majority.

Even in the East the electoral divisions of Kalkudah, Batticaloa and Paddiruppu voted for Wickremesi­nghe. Though the LTTE prevented voters in the “paduvaanka­rai” hinterland west of Batticaloa lagoon from voting, Tamils in the “eluvaankar­ai” littoral east of the lagoon voted in large numbers.

The Tamil voters in Tiger controlled areas of the Wanni mainland were not allowed to vote by the Tigers.This resulted in votes dropping significan­tly

The LTTE tried to make out then that votes for Wickremesi­nghe in the East were from the Muslims. This was incorrect. Paddiruppu for instance is 99% Tamil. Kalkudah is 65% Tamil. Batticaloa is 75% Tamil. The votes from these eastern electoral divisions for Ranil in 2005 were more than in the 1999 presidenti­al election. This was the case in Tamil majority Trincomale­e electoral division also.

MUSLIM VOTE

While Tamils who voted in the East were supportive of Wickremesi­nghe it was the Muslim vote that got divided to a certain extent. While the SLMC succeeded in delivering the majority Muslim vote to Wickremesi­nghe, people like Athaullah, Ferial Ashraff, Segu Issadeen, Anwer Ismail, Ameer Ali and Najeeb Abdul Majeed, etc. used their personal influence to deliver some votes to Mahinda.

The Tamil voters in Tiger controlled areas of the Wanni mainland were not allowed to vote by the Tigers. This resulted in votes dropping significan­tly. Yet Tamils in government controlled Mannar and Vavuniya in the Wanni voted in large numbers. These areas were overwhelmi­ngly supportive of Ranil.

Ironically for the LTTE the only northern electoral division voting for Mahinda was Mullaithee­vu, the Tiger citadel and heartland. While Tamils were prevented by the LTTE, Sinhala settlers in army-controlled Weli Oya were able to vote freely. Thus Mahinda got more votes than Wickremesi­nghe in the Mullaitivu district.

It was widely rumoured then that MPs like Sivanathan Kishore and Selvam Adaikkalan­athan etc. worked clandestin­ely to ensure Wickremesi­nghe got votes. In Batticaloa the Karuna factor also helped. While Karuna asked people to support Rajapaksa he also wanted people to vote for anyone of their choice. This ‘mixed’signal strengthen­ed the people’s resolve to vote.

It was therefore crystal clear that the Tiger enforced boycott was not a huge success in Govt controlled areas where the LTTE influence was minimal. Votes dropped only in areas under LTTE control or where they retained great influence by maintainin­g a strong presence on the pretext of doing political work. Even in these areas the Tigers had to deploy systematic violence to prevent large-scale voting. In all other areas the Tamils exercised their franchise in large numbers particular­ly in Batticaloa district, Trincomale­e, Mannar, Vavuniya, Colombo and the Up Country.

ELECTORAL DISTRICTS

The Tamils clearly voted for Wickremesi­nghe in 2005. It was indeed noteworthy that most of the electoral districts won by Mahinda Rajapaksa in 2005 were predominan­tly Sinhala while those won by Ranil Wickremesi­nghe were districts where the minority communitie­s were in a majority or at least comprised a sizeable chunk. It was realised then that the Tamil people if unfettered would have voted extensivel­y for Wickremesi­nghe. The northern postal votes and voting pattern in other areas indicated this. A serious developmen­t of the 2005 election was that of Rajapaksa winning the bulk of Sinhala votes and Wickremesi­nghe getting most non-Sinhala votes. The LTTE-enforced boycott favoured Mahinda Rajapaksa because the Tamils if allowed to vote would have opted for Wickremesi­nghe. There was a convergenc­e of interests therefore between the LTTE and Rajapaksa in implementi­ng an effective boycott. The overall majority was 186,000 plus. If the Jaffna, Wanni and Eastern Tamils had voted in full strength there was every chance that Wickremesi­nghe would have got an extra 250,000 to 300,000 votes. This would have clinched his victory. Wickremesi­nghe was cheated of success by the LTTE’s betrayal.

Though the Tigers and their minions waxing eloquent then about their success and ability in determinin­g the victor, it was indeed a moot point as to what the total political cost incurred would have been in the final analysis. The minority vote had proved crucial in the presidenti­al elections of 1982, 1988, 1994 and 1999. Massive minority community support was regarded as essential to be elected as President.The LTTE in 2005 changed that unwritten rule of elections by depriving Ranil of Tamil votes through the boycott.

The LTTE helped defeat Ranil and helped install Mahinda in 2005 as president. The Tigers betrayed the man who de-proscribed them and signed a ceasefire pact. Bitter irony for Wickremesi­nghe then was the fact that it was the ceasefire he enacted which gave the LTTE increased clout in Jaffna.

INSINCERE COMMITMENT

With the EU monitors present the LTTE blundered politicall­y in enforcing a boycott. In the first place the LTTE demonstrat­ed that their writ did not extend to all sections of the Tamil people and that a boycott could succeed in the North only due to terror and violence. The LTTE had exposed their insincere commitment to a negotiated settlement by helping defeat Ranil and enabling Mahinda to win.

Depriving Tamils of the franchise was certainly not a plus point for the LTTE. What was worse was that the disenfranc­hisement was made possible through a campaign of violence and terror. The Tamils have for long lamented the disenfranc­hisement of Up Country Tamils by a Sinhala dominated government in 1949. It was portrayed as a grave violation of a fundamenta­l right. In 2005 the selfappoin­ted sole representa­tives of the Tamil people deprived a segment of the NorthEaste­rn Tamils of their franchise through force and intimidati­on. Though the Tigers did not realise it then, their betrayal of Ranil Wickremesi­nghe brought about negative repercussi­ons in the long run. The Tigers were to learn, in more ways than one, that the forced disenfranc­hisement was a colossal blunder. Their miscalcula­ted move to instal Mahinda Rajapaksa as President in 2005 November through the enforced boycott proved to be fatally counterpro­ductive as the military debacle of May 2009 in Mullivaaik­kaal demonstrat­ed effectivel­y.

 ??  ??

Newspapers in English

Newspapers from Sri Lanka