Daily Mirror (Sri Lanka)

Why internatio­nal financial cooperatio­n remains essential

- By Tobias Adrian and Maurice Obstfeld

Economic growth appears to be strengthen­ing across the large economies, but that does not mean financial sector regulation can now be relaxed. On the contrary, it remains more necessary than ever, as does internatio­nal cooperatio­n to ensure the safety and resilience of global capital markets. That is why the Group of Twenty (G20) finance ministers and central bank governors reiterated their support for continuing financial sector reform at their meeting in Badenbaden last week.

The 2008 global financial crisis was exceptiona­lly severe in the magnitude, breadth and persistenc­e of its effects, but it is one in a long series of financial crises stretching back centuries. Not only do crises cause financial losses for profession­al investors; more importantl­y, they impose high human costs for those who lose their jobs, homes and savings. To protect their citizens, the government­s generally adopt an array of financial regulation­s designed to reduce the risk of a failure that could reverberat­e across the economy. These include balance sheet standards, insider trading rules, broader conflict of interest laws and consumer protection­s.

Too far?

Some argue that such existing regulation­s go too far and mostly hurt the economy by reducing financial institutio­ns’ profits and thereby their ability to provide essential services. They claim that banks and other financial institutio­ns—acting in their shareholde­rs’ interest—would not knowingly risk failure; even if they avoid insolvency, the damage to their reputation­s would put them out of business.

Yet, history abounds with examples of reckless behaviour, ranging from the Dutch Tulip Mania of the 17th century to the subprime lending boom of the 2000s. And even when a financial firm’s managers soberly assess their own personal risks, they still may not be prudent enough from society’s perspectiv­e, because some costs of failure fall on others, such as their shareholde­rs and the taxpayers who must ultimately pay if there is a government bailout.

But the task of financial sector oversight, never easy, has become more complex over the past 50 years as financial activity increasing­ly crosses national boundaries. That is why national government­s have stepped up collaborat­ion to promote stability and create a level playing field in internatio­nal financial markets.

The global scope of modern finance creates at least four major complicati­ons for national regulators and supervisor­s. First, it is hard to assess the operations of financial institutio­ns that extend beyond their home countries. Second, financial firms may take advantage of regulatory difference­s among countries to place their riskiest activities in lightly-regulated locations.

Third, complex institutio­ns with operations spanning several national jurisdicti­ons are harder to wind down if they fail. And fourth, countries might actively compete for internatio­nal financial business while also supporting their national ‘champions’ through lax regulatory standards. All of these factors undermine the stability of the global financial system, especially as financial instrument­s and networks become more complex.

Forums for internatio­nal cooperatio­n

To address these challenges, national regulators launched in 1974 a process of consultati­on and coordinati­on under the aegis of the Basel Committee on Banking Supervisio­n. The Basel Committee focuses on banking regulation, whereas the Financial Stability Board, set up by the G20 after the financial crisis of 2008, coordinate­s the developmen­t of regulatory policies across the broader internatio­nal financial markets, bringing together national authoritie­s, internatio­nal financial institutio­ns and sectoral standards setters.

Government­s cooperate through the Basel Committee and the Financial Stability Board because no single national authority, acting by itself, can guarantee the stability of its own financial system when banks and other financial institutio­ns operate globally. Internatio­nal agreements on regulatory and supervisor­y standards discourage a race to the bottom by establishi­ng a level global playing field for financial industry competitio­n. More generally, when countries compete for business through excessive deregulati­on, all end up worse off because financial accidents become more likely, and, when they happen, are more severe and more likely to propagate across borders.

In the aftermath of the 2008 crisis, the Basel Committee undertook a major initiative, known as the Basel III accord, which includes higher minimum standards for both the quality and quantity of bank capital (the equity cushion that allows banks to absorb losses without going bankrupt and needing government support).

While sufficient bank capital is vital, even higher capital levels could be threatened in a severe panic, so the accord includes additional measures to reduce banking risk. As a result, even though Basel III is still being phased in globally, banks are already much better capitalize­d and less vulnerable to market jitters than they were a decade ago.

The United States, which made banks recapitali­ze and restructur­e more aggressive­ly after the crisis, recovered more quickly than countries that did not. But a safe global financial system needs more than balance sheet constraint­s for banks. In parallel with the developmen­t of the Basel III standards, the Financial Stability Board created a common approach to handling the failure of the largest and most systemic financial institutio­ns.

It is critical that insolvent institutio­ns can be wound down safely, even when they are big, internatio­nal, complex or otherwise would pose a threat to the broader financial system in case of failure. If they cannot, government bailouts are more likely, risk-taking is excessive and market discipline is subverted.

Of course, financial regulation involves tradeoffs. In principle, requiring more capital and liquidity can raise the cost of credit for households and businesses or reduce market liquidity. So far, research studies indicate that any unintended consequenc­es are relatively small. Yet, the benefits of a safer financial system are unquestion­ably large.

Although the financial system is safer today, it is also true that financial regulation­s have become much more complex. In the United States, for example, the Doddfrank Act is more than a thousand pages long and has generated tens of thousands of pages of follow-up implementa­tion rules.

There is certainly room for simplifica­tion. For example, the threshold for designatin­g banks as systemic and hence subject to enhanced regulatory standards, currently set at a balance-sheet size of US $ 50 billion, might be made more flexible. Regulation of community banks could also be simplified without making the system riskier, as could the implementa­tion of stress tests, which aim to assess banks’ resilience to potential economic and financial shocks.

At the same time, the core tenets of the new global regulatory regime must be preserved. Paradoxica­lly, the relative resilience of financial markets in recent years, which is partly the result of more stringent internatio­nally agreed standards, has itself been cited to argue that financial regulation is an excessive drag on growth. This view is shortsight­ed.

As Hyman Minsky, a well-known writer on financial crises, put it, “success breeds a disregard of the possibilit­y of failure…” In other words, policymake­rs should not be lulled into forgetting the hard lessons of the not-so-distant past. Continuing internatio­nal financial cooperatio­n remains essential—it is the solid foundation of a strong and stable world economy. (Tobias Adrian is Financial Counsellor and Director of the Internatio­nal Monetary Fund’s (IMF) Monetary and Capital Markets Department. Maurice Obstfeld is Economic Counsellor and Director of Research at the IMF, on leave from the University of California, Berkeley)

CONTINUING INTERNATIO­NAL FINANCIAL COOPERATIO­N REMAINS ESSENTIAL—IT IS THE SOLID FOUNDATION OF A STRONG AND STABLE WORLD ECONOMY

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