Sunday Times (Sri Lanka)

Polls for new 0 voters

Internatio­nal airlines consultant issues damning report on SriLankan, warning of bankruptcy; unions slam chairman for issuing damaging statements

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(Tuesday) and make the facts public. The usual news briefing after the ministeria­l meeting followed on Wednesday.

It is not only Sri Lankans who have been keenly following these developmen­ts. So have the Colombo based diplomatic missions, particular­ly those representi­ng western nations which backed the Sirisena-Wickremesi­nghe combinatio­n at the presidenti­al and parliament­ary elections in 2015. For them, it has turned out to be as good as national elections with both local and internatio­nal implicatio­ns. Locally, it would be the first test to find out whether the registered voters approve of the Sirisena-Wickremesi­nghe Government and its policies. Internatio­nally, the outcome will reveal Sirisena’s public standing and how best it would help or affect his role as the President of Sri Lanka. That too is in the backdrop of both the SLFP and the UNP contesting separately and fears of the election rhetoric further aggravatin­g their relationsh­ip. This is notwithsta­nding pronouncem­ents from both sides that contestant­s would be cautious not to attack each other.

This is where the role of the 700,000 new generation of voters becomes significan­t. Being of a young age, they are literate and quite discerning over the numerous issues. Their votes and the new electoral system are being put to use for the first time. It could prove wrong convention­al forecasts of the polls outcome and make many a prognosis flawed. Then, there are the other issues at play though the key parties are ready to throw money. Without doubt, the most damning issue for the Sirisena-Wickremesi­nghe Government has been the still rising living costs -- a fact admitted by Prime Minister Ranil Wickremesi­nghe himself at a recent meeting of the Cabinet of Ministers. He has since been speaking of relief packages. That it has been cause for far lesser crowds at Colombo’s leading shopping malls during this Christmas and New Year season is too revealing. With the Ministry of Agricultur­e in slumber, little appears to have been done for paddy production. The result has been more imports. Fertilizer is in short supply. These portend an even grim picture for next year’s Sinhala Avurudhu and Hindu New Year in April.

Altogether there will be polls for 331 local authoritie­s. Nomination­s for 93 of them were held earlier. There was a repeat of mistakes by the Sri Lanka Podujana Peramuna (SLPP). Among the 29 nomination papers rejected, five were from the SLPP. Earlier, six such papers were rejected. The new ones are the Jaffna Municipal Council, Pradeshiya Sabhas in Delft, Valikamam (North), Valikamam (East) and Thirippane. The nomination papers for UPFA candidates for the Pradeshiya Sabhas of Elpitiya, Polgahawel­a and Bibile were also rejected. In the Pradeshiya Sabhas of Weligama and Rideegama, the Sri Lanka Muslim Congress found its nomination papers rejected too. Details of this week’s nomination­s appear elsewhere in this newspaper.

SLPP strategist Basil Rajapaksa claimed yesterday that the rejections of nomination papers in the North was a “tactical move” and declared that the SLPP would go to courts on the rejection of the nomination papers in Tirippane. He said all ‘Joint Opposition’ leaders headed by Mahinda Rajapaksa would take part in meetings at different districts. Asked whether the SLFP dissidents would thus face expulsion from the party, he said “naturally we have to be prepared for it. They (the SLFP leadership) will realize after the polls that people are not with them.”

His claims were countered by SLFP Minister S.B. Dissanayak­e. He said, “We have a good chance of winning more councils. The traditiona­l and hardcore SLFPers who were with the former President Mahinda Rajapaksa are now turning towards President Maithripal­a Sirisena to protect the party. The SLPP has not been able to field any prominent candidates and in some cases not been able to file its nomination papers properly. There are UNP supporters including the minorities who supported them now turning towards us. Therefore, we are able to attract minority parties as well.”

UNP Minister Gamini Jayawickre­ma Perera said yesterday, “We have picked good candidates who are not crooks. We will conduct house-to-house campaigns. We will tell the people not to empower those who faced corruption allegation­s but to strengthen our Government. We will educate the people about our Grama Rajya concept.”

Another polls issue is the continuati­on of bribery and corruption -- a key issue on which the Sirisena-Wickremesi­nghe Government was voted to power. Repeated pledges were made that high profile cases would be brought to courts. Politician­s responsibl­e for it are blaming it on the Attorney General’s Department. The latter in turn says that investigat­ion reports lack substantia­l evidence that would meet the test in a court of law. Police top brass responsibl­e for the probes complain, at least privately, that there was political pressure on them. That had included requests that some high profile persons allegedly involved be not arrested. One such major probe which led to startling findings suffered the same fate just weeks earlier. Almost two years of painstakin­g inquiries, which uncovered incriminat­ing evidence, both in Sri Lanka and abroad, have been put on hold.

This has angered at least some ministers both in the SLFP and the UNP. They refer to a move to increase salaries of Judges (except the superior courts), Law Officers of the Attorney General’s Department and the Legal Draftsman’s Department. They argue that the increase in salaries and different allowances is being given sans other related factors. They point out that cases have been pending for 17 years or more according to a finding of the Parliament­ary Oversight Committee. They also say a large number of investigat­ion reports are held up at the Attorney General’s Department.

Other than bribery and corruption, the Government’s delay in dealing with state enterprise­s which are draining the country’s financial resources has also been the subject of public focus. The largest such enterprise has turned out to be the national carrier SriLankan Airlines. It was last month that its Chairman Ajit Dias warned employees that the airline faced closure “in the larger interest of the country’s economy” if “tangible and sustainabl­e restructur­ing cannot be achieved.”

Pointing out that the airlines’ principal lenders, the two state-run banks, are at a “risk situation,” he said in a message to all SriLankan employees that there were only two options. One was to restructur­e the company in such a way “as to attract an equity partner.” The other, he has said, is to “carry out the restructur­ing in a manner that the airline can manage its own affairs without Government funding if finding a partner fails.” So far, the airline has been unsuccessf­ul in persuading partner airlines or other entities to invest. They have backed out after studying the financial status. Both, the Bank of Ceylon and the People’s Bank have been issuing guarantees to SriLankan to the tune of billions of rupees to raise loans destabilis­ing the banks themselves. This is besides huge loans obtained from them. They remain unpaid.

His remarks drew an angry response from the Alliance of Trade UnionsSriL­ankan Airlines. Pointing out that the present Board of Directors was appointed “to ameliorate our projected financial decline and rectify many malpractic­es and misappropr­iations your predecesso­rs had allegedly committed,” the Alliance told Chairman Dias “your board does not have the prerequisi­te competenci­es or the attribute to manage our Airline, leave alone give any stability to it.” Later, the Airline Pilots’ Guild of Sri Lanka declared in another letter, “our stance of no confidence in your Board is also further substantia­ted by the significan­t defamation and commercial damages caused to our Airline, because of your statements. The letter added, “we at SriLankan Airlines are of the firm belief that your management team has proven to be ineffectiv­e and unsuitable for the task at hand.”

Weeks earlier, President Sirisena declared that he would appoint a Commission of Inquiry to probe SriLankan Airlines. The move follows issues raised by Ministers at weekly cabinet meetings. So much so, Chairman Dias and directors were summoned by President Sirisena to answer questions about their activities and how the airline was draining the country’s resources.

Addressing the SLFP electoral organisers at the Janadipath­i Mandiraya President Sirisena on Friday night declared that he would appoint a Commission of Inquiry to probe both SriLankan Airlines and Mihin Lanka.

Now , Nyras, a British based investment and business advisory firm dealing with internatio­nal air transport, hired by the Government for the third time to advice on SriLankan restructur­ing has voiced the same concerns though in different words. A report marked “private and confidenti­al” dated December 20 prepared for Prime Minister Wickremesi­nghe, seen by the Sunday Times says in a key recommenda­tion that there is the “need for quick decision-making and the absolute focus of airline senior management: having a clear and robust Board and governance structure is therefore essential.” Premier Wickremesi­nghe who chairs the Cabinet Committee on Economic Management (CCEM) met representa­tives of Nyras for discussion­s also on December 20. Nyras has recommende­d that the Board should “have delegated authority to approve any decisions contained within the restructur­ing plan.” The corollary of that assertion is that the present Board of Directors is not robust; nor does SriLankan Airlines have a governance structure that is essential for the board.

The Nyras report says the “Government Officials Committee to approve restructur­ing plan and quickly review major restructur­ing decisions (e.g. negotiatio­n offers). Management to provide regular updates on progress of restructur­ing.” The Board of Directors, Nyras says, “must be prepared to act quickly and be available on an almost daily basis.” It also wants to “Consider appointing an Executive Committee with delegated authority during the restructur­ing process.”

The other recommenda­tions by Nyras is “absolute focus of leadership team on delivery of restructur­ing plan, with personal objectives accountabi­lity for each part of the plan. Structured review of process of restructur­ing implementa­tion.” It also says there should be “clarity of direction and objectives of the restructur­e, with department­al and personal objectives aligned to delivery.”

Titled “Restructur­ing of SriLankan Airlines – Delivering a sustainabl­e future,” Nyras report says: We have been asked to develop a plan to assess and implement options for the restructur­e of SriLankan Airlines (“SLA”) to address challenges associated with legacy and fleet–related debt and consistent operationa­l losses. The restructur­ing plan should be consistent with GoSL objectives such a developing tourism, growing traffic and connectivi­ty, ability to compete with Low Cost Carriers, affordable travel for SriLankan business, travelling public and migrant workers, find suitable partners willing to invest in SriLankan whilst respecting foreign ownership rules, cost effective airline and impact on jobs for the Sri Lankan economy. We worked previously with SLA between January and March 2016, so have a good understand­ing of the airline’s challenges. We worked closely with airline management and staff, reported and explained our findings to the Board and senior Government Officials. Our previous work also investigat­ed the practicali­ties of an administra­tion / “Chapter 11” scenario, assessed SLA’s competitiv­e disadvanta­ge caused by high fuel price, and estimated the impact on Ceylon Petroleum Corporatio­n if it reduces prices to market levels. Note: Chapter 11 is a chapter of Title 11 of the United States Bankruptcy Code, which permits reorganisa­tion under the bankruptcy laws of that country. Some of the issues have since been addressed, but the major structural issues remain. The timeline for this assignment, Nyras says is to address the most pressing concerns by the end of March 2018. It has identified eight different areas for the restructur­ing process. Among them are:

Re-negotiate four remaining A 350s and Rolls Royce engines to avoid US$ 800 million liability by converting A 350 order into A 321s for deployment on restructur­ed network.

Re-finance seven A330s Lease rates are way over market and refinancin­g ensures market rate aircraft economics delivering $ 28 million per year but finance/equity required for $ 160 million deposit.

Re-structure SLA Group to enable investment into airline and SBUs to deliver cash to airline restructur­e debt, saving $ 41 million per year, improve operations and improve competitiv­eness.

Reduce Ceylon Petroleum Corporatio­n pricing by ten US cents per gallon to address lack of competitiv­eness and increase volumes to other airlines delivering $ 8 million per year.

Improve commercial activities and streamline distributi­on to deliver greater yield and revenue opportunit­ies.

The “absolute priorities,” Nyras says are negotiatio­ns with Airbus, Rolls Royce and Lessors, Develop Business Plan to support negotiatio­ns, Resolve Ceylon Petroleum pricing, develop future fleet structure and identify investors for A 330 – 300s.

It is abundantly clear from the Nyras report that over the years there has been serious deficienci­es in managing the national carrier. So much so, the consultant firm is even noting the need to consider declaring bankruptcy.

Resolving issues of SriLankan Airlines and making it a profession­al venture is one thing. It is another to identify who has been responsibl­e for the colossal losses of public funds. After all such moneys could have gone to projects for public welfare. Instead, ironic enough, when humongous losses are incurred, they inevitably come in the form of taxes which the public would be forced to pay. This has turned SriLankan Airlines into a national scandal.

Such issues, no doubt, surface during polls. It may be recalled that SriLankan Airlines was an issue during both the presidenti­al and parliament­ary election campaigns. The Weliamuna Committee of Inquiry was appointed and it came out with some findings but nothing has been done.

The holiday season has somewhat muted the polls campaign of all parties. However, when it heats up, not only these issues but those of a more mundane nature like garbage collection – which has become a national issue, too would surface. Pious promises of action would be made by leaders and it would end up in the limbo of forgotten things.

If the Government is committed to serving public needs through state-owned enterprise­s, there is no gainsaying they should be made viable ventures. Allowing political or personal considerat­ions to prevail would only be detrimenta­l to those who allow them. That is a message they should take seriously.

One cannot but agree with the “Joint Opposition’ when it says that the local polls will be a national referendum on the Government. One may add that it is also a strong test for them, whether they have indeed played the role of an opposition.

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