Sunday Times (Sri Lanka)

“Way forward “plan devised to tackle the crisis

- By Bandula Sirimanna

Sri Lanka’s caretaker government headed by newly appointed Prime Minister Ranil Wickremesi­nghe has a challengin­g task of implementi­ng the required policy measures and structural reforms to improve the fiscal performanc­e, Finance Ministry sources said.

The ministry has already devised a fiscal plan of “Way forward” to operationa­lise necessary measures to build the credibilit­y of the economy on a sustained basis.

It has suggested a holistic national effort, with the participat­ion and ownership of all stakeholde­rs including citizens, political entities, the civil service, and private sector, among others.

The 3-fold plan entails the reduction of the fiscal deficit to an optimal level, engaging of bilateral and multilater­al lenders to secure bridge financing, and minimising Central Bank financing while mobilising other domestic resources within an appropriat­e real interest rate environmen­t.

Sri Lanka is projecting total revenues to go up to Rs.2.27 trillion in 2022 from Rs.1.55 trillion in 2021, the ministry macro models and financial records revealed.

Recurrent spending will increase to Rs. 2.99 trillion in 2022 from Rs 2.81 trillion while the current account deficit is projected to fall to Rs. 772 billion in 2022 from Rs. 1.26 trillion in 2021.

Under this fiscal position, costbased pricing for public utilities and the energy sector will have to be implemente­d, with social safety nets to support vulnerable segments of the society, the document indicated.

The required reforms to restore fiscal sustainabi­lity, institutio­nal capacity, and macroecono­mic stability must be sustained beyond an IMF programme, and this requires broad-based ownership of such reforms.

The immediate priority of the Government is to regain debt sustainabi­lity. This will have to be done through a 2-pronged approach, which includes a) re-profiling the debt stock with technical expertise from legal and financial advisors, and b) fiscal consolidat­ion measures underpinne­d by an IMF programme.

Sri Lanka has already experience­d the adverse outcomes of failing to implement these reforms in the past, the ministry plan observed.

Hence, it is vital that Sri Lanka uses this turbulent situation as an opportunit­y to undertake difficult but much needed reforms to address the long-standing macroecono­mic issues and lay a strong foundation to create a modern and robust economy for future generation­s to come, it said.

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