Daily Mirror (Sri Lanka)

CORONAVIRU­S PANDEMIC IN US COULD BE OVER BY NOVEMBER 11

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The coronaviru­s pandemic in the United States could be over as early as midNovembe­r, new modeling has shown. Researcher­s at Singapore University of Technology and Design have created a complex model predicting the exact date the pandemic will end in the US, UK, and other countries around the world.

According to the data, the US is on track to be coronaviru­s-free by November 11, while the UK could see an earlier end date of September 30.

The model predicts the trajectory of the spread of the virus over time while tracking the actual number of new confirmed cases per day in a given country.

However, researcher­s noted the prediction­s by nature are likely to be uncertain due to the complexity of the virus as well as other factors including the restrictio­ns and testing

protocols in place in a country. The study also found predictive monitoring in early May showed the US - and second worst-hit country Brazil - could ‘still suffer’ for the remainder of the year if current measures remain in place and without the developmen­t of a vaccine.

For Italy, which once led the world in confirmed coronaviru­s cases, the modelling showed it was predicted to recover by October 24, as of May 8.

However, scientists note the prediction­s are only estimates and subject to change depending on various factors. As of Saturday, there are 1,600,937 confirmed cases of

Scientists note the prediction­s are only estimates and subject to change depending on various factors. As of Saturday, there are 1,600,937 confirmed cases of coronaviru­s in the US and 95,979 deaths

coronaviru­s in the US and 95,979 deaths. It comes as all 50 states have begun gradually reopening and easing restrictio­ns following months of lock-down.

Earlier this month, director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases Dr. Anthony Fauci warned another wave of the virus was ‘inevitable’.

Dr Fauci said reopening cities and states too quickly could trigger an outbreak that would get out of control and turn the clock back on efforts to fight the coronaviru­s.

US, (DAILY MAIL),

24 MAY 2020

 ??  ?? Researcher­s at Singapore University of Technology and Design have developed a complex model predicting the exact date the pandemic will end in the US, UK, and other countries around the world.(dm)
Researcher­s at Singapore University of Technology and Design have developed a complex model predicting the exact date the pandemic will end in the US, UK, and other countries around the world.(dm)

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