Sunday Times (Sri Lanka)

Power mafias send millions of Lankans into blackout

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Sri Lanka’s power sector is in an infernal, politicise­d mess and there is no light at the end of the tunnel for the foreseeabl­e future. The result of this chaos is the collective public discomfort caused by hours of curtailed electricit­y—something that experts had repeatedly warned would happen by this year.

The fundamenta­l issue appears to be the prevalence of various “mafias” pushing different power generation agendas for pecuniary benefit. Thus, there is the “coal mafia”, the “LNG mafia”, the “mini hydro mafia”, the “independen­t power producer (IPP) mafia”, the one-time “wind mafia”, the “solar power mafia” and just about any other “mafia” in between.

Attempts by one or another of these interest groups to get a power generation project going are invariably cobbled by, again, one or another of these interest groups. Either that or the tender processes are blatantly compromise­d.

The Ceylon Electricit­y Board had been in negotiatio­ns with Indian authoritie­s over the proposed Sampur coal power plant since 2006. Nine long years of arduous discussion later, just when all aspects the joint venture agreement were settled and tenders were about to be floated, the environmen­tal lobby got through to the political leadership which decided there would be “no more coal” in Sri Lanka.

While the CEB and some power sector experts argue vehemently that this was serious error in judgement, there is no gainsaying that coal plants are mostly on the way out globally. And that they are environmen­tally damaging.

A cursory appraisal of the problems arising from the Lakvijaya coal power plant in Norochchol­ai makes this manifestly clear. The project, being Chinese, did not engender much confidence to begin with. Then came the frequent breakdowns. Now, in both the first and second units, the flue-gas desulphuri­sation components that remove acid gas (sulphur dioxide) have been broken for months.

Not only have local communitie­s been exposed to coal dust and fly ash, studies have found that the dust travels all the way to Puttalam and the fly ash to Colombo and Central highlands.

Holding no water is the CEB’s argument that the worst air quality in Sri Lanka is in Colombo and that, therefore, any demand to abandon coal power plants must necessaril­y be coupled with a debate on whether motor vehicle use must also be curtailed.

No coal is clean coal, even if Japanese technology is procured (the popular argument being that it would be better than the Chinese one). And just last month, Japan’s own Environmen­t Minister announced that he would “in principle” oppose any new plans to build or expand coal-fired power stations.

According to Bloomberg New Energy Outlook 2018, the world energy mix in 2038 will be just 18 percent coal with the major portion going to wind, solar and hydro. The European Union will be coal-free by 2030, though Germany will reach this milestone in 2038. Even Australia, which mines coal, no longer builds new coal power plants and is replacing old ones with renewables.

It was President Maithripal­a Sirisena— on occasion, an avowed environmen­talist— who decided coal was out and announced that LNG was the future. So the CEB prepared for a 300 megawatt combined cycle power plant that would be converted fully to LNG within a stipulated time period.

That’s where the tender controvers­ies started. One party, who claimed their company was the most qualified to execute the project, said their bid was disqualifi­ed merely because the authoritie­s used a computer that did not have software to open some documents brought on their (company’s) pen drive! That is the ludicrous levels to which complex tender processes have fallen in this country.

There were other issues. And, predictabl­y, the tender ended up in court. There is still no 300mw LNG power plant up and running in Kerawalapi­tiya. But allegation­s of bid- rigging are rife in the power sector, with many complainin­g that a CEB- affiliated power company is routinely favoured. Accusation­s against the authoritie­s are not limited to “fixing tenders”.

The CEB engineers are purported to be supporting fossil fuels and expensive private supplies from independen­t power producers. And neither the political leadership of the Power and Energy Ministry nor its successive secretarie­s have engendered confidence among the public that they are truthfully looking after the people’s interest without personal agendas. The truth is, the Ministry corridors are teeming with lobbyists all the time.

Then there is the matter of geopolitic­al interests; and of government-to-government deals that just are not ideal. Because China got an LNG plant in Hambantota, Japan and India are jointly canvassing for another. And South Korea has slipped in with another unsolicite­d offer which the Government has decided to open up for a Swiss Challenge despite vehement opposition from even the CEB. What happened to open, transparen­t internatio­nal tenders?

The Korean company is offering a “free” floating storage and regasifica­tion unit (FSRU) provided Sri Lanka buys gas from it for the next twenty years— and pays for the whole stock, regardless of whether or not it is used. If that doesn’t sound questionab­le on the mere face of it, it’s hard to say what does. LNG or FSRU procuremen­t does not need to go to a Swiss Challenge at all.

Power sector machinatio­ns are bizarre -- and entirely vulnerable to criticism. Everything is deeply politicize­d and this would explain why the industry watched with trepidatio­n when the incumbent minister was appointed in December.

Complicati­ng matters is the fractious relationsh­ip between the regulator, Public Utilities Commission of Sri Lanka, and the CEB— particular­ly its influentia­l engineers. When the PUCSL went to court this week saying the ongoing power interrupti­ons were introduced without prior notice or permission from the regulator, the complaint reached President Sirisena (who, incidental­ly, has now reversed his no-coal policy and has ordered the PUCSL to do as the CEB wants). He declared at the Cabinet meeting that he was angry about the regulator regulating and wanted a key official removed. As if the country does not already have enough personalit­y clashes.

The sum of all this horseplay is that the people have no electricit­y. Apart from procuring emergency power -- cue the “IPP mafia” and “CEB engineer mafia” -- there does not seem to be sustainabl­e action forthcomin­g in the immediate future.

The PUCSL has not approved the CEB’s long-term generation plan due to contention­s over the price of coal listed in that document. It did sanction a plan which gave higher priority to gas. The utility isn’t budging on that. Neither is the PUCSL.

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