Bangkok Post

ECB BUOYED

Opinion a rebuff to German critics

- JOHN O’DONNELL

Top EU legal adviser clears way for European Central Bank’s bond-buying plan.

LUXEMBOURG: The European Central Bank won crucial backing yesterday for its pledge to do whatever it takes to support the euro when a top EU legal adviser removed a key hurdle to the bank’s plans to buy government bonds to bolster the economy.

Pedro Cruz Villalon, advocate general to the European Court of Justice, said a 2012 ECB bond-buying plan, designed at the height of the euro zone crisis to avert a break-up of the single currency and unused so far, did not break EU law.

The opinion was a clear rebuff to German critics of the plan, who argue the ECB has exceeded its mandate by planning to buy bonds.

“The OMT programme ... falls within the monetary policy for which the (EU) treaty makes the ECB responsibl­e,” said Cruz Villalon, in an opinion which was met by enthusiasm on financial markets.

The adviser’s opinion, which is usually a guide to how the court will rule, is a milestone in a long-running dispute about printing money and the limits of central bank powers between the ECB and Germany, the largest member of the 19-country bloc.

It was a setback for those in Germany’s conservati­ve financial establishm­ent who want to stop ECB plans to print fresh money to buy government bonds and a boost for the Frankfurt-based central bank.

ECB Executive Board member Yves Mersch said the opinion showed that the bank had “considerab­le discretion” over policy.

Marcel Fratzscher, president of the Berlin-based German Institute for Economic Research, said the opinion was a victory for the ECB.

“Such a strong and overwhelmi­ng support for the ECB is surprising and could not have been expected,” he said. “I expect this recommenda­tion to strengthen the position of the ECB and make a new ECB purchase programme of government debt more likely.”

The bank is on the verge of announcing a QE scheme, possibly as early as next week, to combat deflation and put the struggling economy back on a steady footing.

But it has yet to decide on crucial details of that plan, including whether it is limited or open-ended, whether risk is shared or remains with national central banks, and whether it covers all euro zone states or excludes those whose debt is rated below investment grade, such as Greece and Cyprus.

In his opinion, the adviser fired a shot across the bows of the German Constituti­onal Court, which had referred the question to Europe’s top court, saying it was hard for courts to call the ECB into question as they had little expertise to do so.

“The ECB must have a broad discretion when framing and implementi­ng the EU’s monetary policy, and the courts must exercise a considerab­le degree of caution when reviewing the ECB’s activity, since they lack the expertise and experience which the ECB has in this area,” a statement said.

While not binding, his opinion is typically followed by the court’s judges, who are due to deliver their ruling in the coming months.

Crucially, the advocate general cautioned against limiting the ECB’s room for manoeuvre, warning against the imposition of a cap on the amount of bonds the ECB could buy. That has important implicatio­ns for its next move to print fresh money.

“Setting such a limit would seriously undermine the effects which the interventi­on on the secondary markets seeks to achieve, with the risk of triggering speculatio­n,” Cruz Villalon said.

He also expressed doubt about granting the ECB any seniority over other creditors in the event of a default — an issue of particular importance to investors whose support is needed for any ECB interventi­on to work.

“If the status of preferenti­al creditor were granted to the ECB, that would call into question the position of other creditors,” Cruz Villalon said in his written opinion.

Newspapers in English

Newspapers from Thailand