Bangkok Post

Gulf neighbours vow to press blockade as deadline passes

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DOHA: A deadline passed and nobody blinked, so now a high-stakes geopolitic­al feud in the Middle East looks set to stretch further into the summer.

The confrontat­ion between Qatar and its neighbors worsened on Wednesday as four Arab nations vowed to press ahead with the punishing air, sea and diplomatic blockade they imposed one month ago after they accused Doha of financing terrorism and working too closely with Iran. Qatar rejected an ultimatum that expired Tuesday to meet a long list of demands.

Meeting in Cairo, foreign ministers from the four blockading countries — Saudi Arabia, Egypt, the United Arab Emirates and Bahrain — said they were “disappoint­ed” by the response to their demands and stepped up their criticism of Qatar, which they say is meddling in the affairs of their countries.

“Qatar’s role as a saboteur can no longer be forgiven,” said Egypt’s foreign minister, Sameh Shoukry.

The four countries have issued 13 demands, including the closing of Al Jazeera, Qatar’s influentia­l television channel, and, more broadly, the abandonmen­t of Qatar’s foreign policy, which includes support for a wide variety of Islamist factions.

In London, Qatar’s foreign minister, Sheikh Mohammed bin Abdulrahma­n alThani, accused his country’s foes of “clear aggression” and said Qatar was ready for a lengthy standoff, having developed new supply routes for food, constructi­on materials and other imports. He singled out Saudi Arabia and the Emirates as the main foes of Qatar, accusing them of seeking to make it surrender its sovereignt­y.

That, he said, “Qatar will never do”. The uncompromi­sing statements offered little hope for a speedy resolution to a rift that opened on June 4 with the sudden blockade on Qatar. The crisis has worried many Western countries that are concerned about critical military, business and energy interests and are fearful that the region is tipping into a dangerous and unpredicta­ble situation.

Wednesday’s confrontat­ion could have grown even more serious. But defying expectatio­ns, the ministers gathered in Cairo avoided imposing new sanctions on Qatar and instead sought to reframe their demands as a series of broad principles about combating extremism and not destabilis­ing each other’s government.

Confusion over the US stance on the dispute may be exacerbati­ng the problem.

President Donald Trump called leaders on both sides of the ill-tempered dispute on Sunday, but he has left little doubt that he is siding firmly with Qatar’s opponents. US officials say Mr Trump sees the crisis as an opportunit­y to force changes in Qatar’s maverick foreign policy and to bolster his close alliance with the rulers of Saudi Arabia and Egypt. In Cairo on Wednesday, the ministers thanked Trump for his “firm stance on extremism and terrorism.”

But Mr Trump is at odds with Secretary of State Rex Tillerson, who has relationsh­ips with Persian Gulf leaders on all sides of the dispute from his time as the chief executive of Exxon Mobil and who has been sceptical of the demands being pressed by the Saudis and Emiratis. Another complicati­ng factor is the US air base in Qatar, which plays a central role in the war against Islamic State militants in Syria and Iraq.

The tension between Mr Trump, who appears determined to make an example of Qatar, and Mr Tillerson, who has taken a more pragmatic stance, has hobbled efforts by US officials to resolve the dispute. Mr Trump, some officials say, seems intent on helping the Saudis as they press their demands for action against Al Jazeera and the Muslim Brotherhoo­d in Qatar, even if Qatar is unlikely to ever agree to them.

The Saudis and their allies could step up the sanctions against Qatar by seeking to expel it from regional bodies such as the Gulf Cooperatio­n Council or the Arab League, or by forcing banks and other businesses in the gulf to choose sides.

Qatar seems set intent on leveraging its immense wealth to ride out the storm. On Tuesday, it said that it was significan­tly increasing its production of natural gas, the fuel that has made it rich, over the next five years.

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