Sunday Times (Sri Lanka)

GROWTH MOMENTUM TO BE MAINTAINED IN 2H2013 WITH GLOBAL RECOVERY Lankan economy on track for 7.5 per cent growth, says CB

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The Central Bank ( CB) has said Sri Lanka’s economy is on track for targeted 7.5 per cent by end 2013 following two successful quarters.

In a review of the economy, the CB said in a statement that the economy grew by 6.8 per cent in the second quarter of 2013 according to the GDP estimates published by the Department of Census and Statistics.

Both industry and services sectors contribute­d positively towards growth while the agricultur­e sector contracted. The industry sector maintained its growth momentum registerin­g an expansion of 10.1 per cent and this was supported by growth in constructi­on, manufactur­ing, mining and quarrying and electricit­y, gas and water sub sectors. “The expansion of 6.6 per cent in the services secthe year with the anticipate­d retor emanated mainly from the covery in the global economy. wholesale and retail trade and The recovery in the global econtransp­ort and communicat­ion sub omy is likely to generate a healthy sectors. The growth in the wholedeman­d for exports while supportsal­e and retail trade sub sector ing growth in the tourism induswas supportedt­ry.by both the expansion in external and domestic Together with the improved extrade activities. However, the agriternal demand, domestic demand culture sector contracted by 1.1 is also expected to rise with enper cent mainly due to the drop in hanced purchasing power impactcoco­nut and rubber production ing favourably on the manufactur­with adverse weather conditions ing sub sector. Meanwhile, trade, while domestic agricultur­al crops transport and financial services such as paddy and other food would also expand in tandem durcrops recorded lower than expecing the second half of the year ted output,” the statement said. with further expansion in the

With this second quarter manufactur­ing sector, it said. growth, the economy achieved a “The banking, real estate and 6.3 per cent growth in the first half insurance activities sub sector of 2013, the CB added, noting that would benefit from relaxed monethe growth momentum is expected tary policy measures introduced to accelerate in the second half of from end 2012. The recent growth

“The expansion of 6.6 per cent in the services sector emanated mainly from the wholesale and retail trade and transport and communicat­ion sub sectors. The growth in the wholesale and retail trade sub sector was supported by both the expansion in external and domestic trade activities. However, the agricultur­e sector contracted by 1.1 per cent mainly due to the drop in coconut and rubber production with adverse weather conditions while domestic agricultur­al crops such as paddy and other food crops recorded lower than expected output,” the statement said.

momentum seen in the constructi­on sector is also expected to continue during the second half of the year supported by the infrastruc­ture developmen­t drive in the country,” the statement said.

The recovery in the Yala harvest of agricultur­al products from the drought affected harvest of the previous year is also expected to augment growth. Further, the expected growth in private sector credit from commercial banks would also provide a stimulus to economic activities. In addition, as seen in the recent past the private sector could access alternativ­e sources of finance, such as non- bank credit, debenture issues and funds from internatio­nal capi- tal markets, further strengthen­ing the growth momentum.

“With these anticipate­d developmen­ts in the external sector and domestic economy, the projected growth of 7.5 per cent for 2013 is likely to be realized, thereby moving the economy towards its potential growth path in the medium term,” a confident CB said.

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