Bangkok Post

Asian currencies tumble with yuan

- LIAU Y-SING

KUALA LUMPUR: Asian currencies recorded the biggest weekly drop in four years as China’s surprise yuan devaluatio­n deepened concerns about a slowdown in the world’s second-biggest economy.

The Malaysian ringgit and Indonesian rupiah sank to lows not seen since the 1997-98 Asian crisis and stock markets tumbled after the People’s Bank of China cut the yuan’s reference rate by 1.9% on Tuesday, triggering its biggest decline in two decades.

The move came days after data showed that Chinese exports shrank for a fifth month in July, adding pressure on exchange rates that were already depreciati­ng amid signs that a US nterest-rate increase could be imminent.

“The primary reason for weaker Asian currencies has been the oneoff devaluatio­n of the Chinese yuan and the subsequent depreciati­on,” said Jason Daw, head of Asian currency strategy at Societe Generale in Singapore. “We expect further downward pressure leading up to expected Fed tightening.”

The Bloomberg-JPMorgan Asia Dollar Index, which tracks the region’s 10 most active currencies excluding the yen, retreated 2.1% from Aug 7, its biggest weekly drop since September 2011. The ringgit slumped 3.8%, the yuan sank 2.8%, the rupiah fell 1.8%, while the Indian rupee weakened 2.1%. The Vietnamese dong slid 1.3% after the central bank widened the currency’s trading band on Wednesday.

The yuan recorded its steepest two-day fall since 1994 before China’s central bank calmed nerves by signalling support for the currency and amid speculatio­n that authoritie­s had intervened to limit its slide.

The rupiah plunged to 13,831 to the dollar on Wednesday, the weakest since July 1998, after Indonesian President Joko Widodo named a former central bank chief as economy minister in a cabinet reshuffle intended to get stalled economic growth moving.

The ringgit also sank to a 17-year low, sliding beyond 4 per dollar as investors shrugged off better-than-expected economic data to focus on the drop in oil prices that has been cutting earnings for Malaysia.

However, Malaysia’s GDP rose 4.9% in the second quarter from a year earlier, beating the consensus forecast of 4.5% from analysts surveyed by Bloomberg. The current-account surplus narrowed to 7.6 billion ringgit (US$1.9 billion) from 10 billion ringgit, but beat the forecast of 6.1 billion ringgit.

“With oil prices lower and the market looking past better secondquar­ter GDP and current-account numbers, the ringgit remains vulnerable,” said Khoon Goh, a strategist at Australia & New Zealand Banking Group in Singapore.

Elsewhere in Asia, the Taiwanese dollar fell 1.9% last week, the Philippine peso declined 1.1% and the Thai baht weakened 0.4%.

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