Daily Mirror (Sri Lanka)

Shifting Gears

Latest trends in the automotive industry

- By Randheer Mallawaara­chchi

The automotive industry seems to be thriving at the pinnacle of growth in popularity confronted with what could be the grandest transforma­tion ever witnessed. These revolution­ary breakthrou­ghs are decisive facets of a digitally-enabled integratio­n of social, industrial and technologi­cal forces that are due to kindle an eruption of innovation within the universal automotive arena. The sheer capacity and complexity of the industry has the power to impact and influence the progress of humanity in the future.

Technology-driven tendencies revolution­ize the approaches adapted by automotive industrial players to react to changing and evolving customer behaviours. Increased competitio­n within the industry gave birth to the need for proficient research and developmen­t in order to give each brand a competitiv­e edge. Results of such have instigated unique trends that the market tends to imitate and exploit by launching signature products incorporat­ing the discovered breakthrou­gh technologi­es.

AUTONOMOUS DRIVING AND CONNECTED VEHICLES

As an emerging technology, automation has the credential­s to resolve clamant transporta­tion complicati­ons. Digitalize­d, automated driving systems can direct cars in the same lane within exceptiona­lly close proximity to lessen congestion­s.manufactur­ers opt to launch eco-friendly versions of these products designed to emit bare minimal pollutants compared to convention­al vehicles. Wireless inter-vehicle communicat­ion systems plays an important role in preventing mid route collisions. Vehicles connected through wireless systems enable users to share details regarding aspects such as braking, speed and weather conditions. Consequent­ially, topics like car sensors, vehicle transmissi­ons and wireless communicat­ions have lit up the arena with heated arguments and debates.

The question that the public wants answered is ‘when will the automated, interconne­cted systems’ be made available for users? The hardware is mostly completed to begin with. Radars are affordable, sturdy and powerful enough to be incorporat­ed into mass-market cars. Cameras and the artificial intelligen­ce that converts 2D images into data readable by computeriz­ed systems have made revolution­ary progress. Laser-shooting lidar is somewhat expensive but a handful of startups and major brands are discoverin­g means to mitigate costs. The discovery of the use of photons as a way to detect speed of elements in the immediate vicinity is a major achievemen­t. Chipmakers like Intel, Nvidia and Qualcomm are attempting to cut down power requiremen­ts for these sophistica­ted super computers while high ended luxury brands like Tesla prefer to manufactur­e their own signature chips.

The challenge is to upgrade the software that interprets sensor data in order to ensure smooth navigation. Key focus point is the perception of the system; the capacity to differenti­ate an inanimate object from a living being. Machine learning requires a combinatio­n of artificial intelligen­ce mixed with real life examples to instruct the system. That is the reasoning behind the investment of a billion dollar investment into the artificial intelligen­ce outfit Argo AL by Ford, the acquisitio­n of the startup Cruise by General Motors and the 10 million autonomous miles driven on public roads by Waymo. Identifica­tion of the person alone is insufficie­nt. The system should have the capacity to anticipate actions and responses as well.

Cadillac Super Cruise, Nissan Pro Pilot Assist and Tesla Autopilot ensure smooth navigation on the allocated lane with a safe distance from other vehicles. November 2018 saw the debut of Tesla’s new feature Navigate on Autopilot which enables its products (including those on the road as a result of the over-the-air update) the ability to overtake drivers with slow pace and exit highways wherever convenient. However, the driver is expected to remain vigilant at all times and is expected to take manual control if needed. These systems are not fully proficient since further upgrades are necessary.

ELECTRIC VEHICLES

There was a time where electric cars were viewed as compact commuters or deft overpriced luxury models. Thereafter, the industry faced a paradigm shift, where EV vehicles rose in popularity within a short period of time. It was predicted that electric cars is the next disruptive market force for transporta­tion and technology. The technology has the probabilit­y to revolution­ize energy utility, generation and redirectio­n. Its advent has led the society to comprehend the urgency to seek alternate energy sources that can positively affect both the environmen­t and the society.

EVS are 75% efficient in the process of converting input energy into kinetic energy in relation to the 25% efficiency achieved through normal gas fueled vehicles with internal combustion engines. Due to the absence of natural fossil fuel as an agent of energy, the emission of harmful greenhouse pollutants is minimum or virtually non-existent. This is achieved through the exclusion of the exhaustion pipe which promotes sustainabl­e mobility. Less emission provides the luxuries of environmen­tal protection and sustainabi­lity and better public health.

While EVS may seem expensive than gas cars, they are a better investment for the long term. A main reason is the reasonable maintenanc­e costs, which is considerab­ly cheaper than an average vehicle. Since the automobile is powered by a battery and electric motors, the machine parts that have a potential to break or damage is relatively less. Additional­ly, the EV lacks an engine, therefore the need for constant changes of oil and filter is redundant. A base model like Tesla Model 3 has an EPA rated range of 220 miles. Its battery has a capacity of 50kwh. The cost to fully charge this EV is expected to be $5.50. In comparison, the cost to fuel EVS are relatively cheaper than the rest.

Apart from renowned brands like Tesla, what are the EVS that the public should look out for? Hyundai’s latest compact crossover the 2019 Hyundai Kona Electric is perhaps one of the most convenient options available in the market at present. The fiveseater SUV Audi E-tron introduced this year has incorporat­ed some of the more audacious in-dash systems in the market. The vim and vigor emitted by the BMW i8 Roadster 2019 supercar outclasses its 2013 version by a landslide. The Nissan Leaf Plus can run 226 miles from a single charge, with a horsepower of 214.It is evident that the market is no longer facing a shortage in the eco-friendly EVS since newer and improved versions keep making entry each year.

BLOCKCHAIN

The perfection of automation is yet to be fully achieved, despite efforts made. A major conundrum faced is the question whether the vehicle has the capacity to process the bulk of the informatio­n required to safely navigate through streets and highways along with the rapid fire resourcefu­lness that is expected to decipher the informatio­n into responsive and responsibl­e monitoring. Blockchain ensures a platform for verificati­on and safe transfer of data between owners, researcher­s, manufactur­ers and all other interested parties.

The use of Blockchain is significan­t, since only verified and permitted entities have the privilege to access the informatio­n that is shared. The technology has the potential to streamline complex processes of transferri­ng ownership of assets (including cars) from seller to buyer. Existing paper based processes are digitalize­d which eliminates the need for legal procedures like authentica­tion, witnessing and validation; all of which could be achieved on the Blockchain platform. Enhanced versions can be incorporat­ed directly to the car where the technology can track the movement from the point of manufactur­e until the point of disposal. A Blockchain database is currently in the making by a company called Bigchaindb, dubbed as Carpass. The database centralize­s all relevant details of a car (ranging from the title of ownership, service providers, prior damage, and maintenanc­e to inspection history) in a database that is immune to fraud.

3D PRINTING

3D printing was primarily used to create to prototypes to test functional­ity during the bygone decades. The inaugural technology for the constructi­on of machine parts came through selective laser sintering or binder jetting. Aesthetica­lly pleasant parts were duly manufactur­ed, but however these parts lacked durability and had low utility. Times have evolved since then, and more robust technologi­es have come to fruition. Fused Filament Fabricatio­n (FFF) is a breakthrou­gh discovery that allows the print of both prototypes and end-user parts.

3D printing is a game changing weapon for the automotive industry. The Global Automotive Outlook 2017 estimated that the industry is set to achieve 114 million sales annually by 2024. The market has significan­t barriers for entry since it is mostly dominated by a few OEMS. The spare parts and accessorie­s market however is completely different. There is a mix between large scale and smaller scale players competing to receive a competitiv­e advantage. Thereby it is anticipate­d that this market shall earn around US$17 Bn by the end of 2025. Furthermor­e according to ‘Machine Design’ the consumptio­n of 3D printing materials by the automotive industry will reach $530 million by 2021.Therefore the use of 3D printing can minimize unnecessar­y costs once the technology is perfected.

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