Bangkok Post

RBI leaves rates unchanged

- SALIL PANCHAL

MUMBAI: India’s central bank kept its benchmark interest rates unchanged yesterday, ignoring demands for a cut as it seeks to defend the ailing rupee from a further devaluatio­n.

After meeting in the financial capital Mumbai, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) said the repo rate, at which it lends to commercial banks, would stay at 7.25% as expected by most economists.

Governor Duvvuri Subbarao admitted that the RBI was unable to stimulate growth — which it would normally do by cutting rates in a downturn — because it was having to support the plunging currency.

‘‘India is currently caught in a classic ‘impossible trinity’ trilemma whereby we are having to forfeit some monetary policy discretion to address external sector concerns,’’ he said.

The RBI has been pushed into crisis mode to protect the rupee, which has depreciate­d nearly 12% against the dollar this year and hit a record low of 61.21 this month.

The Indian unit sat at 59.83 against the dollar after the rate decision, from a previous close of 59.11, while Indian shares fell 0.58% to 19,479.65 points.

A rate cut would have hurt the currency more, pushing up the cost of imports and risking a further widening of the current account deficit, which hit a record 4.8% of gross domestic product in the fiscal year to March.

But business leaders and Finance Minister P. Chidambara­m are clamouring for lower rates to boost economic growth, which slumped to a decade-low of 5.0% in the financial year to March.

The RBI lowered its forecast for economic growth for the current financial year to 5.5% from 5.7%.

‘‘While the onset of the monsoon and its spread have been robust, the persisting weakness in industrial activity has heightened the risks to growth,’’ it said in a statement. ‘‘Moreover, global growth has been tepid.’’

Last week, the central bank raised two short-term lending rates to ease pressure on the rupee, which is the worst performing currency among major Asian nations.

Subbarao said these measures ‘‘will be rolled back in a calibrated manner as stability is restored to the foreign exchange market, enabling monetary policy to revert to supporting growth with continuing vigil on inflation.’’

The RBI had kept rates unchanged when it met last in June — after three successive rate cuts in 2013 — citing concerns about stubbornly high consumer price inflation and the soft rupee.

The bank also kept the cash reserve ratio — the percentage of deposits banks must keep with the central bank — at 4.0% yesterday.

Siddhartha Sanyal, chief India economist with Barclays Capital, said the RBI decision to hold rates was expected, but that he foresaw a further 75-basispoint cut by the end of the fiscal year next March.

‘‘The fact that the governor is talking about concerns for growth is an encouragin­g sign,’’ he said.

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